-
Fooled by Randomness
- The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 10 h y 3 m
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Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. In an entertaining narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. Taleb uses stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is.
The audiobook is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: Yogi Berra, the baseball legend; Karl Popper, the philosopher of knowledge; Solon, the ancient world's wisest man; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Ulysses. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life, but who also falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.
But the most recognizable character remains unnamed, the lucky fool in the right place at the right time - the embodiment of the "Survival of the Least Fit". Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained through chance.
It may be impossible to guard against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.
Reseñas de la Crítica
"An articulate, wise, and humorous meditation on the nature of success and failure that anyone who wants a little more of the former would do well to consider." (Amazon.com)
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Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway's visionary vice chairman and Warren Buffett's indispensable financial partner, has outperformed market indexes again and again, and he believes any investor can do the same. His notion of "elementary, worldly wisdom" - a set of interdisciplinary mental models involving economics, business, psychology, ethics, and management - allows him to keep his emotions out of his investments and avoid the common pitfalls of bad judgment.
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Good, but... one major annoyance
- De Joseph R. Compton en 02-26-16
De: Tren Griffin
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The Education of a Value Investor
- My Transformative Quest for Wealth, Wisdom and Enlightenment
- De: Guy Spier
- Narrado por: Malk Williams
- Duración: 6 h y 28 m
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What happens when a young Wall Street investment banker spends a small fortune to have lunch with Warren Buffett? He becomes a real value investor. In this fascinating inside story, Guy Spier details his career from Harvard MBA to hedge fund manager. But the path was not so straightforward. Spier reveals his transformation from a Gordon Gekko wannabe, driven by greed, to a sophisticated investor who enjoys success without selling his soul to the highest bidder.
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Malk Williams does a superb job.
- De Guy Spier en 11-30-14
De: Guy Spier
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The Myth of the Rational Market
- A History of Risk, Reward, and Delusion on Wall Street
- De: Justin Fox
- Narrado por: Alan Sklar
- Duración: 13 h y 38 m
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Chronicling the rise and fall of the efficient market theory and the century-long making of the modern financial industry, Justin Fox’s The Myth of the Rational Market is as much an intellectual whodunit as a cultural history of the perils and possibilities of risk. The book brings to life the people and ideas that forged modern finance and investing, from the formative days of Wall Street through the Great Depression and into the financial calamity of today.
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Probably most interesting to economists
- De D. Martin en 06-29-12
De: Justin Fox
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The Book of Why
- The New Science of Cause and Effect
- De: Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie
- Narrado por: Mel Foster
- Duración: 15 h y 14 m
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Historia
"Correlation does not imply causation". This mantra has been invoked by scientists for decades and has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. But today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, sparked by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and placed causality - the study of cause and effect - on a firm scientific basis.
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Great book! Not a great audiobook.
- De rrwright en 05-30-18
De: Judea Pearl, y otros
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More Than You Know
- Finding Financial Wisdom in Unconventional Places
- De: Michael J. Mauboussin
- Narrado por: Sean Runnette
- Duración: 7 h y 27 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
Since its first publication, Michael J. Mauboussin's popular guide to wise investing has been translated into eight languages and has been named best business book by BusinessWeek and best economics book by Strategy+Business. Now updated to reflect current research and expanded to include new chapters on investment philosophy, psychology, and strategy and science as they pertain to money management.
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Liked it better when it was written by Taleb
- De Ian en 11-24-18
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The Most Important Thing
- Uncommon Sense for The Thoughtful Investor
- De: Howard Marks
- Narrado por: John FitzGibbon
- Duración: 7 h y 9 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Narración:
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Historia
Howard Marks, the chairman and cofounder of Oaktree Capital Management, is renowned for his insightful assessments of market opportunity and risk. After four decades spent ascending to the top of the investment management profession, he is today sought out by the world's leading value investors, and his client memos brim with insightful commentary and a time-tested, fundamental philosophy. The Most Important Thing explains the keys to successful investment and the pitfalls that can destroy capital or ruin a career.
