Episodios

  • All Roads Lead To Debasement | Weekly Roundup

    All Roads Lead To Debasement | Weekly Roundup
    Jul 4 2025
    This week, we dive into the latest jobs and unemployment data surprises, the hidden role of immigration in labor force changes, and why both political parties are terrible. We also dig into the looming deficit and treasury issuance implications, the EM-ification of the US, the symptoms of a failed system, and the inevitability of currency debasement. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1WckOC1BLjh33MBzZsCrHM5TatPCd1EZF/view?usp=sharing — Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network’s bridged assets with ~$270M in aBTC minted. https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/ — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:25) Cold Open (04:04) Bullish NFP? (08:24) Aptos Ad (09:08) Bullish NFP? (11:23) Anti-Immigration Impact (17:32) Wage Growth, Yields & Controlled Demolition (21:22) BBB Passed, Now What? (26:39) Aptos Ad (27:32) Both Sides Are Terrible (32:23) High-Yield Credit (37:05) Get Out on the Risk Spectrum (39:41) Active Treasury Issuance > QE (41:27) The Problem is Getting Worse (44:00) All Roads Lead to Debasement (46:46) Crushing Global Labor (48:38) DXY & the End of Central Banking (51:35) EM-ification of the US (54:00) MSTR & BTC Volatility (58:31) Seasonality, Leverage & Momentum (01:02:14) Symptoms of a Failed System (01:09:53) Buying vs Renting (01:11:44) Final Thoughts — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
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    1 h y 13 m
  • The Stablecoin Future, Macro Moves & Big Tech Embracing Crypto | Permissionless IV Recap

    The Stablecoin Future, Macro Moves & Big Tech Embracing Crypto | Permissionless IV Recap
    Jun 30 2025
    In this special bonus episode, we dive into the takeaways from Permissionless IV, unpacking the biggest industry narratives and themes shaping crypto today. We discuss the future of stablecoins, give a candid macro outlook, and explore how Big Tech is positioning itself as the next crypto overlord. Finally, we reflect on some predictions we got wrong – and what we learned from them. Enjoy! — Follow Jack: https://x.com/whosknave Follow Boccaccio: https://x.com/salveboccaccio Follow Danny: https://x.com/defi_kay_ Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_ Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance — Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:57 Permissionless IV Takeaways 07:00 Biggest Industry Narratives 12:00 Future of Stablecoins 17:44 Macro Outlook 20:47 Big Tech Overlords 28:38 Predictions We Got Wrong — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Crypto #Markets #ForwardGuidance
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    34 m
  • The Fed’s New Mandate Is Financing The Deficit | Weekly Roundup

    The Fed’s New Mandate Is Financing The Deficit | Weekly Roundup
    Jun 27 2025
    In this live Forward Guidance Roundup, we discuss geopolitics and the “peace dividend” theory from Pippa Malmgren, potential Fed regime shifts toward fiscal dominance, Trump’s pressure on FOMC board members, and the effects of tariffs and buybacks on equities. We also explore the implications of a weakening dollar, capital flows out of the U.S., and how AI and crypto could reshape wealth creation and ownership in the coming decade. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance — Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network’s bridged assets with ~$270M in aBTC minted. https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/ — Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:10 Geopolitical Framework 05:00 Biggest Story in Markets 08:22 Flows vs Fundamentals 13:33 Moving Toward Fiscal Dominance 16:39 Housing, Labor, & the Wealth Gap 20:12 The Dollar Decline & RoW Assets 27:15 Investing in the RIght Themes 30:02 Potential Currency Accord 34:31 Tariffs, AI, & Labor — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
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    43 m
  • DeFi Lending Will Eat Wall Street By 2030 | Sidney Powell

    DeFi Lending Will Eat Wall Street By 2030 | Sidney Powell
    Jun 25 2025
    In this special episode recorded live at Permissionless IV, Maple Finance CEO Sid Powell unpacks the rise, fall, and rebuild of crypto lending. He discusses navigating the 2022 crypto credit collapse, the trade-offs between fixed and variable lending, why traditional institutions are finally entering DeFi, and how composability, transparency, and tokenized credit products are reshaping global finance. Sid also shares Maple’s shift toward overcollateralized lending, BTC-based yield products, and the future of structured on-chain credit. Enjoy! __ Follow Sidney: https://x.com/syrupsid Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance __ Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:52) Sid Powell's Journey into Crypto (02:11) The Birth of Maple Finance (02:51) Challenges and Evolution in Crypto Lending (07:12) Ledger Ad (07:12) Challenges and Evolution in Crypto Lending (08:45) Navigating the 2022 Crypto Crisis (14:33) Current State of Crypto Lending (17:21) Biggest Crypto Innovations (18:32) Ledger Ad (19:32) Defi Integration and Secondary Markets (21:01) Creating Counterparty Transparency (22:52) Transparency and Financial Product Costs (24:40) Fixed Rate vs Variable Rate Lending in Crypto (28:21) Future of Crypto Lending and Institutional Interest (31:16) Structured Products and Treasury Companies (35:51) Navigating Crypto Market Cycles (38:25) Final Thoughts __ Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
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    39 m
  • The Fed Is Still Choosing to Be “Late” On Rate Cuts | Weekly Roundup

