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Nigel Farage has a 50/50 chance of becoming the next Prime Minister, a former Tory MP who defected to Reform UK has said.

Chris Green, 52, the former Conservative MP for Bolton West from 2015 to 2024, told Chopper's Political Podcast that he had not yet decided whether to stand as a candidate for Reform at the next general election.

Green is one of three ex-Conservative MPs who lost their seats at last year's general election and have now jumped ship to Reform UK. The other two were former deputy Tory party chairman Jonathan Gullis and Lia Nici.

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In this episode of Chopper’s Political Podcast, Christopher Hope breaks down the Chancellor’s latest Budget and examines why Labour is already facing serious political pressures in its aftermath. With bond markets reacting, thresholds frozen, and internal unease simmering, the discussion explores the challenges confronting Sir Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves as they attempt to steady both their party and the public finances.

Labour MP for Glasgow South, Gordon McKee, joins the podcast following his unexpectedly viral moment in which he used custard creams and bourbons to explain the UK’s debt-to-GDP ratio.

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Shabana Mahmood's immigration crackdown might be sabotaged by Home Office officials, a former Number 10 adviser to Rishi Sunak has warned.

Jack Sellers, who worked for Sunak in Downing Street when he was Conservative Prime Minister, also suggested that for the Home Secretary's plan to be a success boat crossings would have to halve next year. So far 38,000 people have crossed the Channel illegally.

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Licence fee payers' money must not be used to pay off Donald Trump by the BBC over the Panorama editing scandal, former Conservative Culture secretary Sir John Whittingdale has said.

Whittingdale told Chopper's Political Podcast that the BBC had to tell Trump that using the licence fee to pay compensation to the US President would be unacceptable.

On Monday, the President had threatened the corporation with a $1billion-valued lawsuit over the "biased" footage, which aired in a Panorama documentary before his 2024 election triumph.

He gave it until 10pm on Friday to apologise and offer a settlement figure - or face his lawyers in a Florida court.

Since then Trump has now said it is his "obligation" to sue the BBC for defamation after the broadcaster allegedly doctored footage of him in a speech.

Asked about the scandal, Whittingdale said: "They [the BBC] did do him [Trump] a grave injustice. And he is entitled to have that apology. Now, the billion dollar lawsuit - we know Trump. He loves a sort of headline, and he's a businessman.

"If the BBC said, 'look, we absolutely got this wrong. We really do apologise. But you've got to understand that this is not our money. It's paid for by the British taxpayer' and we would have real problems.

"And if the British government made it clear that they were very sympathetic to the request that Donald Trump should accept the apology..."

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Reform UK’s Head of Policy Zia Yusuf joins Christopher Hope in Westminster where he explains why he believes Britain’s political class has betrayed the public, why anger is rising across the country, and why Nigel Farage could become the most consequential Prime Minister in modern history.

From immigration and welfare reform to the future of Reform UK’s shadow cabinet, Yusuf sets out his vision for a radically different Britain and why he believes more MPs will lose their seats at the next general election than ever before.

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Could Nigel Farage genuinely lead Reform UK into government and become Prime Minister? In this episode of Chopper's Political Podcast, journalist James Frayne joins Christopher Hope to analyse what is driving Reform’s surge, what could still stop them, and what the party needs to do if it wants to be taken seriously as a government-in-waiting.

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Safeguarding minister Jess Phillips will not allow there to be "a stitch up" over the grooming gangs scandal, one of her key Labour allies has said, as five victims said she should not have to resign.

Phillips position as the minister in charge of the grooming gangs inquiry is under threat after four victims quit a panel advising the setting up of the statutory grooming gangs inquiry and called for Phillips to quit.

However Natalie Fleet, Labour MP for Bolsover, backed Phillips and said she was intent on delivering justice for the victims.

Phillips has campaigned successfully for a law change which comes into force on Monday to stop rapists who make their victims pregnant from having access to their children.

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Boris Johnson should stop defending the so-called "Boris wave" of hundreds of thousands of migrants who arrived legally in the UK when he was Prime Minister, a Tory grandee has said.

Sir Geoffrey Clifton-Brown, the treasurer of the 1922 committee of backbench Tory MPs which helps to select future leaders, said Johnson should be "seen and not heard".

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