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Five Star Book, two Star Audiobook
- De Johnny en 06-08-15
De: Howard Marks
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Future Babble
- Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway
- De: Dan Gardner
- Narrado por: Walter Dixon
- Duración: 11 h y 1 m
- Versión completa
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In Future Babble, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner presents landmark research debunking the whole expert prediction industry and explores our obsession with the future. The truth is that experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys.
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Future Babble Babble
- De Karen en 05-04-11
De: Dan Gardner
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Bozo Sapiens
- Why to Err Is Human
- De: Michael Kaplan, Ellen Kaplan
- Narrado por: Victor Bevine
- Duración: 9 h y 46 m
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General
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Historia
Our species, it appears, is hardwired to get things wrong in myriad different ways. Why did recipients of a loan offer accept a higher rate of interest when a pretty woman's face was printed on the flyer? Why did one poll on immigration find the most despised aliens were ones from a group that did not exist? What made four of the Air Force's best pilots fly their planes, in formation, straight into the ground?
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A tour de force
- De Ivan en 07-05-11
De: Michael Kaplan, y otros
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Perfect Bet
- How Science and Math Are Taking the Luck out of Gambling
- De: Adam Kucharski
- Narrado por: Jonathan Yen
- Duración: 8 h y 34 m
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Historia
From the simple to the intricate and the audacious to the absurd, Adam Kucharski reveals the long and tangled history between betting and science and explains why gambling continues to generate insights into luck and decision making today. Covering exploits and ideas from across the globe, he meets the teams behind hedge funds that capitalize on inaccurate sports betting odds and explains how PhD-level pundits are using methods originally developed for the US nuclear program to predict sports results.
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Nontechnical, wandering far beyond "gaming"
- De Philo en 04-02-16
De: Adam Kucharski
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Success and Luck
- Good Fortune and the Myth of Meritocracy
- De: Robert H. Frank
- Narrado por: Robert H. Frank
- Duración: 5 h y 19 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Historia
How important is luck in economic success? No question more reliably divides conservatives from liberals. As conservatives correctly observe, people who amass great fortunes are almost always talented and hardworking. But liberals are also correct to note that countless others have those same qualities yet never earn much. In recent years, social scientists have discovered that chance plays a much larger role in important life outcomes than most people imagine.
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Not what is advertised
- De Andre en 04-18-17
De: Robert H. Frank
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The Mind of the Market
- Compassionate Apes, Competitive Humans and Other Tales from Evolutionary Economics
- De: Michael Shermer
- Narrado por: Michael Shermer
- Duración: 5 h y 26 m
- Versión resumida
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General
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Narración:
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Historia
The Mind of the Market will change the way we think about the economics of everyday life. Drawing on research from neuroeconomics, Michael Shermer explores what brain scans reveal about bargaining, snap purchases, and how trust is established in business. Utilizing experiments in behavioral economics, Shermer shows why people hang on to losing stocks and failing companies, why business negotiations often disintegrate into emotional tit-for-tat disputes, and why money does not make us happy.
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Good ideas overshadowed by obnoxious polemics
- De Philo en 09-15-13
De: Michael Shermer
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Heads I Win, Tails I Win
- Why Smart Investors Fail and How to Tilt the Odds in Your Favor
- De: Spencer Jakab
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 8 h y 30 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Narración:
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Historia
According to Wall Street Journal investing columnist Spencer Jakab, most of us have no idea how much money we're leaving on the table - or that the average saver doesn't come anywhere close to earning the "average" returns touted in those glossy brochures. We're handicapped not only by psychological biases and a fear of missing out but by an industry with multimillion-dollar marketing budgets and an eye on its own bottom line, not yours.