    The Fed Is Still Choosing to Be “Late” On Rate Cuts | Weekly Roundup
    Jun 20 2025
    In this live Roundup episode from the Monetarium 2 conference in DC, we unpack the Fed's hawkish pivot, the growing risk of stagflation, and Powell’s apparent commitment to being “late” with rate cuts. We debate what an SLR exemption means for bond markets, how Treasury issuance and TGA refills could spike yields, and why 2026’s Fed chair pick could upend everything. We also explore global capital flows, the decline of US dollar dominance, and how to navigate a world where almost every asset feels dangerous to own. Enjoy! — Follow Joseph: https://x.com/FedGuy12 Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv — Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network’s bridged assets with ~$270M in aBTC minted. https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/ — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:00) FOMC Decision (09:06) Aptos Ad (09:50) FOMC Decision (13:09) Noisy Economic Data (14:14) SLR Changes (18:43) TGA Drain & Buildup (24:50) Long Bond Yields (25:28) Aptos Ad (26:21) Long Bond Yields (29:11) Powell Replacement (34:38) Fiscal Dominance (39:58) US Assets vs ROW (46:12) Dollar Losing Reserve Status? (51:17) Where to Put Your Money — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
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    55 m
  • Empire | Introducing the Token Transparency Framework

    Empire | Introducing the Token Transparency Framework
    Jun 18 2025
    In this special episode from the Empire podcast, Blockworks unveils its new Token Transparency framework—an initiative designed to close the information gap and bring much-needed clarity to the crypto space. Dan Smith, Head of Data at Blockworks, explains how this framework will reshape how token projects operate and why transparency is the key to crypto’s future. Enjoy! — Follow Dan: https://x.com/smyyguy Fallow Yano: https://x.com/JasonYanowitz Follow Empire: https://x.com/theempirepod Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Supply Shock Telegram: https://t.me/+SpmLg6P_QcgxNDcx Supply Shock Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/supplyshock Supply Shock Survey: https://bitcoinhistorynl.beehiiv.com/forms/979475d9-fb4b-4c13-99af-5037dd5718c6 — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code SUPPLY10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv — Ledn is the leading platform for Bitcoin-backed loans, offering a secure and transparent way to unlock liquidity without selling your Bitcoin. Ledn has issued over $9 billion in loans since 2018 and has never lost a single satoshi of client assets, earning a reputation as the name you can trust in the crypto space. Visit https://www.ledn.io/ to learn more. Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Supply Shock. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at https://Ledger.com. — Timestamps: 00:00 Token Transparency 02:25 The Token Market & Lemons 11:40 Equity vs Token Risk 14:18 Structural Token Issues 17:12 How Did We Get Here? 22:57 Token Horror Stories 31:50 Token Launches 56:50 Best Case Scenario 01:02:38 Impact On Token Prices — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Supply Shock is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Bitcoin #Crypto #SupplyShock
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    1 h y 9 m
  • Market Infrastructure Is Being Rebuilt on Blockchain | Vishal Gupta

    Market Infrastructure Is Being Rebuilt on Blockchain | Vishal Gupta
    Jun 18 2025
    In this episode of Forward Guidance, Vishal Gupta—former head of USDC at Circle and Coinbase Exchange—joins to discuss his journey from Goldman Sachs to building crypto-native market infrastructure with his new venture, True Markets. He shares how stablecoins are reshaping market plumbing, the growing relevance of perpetual futures vs. options, and what traditional finance can learn from crypto (and vice versa). Enjoy! __ Follow Vishal: https://x.com/vishalkgupta Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv __ Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:07) Vishal’s History (07:06) Most Interesting Crypto Innovations (10:29) Ledger Ad (11:21) Stablecoin Adoption & Fragmentation (20:36) Evolution of Crypto Options & Exchanges (27:15) Ledger Ad (28:07) Bringing Exotic Assets Onchain (30:37) Innovating Market Infrastructure (37:14) Permissionless IV __ Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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    38 m