Episodios

  • What's the stock market myth?
    Apr 13 2026
    Just about everything you have been told about stock markets and the UK economy is wrong. Politicians talk nonsense about stock markets. Financial advisors repeat it. The BBC reports FTSE 100 movements as economic news, and economics textbooks embed a set of false thinking in students' heads. But the truth is that while the City of London likes to claim that stock markets are essential to saving, investment and economic growth, that is not true.

    In this video, I challenge the claim that buying shares funds real investment in the economy.

    To do that, I explain the crucial difference between the primary stock market, where companies issue new shares and raise money, and the secondary stock market, where existing shares are traded.

    The reality is simple: the primary market is small, and the secondary market dominates. Most stock market activity is just the exchange of existing wealth between savers, not the creation of new investment.

    I also look at the numbers. Trillions of pounds of shares are traded each year on the London Stock Exchange, but only a small fraction raises new capital for companies. Maybe 98% of all share trading is in secondhand shares, and the companies whose shares are traded get no money at all as a result of that. That breaks the assumed link between stock markets and real economic activity, such as jobs, productivity and growth.

    The video also explores what stock markets actually do: they provide liquidity for unnecessary share trading, generate potentially quite misleading price signals about the value of companies, and it enables wealth to change hands and accumulate. What they do not reliably ever do is fund productive investment.

    I then consider the policy implications. The UK provides large tax subsidies to pension saving in shares, yet the return in terms of real investment appears to be negative: the subsidy exceeds the sum that reaches businesses for productive purposes. That raises serious questions about whether public policy is directing money to the right place for the benefit of the economy at large.

    Finally, I explain what really funds business activity, which is bank lending, retained profits and public investment.

    If you think stock markets drive growth, this video will challenge that idea, I hope, because that claim is very largely a work of fiction.

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    17 m
  • Austerity won't work now
    Apr 12 2026
    We are living through a wartime economic crisis. And our government is choosing not to act. Not because it can't. Because it won't.

    The claim that the UK cannot afford to respond decisively to this crisis is a fiction — a deliberate political choice dressed up as fiscal responsibility. The UK government issues its own currency. It cannot run out of money in the same way that a household or a business can. The real constraint is not financial. It is political will. And right now, Rachel Reeves and the EU are choosing austerity at precisely the moment history tells us governments must spend.

    Lord Keynes made this argument during the Second World War. The challenge of wartime mobilisation is not finding the money — it is allocating real resources effectively. That means rationing. It means windfall taxes on the energy companies profiting from this crisis. It means intervening to stabilise prices and guarantee every household affordable access to energy. It means accelerating the transition away from fossil fuel dependence so this can never happen again. None of this requires the government to find money it doesn't have. It requires the government to choose to act.

    Instead, what we are getting is tightly constrained, temporary, means-tested interventions — austerity by design. The consequences are entirely predictable. Rising energy and food costs for households. Closures of smaller businesses that cannot absorb the shock. Deepening inequality as energy companies and large corporations profit from the chaos. And for the poorest — suffering that could have been prevented.

    The crisis driving all of this was created by Donald Trump's actions against Iran. The economic fallout — rising prices, supply chain disruption, the risk of famine, the risk of refugee flows — was entirely foreseeable. The question was never whether governments could respond. It was whether they would choose to.

    Rachel Reeves is making the wrong choice. This video explains why — and what the right choice looks like.

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    9 m
  • Economic breakdown: coming our way?
    Apr 11 2026

    I recently sat down with Steve Keen to explore a deeply uncomfortable truth: the global economic system is far more fragile than mainstream economics admits.

    In the resulting conversation, we explained why supply chains are not resilient, why energy underpins everything, and why even small disruptions can trigger systemic collapse, which we think might be coming our way, soon.

    This is not a temporary shock. It is a structural failure, and the policies we rely on may be making things worse.

    As a result, the question we addressed was, " What can we do now?"

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    45 m
  • Why has the US had to beg for peace with Iran?
    Apr 10 2026
    The United States want to start peace negotiations with Iran because diplomacy prevailed. It did so because it had no choice. It is running out of weapons.

    In the course of a few weeks, the US military has used somewhere between eight and ten years' worth of Tomahawk missile production. The United States can manufacture approximately one hundred Tomahawk missiles per year. It has fired many hundreds, and possibly a thousand, in this conflict alone. Those stocks cannot be replenished quickly. They cannot be replenished at all in the near term. And without them, and other critical weapon supplies, the USA has no credible capacity to restart a war with Iran.

    This is not a temporary logistics problem. It is a structural failure, and neoliberalism created that. The US military, like the US economy, has been run on just-in-time principles:

    • minimal stockholding,
    • maximum efficiency,
    • profits prioritised over resilience.

    In addition, more than half of every US missile is manufactured outside the United States, across global supply chains that are now disrupted by the very conflict those missiles were used to fight. Aluminium, a critical component, is, for example, in short supply precisely because the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has constrained the materials needed to make the weapons that were supposed to open it.

    The damage goes beyond missiles. Maybe three complex radar systems have been destroyed in the Middle East, each taking up to seven years to replace. The B-52 bombers flying missions from the UK are operating well beyond their operational lifespan. So are the refuelling tankers that support them.

    As a result, the Financial Times is reporting that Trump himself appealed for peace via Pakistan, a reality that Pete Hegseth and the White House press operation will never publicly acknowledge.

    Meanwhile, Iran's military model, based on low-cost, simple, rapidly replicable weapons, has proved devastatingly effective against the world's most expensive and over-engineered military power. Low-tech warfare has beaten the neoliberal military. Now, as a result, time favours Iran. It can replenish its arsenal quickly. The USA cannot.