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Got my head screwed on straight
- De Rob Barry en 12-20-18
De: Spencer Jakab
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You Are Now Less Dumb
- How to Conquer Mob Mentality, How to Buy Happiness, and All the Other Ways to Outsmart Yourself
- De: David McRaney
- Narrado por: Don Hagen
- Duración: 8 h y 40 m
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You Are Now Less Dumb is grounded in the idea that we all believe ourselves to be objective observers of reality - except we’re not. But that's okay, because our delusions keep us sane. Expanding on this premise, McRaney provides eye-opening analyses of 15 more ways we fool ourselves every day. This smart and highly entertaining audiobook will be wowing listeners for years to come.
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Not a lot of guidance
- De A. Yoshida en 02-08-14
De: David McRaney
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A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world.
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Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb - veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur has penned a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill - the world of trading - Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives.
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A detailed guide to overcoming the most frequently encountered psychological pitfalls of investing. Bias, emotion, and overconfidence are just three of the many behavioral traits that can lead investors to lose money or achieve lower returns. Behavioral finance, which recognizes that there is a psychological element to all investor decision-making, can help you overcome this obstacle.
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The Great Mental Models
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A dissapointing debut
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A detailed guide to overcoming the most frequently encountered psychological pitfalls of investing. Bias, emotion, and overconfidence are just three of the many behavioral traits that can lead investors to lose money or achieve lower returns. Behavioral finance, which recognizes that there is a psychological element to all investor decision-making, can help you overcome this obstacle.
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On the Genealogy of Morality (The Genealogy of Morals) is an 1887 book by German philosopher Friedrich Nietzsche. It consists of a preface and three interrelated essays that expand and follow through on concepts Nietzsche sketched out in Beyond Good and Evil. The three essays trace episodes in the evolution of moral concepts with a view to confronting moral prejudices, specifically those of Christianity and Judaism. Some Nietzsche scholars consider Genealogy to be a work of sustained brilliance and power as well as his masterpiece.
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Please write Italian version on the title
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On the Genealogy of Morals
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A physicist speeds across space, time, and everything in between showing that our elegant universe from the Higgs boson to antimatter to the most massive group of galaxies is shaped by hidden symmetries that have driven all our recent discoveries about the universe and all the ones to come. Why is the sky dark at night? Is it possible to build a shrink-ray gun? If there is antimatter, can there be antipeople? Why are past, present, and future our only options? Are time and space like a butterfly's wings? No one but Dave Goldberg, the coolest nerd physicist on the planet, could give a hyper-drive tour of the universe like this one.
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Good, but for whom?
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Le hasard nous rend meilleurs. Avec ce provocant paradoxe, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, l'auteur du best-seller "Le Cygne Noir", nous offre un enseignement d'une portée révolutionnaire : comment non seulement surmonter les cataclysmes de notre temps - ces Cygnes Noirs qui fondent sur un homme, une culture, une civilisation, les bouleversent et les réduisent à néant -, mais en faire une source de bienfaits.
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From the perspective of an unbeliever, Fear and Trembling explores the paradox of faith, the nature of Christianity, and the complexity of human emotion. Kierkegaard examines the biblical story of Abraham, who was instructed to sacrifice his son Isaac, and forces us to consider Abraham's state of mind. What drove Abraham, and what made him carry out such an absurd and extreme request from God? Kierkegaard argues that Abraham's agreement to sacrifice Isaac, and his suspension of reason, elevated him to the highest level of faith.
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Great book and Formidable Narration
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The Little Book That Still Beats the Market
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Now, with a new Introduction and Afterword for 2010, The Little Book that Still Beats the Market updates and expands upon the research findings from the original book. Included are data and analysis covering the recent financial crisis and model performance through the end of 2009. In a straightforward and accessible style, the book explores the basic principles of successful stock market investing and then reveals the author’s time-tested formula....
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Need the PDF files for a complete product
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Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre Fooled by Randomness
Calificaciones medias de los clientesReseñas - Selecciona las pestañas a continuación para cambiar el origen de las reseñas.
