Bubble Trouble: Laying Out Inconvenient Truths About How Business and Financial Markets Really Work

De: Magnificent Noise x Richard Kramer x Will Page
  • Resumen

  • Bubble Trouble features conversations between economist and author Will Page and independent analyst Richard Kramer that lay out some inconvenient truths about how financial markets really work. Like the “boy who cried wolf,” financial markets have a peculiar tendency to repeat past mistakes and get themselves into “bubble trouble.” They party hard, drink too much of the Kool Aid, and wake up with a pounding hangover...only to do the same thing the next day. With tech dominating daily headlines and teenage traders driving stocks to unprecedented valuations, you might be asking “What’s really going on?” “What am I missing?” Imagine having a set of tour guides to tell you the “story behind the story” of the world’s largest tech companies, and how they bend - or break - the rules of economics.

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    Copyright Magnificent Noise
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Episodios
  • Reddit and Weep
    Aug 26 2024

    So let's look forward and prepare you for the next big sexy blockbuster tech IPO, you’ve read all about it - that’s right. Reddit is going to ring the bell.


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)

    Reddit's IPO Adventure: A Deep Dive into Valuations, Trends, and Future Prospects


    In this episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page dissect Reddit's impending IPO, examining its valuation, user base, and revenue streams. The podcast begins with a discussion on the evolution of Reddit and its business model, focusing on the challenges it faces as a business primarily driven by advertising revenue in a competitive digital advertising landscape. Kramer and Page delve into the nuances of Reddit's user engagement and its niche position in the internet culture, juxtaposing it against giants like Meta and Google. They critically analyze the hype surrounding tech IPOs, emphasizing Reddit's $800 million revenue and its struggle to become profitable amidst a sprawling digital advertising world. The episode also covers the broader implications of down rounds and the valuation bubbles that tech companies often face. Through expert insights and a candid conversation, the episode offers a comprehensive view on Reddit's IPO, the tech industry's valuation practices, and what the future holds for user-generated content platforms.


    00:00 Welcome to Bubble Trouble: DeepFakes and Bubbles

    01:02 Part One

    01:06 The Fascinating Shift from Hong Kong to Singapore

    02:52 Reddit's Upcoming IPO: A Deep Dive

    03:25 Exploring Reddit's Niche and Financials

    06:04 The Cultural Impact and Controversies of Reddit

    08:58 Reddit IPO Strategies and User Dynamics

    10:43 Inside Reddit: Culture, Compliance, and Future Prospects

    16:00 Part Two

    16:00 South by Southwest Festival Insights

    20:04 Back to Reddit: IPO Details and Expectations

    21:22 Technical Difficulties and Starting Off

    21:24 Exploring Down Rounds: A Deep Dive

    23:48 The Reality of Valuations and Market Corrections

    24:42 Tech Companies' Valuations Post-Pandemic

    25:41 Reddit's Revenue Diversification and Data Deals

    27:15 The Creator Economy: Expectations vs. Reality

    29:48 Reddit's IPO: A Case Study in Market Dynamics

    34:49 Smoke Signals for Future IPOs

    38:21 Reflecting on Reddit and the IPO Landscape

    40:20 Credits



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    41 m
  • Kill the Chicken to Scare The Monkey with guest Linda Yueh
    Aug 19 2024

    This week we talk with Linda Yueh, author of the book The Great Crashes. Since America's Wall Street Crash of 1929, the global economy has weathered the most tumultuous century in financial history. From the currency crises of the 1980s, to Japan's housing meltdown, the dot com boom and bust, the global financial crash and the COVID pandemic, crash after crash has sent shockwaves through our world. The Great Crashes tells the stories of ten of these historic financial events. They serve as a series of cautionary tales, each with their own lessons to be learnt. With clear-eyed analysis, renowned economist Professor Linda Yueh uses these meltdowns to extract a critical three-step framework to help recognise the early signs of a crash, mitigate the effects and even prevent them in the future. There is very little that is certain in economics, except for this: there will be another financial crisis. [Repeat from March 2024]


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)

    Understanding Economic Bubbles and Crises: Insights from Linda Yu


    This episode of Bubble Trouble features Richard Kramer and Will Page in conversation with Linda Yu, the author of 'The Great Crashes', discussing lessons from historical economic downturns and ways to prevent future crises. Yu shares her unique perspectives drawn from her experiences in journalism, academia, and having been a witness to several economic crashes. The conversation covers the dynamics of bubbles, the role of banks and debt in triggering financial crises, regulatory challenges, the impact of policy decisions on economic inequality, and the specific case of China's impending financial instability. Throughout, the importance of understanding human nature's role in financial markets and the necessity for credible crisis management strategies are underscored.