    The conclusion is stark: US military hegemony has been structurally weakened, and not just temporarily set back. It will take years, and possibly a decade, to rebuild. And in that window, the United States cannot threaten, coerce, or intervene with the credibility it once had. The world has changed. This video explains exactly how and why neoliberalism is the ideology that brought the world's biggest military power to its knees.

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    12 m
  • A new global power order?
    Apr 9 2026

    Yesterday might mark a turning point in global history, and not because of what happened, but because of what did not.

    For the first time in my life, I found myself relieved that genocide had been avoided. That alone tells us how dangerous this moment has become.

    We are now told there is an Iran peace deal. The United States is presenting this as a success. It is not. Strip away the rhetoric, and this looks like a retreat. After huge cost and escalation, the US has stepped back from a weaker position than the one it started from.

    In this video, I explain why that matters.

    First, the deal itself appears to favour Iran. Claims that Iran “begged” for peace look implausible. Instead, this is a fragile ceasefire born of failed escalation.

    Second, this signals a shift in global power. Iran has held the combined pressure of the US and Israel at bay, not through overwhelming force, but through strategy and economic leverage, especially via oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz.

    Third, the wider consequences are profound. NATO’s credibility is shaken. Europe can no longer rely on US leadership. And new global alignments may now begin to emerge.

    Fourth, markets are dangerously complacent. Share prices have risen, and oil has stabilised, but the risks of supply disruption, renewed conflict, and economic instability remain very real.

    Finally, this conflict exposes a deeper issue: our dependence on fossil fuels. Energy and fertiliser supply chains remain fragile, and the risk of shortages has not gone away.

    The conclusion is simple. The US is no longer the uncontested centre of global power. Iran has gained influence. Old alliances are under strain. And the new world order has not yet been formed.

    Everything has already changed.

    The question is whether we are willing to recognise that — and respond.

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    9 m
  • This deal won't hold
    Apr 8 2026
    Markets are celebrating a Middle East peace deal. They shouldn't be. This is not peace; it is a US strategic retreat, repackaged as diplomacy. And like Neville Chamberlain's declaration of "peace in our time" in 1938, the optimism is not only premature but also dangerous.

    Donald Trump agreed to this plan because he had no choice. He had to back down from the genocide he threatened. But what if this “peace” is nothing more than a pause in a conflict that has not been resolved?

    In this video, I examine the contradictions at the heart of this deal. The United States appears to have secured none of its strategic objectives. Iran emerges stronger, not weaker. Israel’s role is uncertain, and its compliance is far from guaranteed.

    This raises a fundamental question: is this peace, or is it a retreat dressed up as diplomacy?

    I also explore the wider implications — from the growing importance of the Strait of Hormuz to the shifting balance of power in the Gulf, and the weakening of US credibility on the global stage.

    Markets may be pricing in certainty. But the reality is that uncertainty has increased, and the risk of renewed conflict remains very real.

    This may not be the end of the war. It may be the beginning of something far more significant.

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    6 m
  • Are we going backwards?
    Apr 8 2026
    What happens when reason stops mattering in politics? We are living through the answer in real time. For 45 years, neoliberalism has been the dominant force in Western democracies, and in that time, it has done something far more dangerous than redistribute wealth upwards. It has systematically dismantled the intellectual and ethical foundations that make democratic politics possible.

    The Enlightenment gave us something extraordinary: the idea that reason, evidence, and the equal moral worth of every human being should guide how we organise society. Neoliberalism replaced that with markets. It reduced people from moral equals to economic actors, stripped public services in the name of efficiency, weakened democratic accountability, and narrowed the boundaries of political thought until Margaret Thatcher's "There Is No Alternative" became conventional wisdom rather than a political choice.

    The consequences are now impossible to ignore. Careful reasoning is being replaced by crude slogans. Evidence is losing ground to belief. Nuanced debate has given way to hostility. And the backlash against neoliberalism's failures is not producing a return to Enlightenment values, it is producing the conditions for fascism: demands for loyalty over accountability, indifference to consequences, and the deliberate promotion of inequality for the benefit of an elite.

    Thomas Hobbes warned us centuries ago about what happens when the social order breaks down. We are approaching that point. But as this video argues, the current path is not inevitable. Change is possible, but it requires us to recommit to evidence-based decision-making, rebuild democratic institutions, constrain markets, and put care, not profit, at the centre of politics. Can we do that still? That is the question.

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    11 m
  • Why war is changing everything
    Apr 7 2026
    The conflict in the Middle East is not a contained regional war. It is, instead, a geopolitical earthquake that is reshaping the global balance of power in real time. The United States and Israel began this confrontation against Iran, but it is China that will emerge as the dominant winner, without deploying a single soldier.

    Iran will claim moral victory simply by surviving as a functioning state, echoing the Viet Cong's defeat of US military power in Vietnam. That shifts the entire power dynamic in the Gulf.

    Meanwhile, the USA faces a visible and humiliating strategic loss that will damage its military credibility, destabilise US domestic politics, and accelerate the decline of American global dominance.

    The consequences will ripple out far beyond the Middle East.

    NATO, the alliance that held Western unity together for 80 years, faces collapse as European nations begin to distance themselves from Washington.

    The 80-year USA-Israel alliance is in jeopardy.

    The United Nations, the World Bank, and the IMF may all need to be rebuilt from scratch, just as they were in 1945.

    The UK, clinging to a "special relationship" that is becoming untenable, will be left dangerously exposed without a functioning navy, an air force heavily dependent on the US, and a foreign policy with no clear direction.

    Only China benefits. Its economy is insulated, its energy supplies are stable, and its relationship with Iran gives it a strategic foothold at the centre of the new world order. The Chinese curse that "may you live in interesting times" has never felt more appropriate. This is what the end of the American century looks like.

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    11 m