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Historia
- M. Blake
- 05-28-12
very entertaining and eye opening
Would you recommend this audiobook to a friend? If so, why?
This is not only entertaining, but enlightening because it illustrates with easily understandable examples, how randomness affects all of us whether we realize it or not. By applying the principles to our own lives, we may be able to understand our behavior and behavior of others better while giving us an advantage over others who do not understand these things. The author is clever in using illustrations to depict some complex statistical ideas and he does so in a very practical and understandable way that even non-math people can understand.
This is not a dry mathematical book but a very enjoyable read/listen. I kept coming back to it again and again just like any good book that keeps you going until it is finished. I enjoyed The Black Swan and this book is no disappointment - definitely recommend.
If you could give Fooled by Randomness a new subtitle, what would it be?
Things you might not realize were randomness and how you deal with it in your life.
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- Bill S.
- 03-24-10
Good Intro to The Black Swan
Get this one. Listen to it, then go immediately to The Black Swan. An excellent thesis that one need only look at history to validate.
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- Anonymous User
- 03-30-15
arrogance / science / insight
? does the noisy clutter of modern life fool and overwhelm you
? is it hard to sort out cause and effect and true meaning
? does it seem, you just can't connect the dots the way you'd like to
nassim taleb (NT) has written an arrogant and insightful book for you
he elegantly teases out the increasing role of randomness in our lives
but his smug style, makes the truth of his message a bit hard to swallow
most human beings aren't hard wired for dispassionate observation
we bring with us prejudices, fears, doubts and a healthy dose of ignorance
it's hard for us to tell the difference between "co-incident" and "caused"
NT repeatedly relates the story of his many successes on wall street
his ability to not "be fooled" has made him a gifted stock picker
but making rich men richer wasn't enough for him, so he wrote this book
the cognitive strain of insightful thinking may simply be beyond some people
they're content to take what they're given and not sift it out too much
but if you'd like to see through the BS, clutter and noise NT would like to help
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- nick
- 02-11-13
Very Good but not for everyone
Would you say that listening to this book was time well-spent? Why or why not?
Yes
Would you ever listen to anything by Nassim Nicholas Taleb again?
Yes
What three words best describe Sean Pratt’s voice?
clear, easy to understand
Who do you think would benefit most from listening to Fooled by Randomness?
Almost anyone but only if the title intreags you
Any additional comments?
Taleb's style is a bit off the wall, I liked it but it is not for everyone
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- Jason
- 03-11-18
interesting book as an introduction biases.
The material was interesting, though thinking fast and thinking slow and the signal and the noise covered the same topics better.
The pacing of the reader was poor with random gaps throughout leading me to check if my headphones had gotten disconnected several times.
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- H. Potter
- 08-27-17
Great book, problems with the audio
This is a really well written book and the narration is clear. However there are big gaps of silence between chapters and sections. It's not you or your app, it is the recording.
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- Martin Fierro
- 08-09-16
Deep Thoughts with a Light Touch
One of the areas of study that I find most fascinating is seeking to understand cognitive biases. This book addresses many of these human blind spots. It has great rigor, and breadth as well as depth. But a self-deprecating sense of humor accompanies the journey, and the travel is fun as well as enlightening.
I especially enjoyed the author's expert treatment of social science concepts in a business context. Heartily Recommended.
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- Shoukry Kattan
- 05-04-16
Genius
One of the most mind expanding books I ever read on risks, randomness and stoicism..
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- Clark
- 01-04-18
smarty pants
nassim is obviously confident, which helps when focusing on this potentially unpopular idea. while sometimes he losses me with his comments about reading medical journals for fun, it is important to appreciate his deep belief in randomness. as such, I am willing to let go of some of my own deep seated beliefs in causality
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- ADELINA PELTEA
- 04-07-18
Changes your perspective
Essential book on how to think and understand success, focusing on the quality of our decisions instead of in few outcomes.
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