    00:02 Introduction

    00:47 Part One

    00:47 Introducing Linda Yu: From BBC to Authorship

    01:34 Linda Yu's Journey: Academia, Books, and Economic Crashes

    02:06 The Making of 'The Great Crashes': A Deep Dive into Economic Meltdowns

    06:04 Understanding Crises: The Three Phases of Economic Downturns

    08:47 The Role of Banks in Economic Crises: A Critical Examination

    15:12 Regulatory Challenges and the Shadow Banking System

    22:06 Educational Insights: The Importance of Economic History

    26:52 The Eurocrisis and Bail-Ins: A New Approach to Banking Failures

    29:58 Part Two

    30:10 Preview of Part Two: Further Explorations into Economic Crises

    31:16 Exploring Economic Festivals and the Humor in Economics

    32:06 The Serious Side of Economic Crime in China

    32:14 Navigating the Iceberg: China's Economic Challenges

    33:07 The Next Great Crush: Predicting China's Economic Future

    33:39 The Intricacies of China's Banking System and Property Bubble

    34:56 China's Influence on Global Markets and Emerging Economies

    35:30 China's Unique Approach to Big Tech Regulation

    39:25 The Consequences of Financial Penalties on Banks

    41:03 Preventing the Next Great Crash: Policy Levers and Their Effectiveness

    46:13 The Unintended Consequences of Economic Policies

    55:10 Crisis Management and the Importance of Credibility

    59:19 Final Thoughts and the Future of Economic Crises

    01:00:30 Credits


    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    1 h y 1 m
  • Thames Water gets Whacked with guest Feargal Sharkey
    Aug 12 2024

    Today, we welcome back Feargal Sharkey, who visited Bubble Trouble last summer and dropped a (water) bomb on our privatized utilities. He’s fought the noble fight to expose Thames Water as profiteering polluters. Nine months later we have a massive credit bubble bursting, dumping toxic sewage in both debt laden shell companies and the real shit floating in our rivers and seas, while private equity owners took out £78bn of dividends since privatization kicked in. A warning: this conversation should make everyone angry, whether you draw a drink, go for a wild swim, or just watch your rising water bill - asking how this utility privatization bubble caused so much trouble. [Repeat from April 2024}


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)


    This episode of Bubble Trouble features hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page, with return guest Fergal Sharkey, discussing the failing state of privatized water companies in England. Highlighted are the issues of excessive dividends extracted by private equity owners, the massive debt incurred by water companies, regulatory failures, and the environmental costs of pollution. Sharkie shares his firsthand experiences with water pollution and regulatory battles. The episode delves into the implications of privatization on public resources, the potential for nationalization, and the urgent need for systemic reform in water management amidst mounting public outrage and the looming crisis of water scarcity in London. The conversation encapsulates the complexities of privatization, the financial engineering driving the water industry's woes, and the palpable need for political and regulatory intervention.


    00:00 Introduction

    00:55 Introducing Repeat Guest Fergal Sharkey: A Deep Dive into Water Industry Woes

    00:59 Part One

    01:28 Fergal Sharkey's Journey: From Fly Fishing to Fighting Water Privatization

    03:27 The Alarming State of England's Privatized Water Industry

    06:47 Investigative Journalism and the Mainstream Media's Role

    07:44 Exploring the Nationalization Debate and Its Complexities

    11:06 Regulatory Failures and the Environmental Catastrophe

    14:27 The Financial Quagmire: Debt, Dividends, and the Dire State of Infrastructure

    22:00 Addressing the Bondholders: A Call for Accountability

    27:12 Part Two

    27:12 Looking Ahead: Solutions and the Future of Water Privatization

    31:49 The Inefficiency of Global Success

    32:11 System-Level Solutions for Water Management

    33:14 The Looming Water Crisis in London

    34:01 Government's Role in Managing the Water Industry

    34:42 The Financial Challenge of Securing London's Water Supply

    35:27 Reforming the Water Industry: A Shift in Earnings and Management

    35:59 Empathy for the Regulator and the Need for Investment

    41:10 Nationalizing the Water Companies: A Strategic Move

    47:04 Political Pressure and Regulatory Challenges

    49:42 Privatization's Failures and Future Directions

    55:20 Concluding Thoughts and the Public's Role

    57:34 Credits


    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    58 m

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