Episodios

  • Mark Dow: A Behavioral Macro View - [Making Markets, REPLAY]

    Mark Dow: A Behavioral Macro View - [Making Markets, REPLAY]
    Aug 30 2024
    My guest this week is Mark Dow. Mark started his career as an economist with the US Treasury and the IMF before he joined Wall Street. Today, he is the founder of behavourialmacro.com and runs a fund that combines his skillsets as a trader and an economist. In this discussion, we talk about why economists are usually bad investors, how Mark approaches markets, and we cover some provocative ideas - including how Quantitive Easing and Tightening have little effect and why Mark's not worried about US debt. Please enjoy this great conversation with Mark Dow For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page here. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes (00:01:06) Welcome to Making Markets (00:01:53) Starting the Conversation: Economists as Investors (00:03:31) Transition from Economist to Trader: A Personal Journey (00:05:32) Understanding Market Narratives and Trading Patterns (00:08:09) The Role of the Federal Reserve in Market Narratives (00:09:26) The Impact of Monetary Policy on Market Dynamics (00:09:40) The Behavioral, Secular, and Cyclical Factors Influencing Monetary Policy (00:11:52) The Limitations of the Federal Reserve's Control Over Money Creation (00:14:40) The Behavioral Conditioning of Interest Rates (00:16:26) Understanding the Role of Banks in Money Creation (00:17:16) The Misconceptions about Monetary Policy (00:17:50) The Mechanics of Quantitative Easing (00:18:50) The Impact of Quantitative Easing on the Economy (00:19:55) The Role of Risk Appetite in Lending (00:21:25) The Effect of Economic Expectations on Yields (00:22:19) The Role of the Fed in the Financial System (00:26:53) The Impact of Competitive Pressures on Risk Taking (00:27:13) Understanding the Financial Instability Hypothesis (00:31:01) The Role of Demand in Asset Valuation (00:34:05) Understanding the Market Risk Cycle (00:34:13) The New Cycle and Its Differences (00:35:11) Economic Headwinds and Future Predictions (00:35:41) The Role of Banks and Areas of Concern (00:36:46) The Impact of Debt and the Financial System (00:37:15) The Role of Government Debt and Its Implications (00:37:36) The Stability of Treasuries and the Global Financial System (00:38:07) The Future of the Dollar and Government Debt (00:39:14) The Impact of Growth and Productivity on the Economy (00:40:03) The Risk Cycle and the Role of Institutions (00:42:06) The Impact of Fiscal Deficit and Modern Monetary Theory (00:48:55) Understanding Income Inequality and Asset Price Inflation (00:50:28) The Role of Finance and Technology in Income Inequality (00:53:34) The Future of the Housing Market Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    57 m
  • Nik Lentz: UFC Fighter Turned Trader - [Making Markets, REPLAY]

    Nik Lentz: UFC Fighter Turned Trader - [Making Markets, REPLAY]
    Aug 23 2024
    Today, we're replaying my episode with Nik “The Carny” Lentz. It's not every day you talk to a UFC fighter turned trader. And this conversation is both intense and insightful. We start by talking about Nik's journey from a difficult childhood to a UFC career and his philosophy on fighting, parenting, and life. We then cover his move to trading derivatives full-time and his approach to position sizing, risk management, and more. This is a different kind of episode, but one I thoroughly enjoyed listening back to, and I hope you feel the same. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page here. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Show Notes (00:01:39) - (First Question) - Nik’s childhood and how he got into ultimate fighting (00:08:54) - Nik’s mentality when in the cage fighting (00:10:37) - Links between traumatic childhood and becoming a UFC fighter (00:11:48) - How Nik feels about his children potentially fighting in the future (00:13:29) - Nik’s earliest UFC fights and the importance of storytelling in the sport (00:21:35) - Insecurity and work ethic, getting the balance right to be able to perform at the top (00:26:35) - The relationship between drive and motivation and the kind of upbringing you have (00:28:52) - How Nik got into finance and his first moves in the market (00:33:00) - Nik’s development of his own investment process and how he manages risk (00:36:00) - Determining position sizes, when to get in, when to get out. The ratio between Nik’s low-risk trades versus his big swings (00:38:16) - The similarities between gambling and investing, Nik’s opinion on the apparent lack of differentiation (00:40:19) - Nik’s advice to young people looking to get started in investing (00:41:32) - Comparing the ups and downs of UFC fighting versus trading in the markets (00:43:32) - The process of walking away from fighting and whether Nik thinks he will ever walk away from investing Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    47 m
  • Saurabh Mukherjea: The Case for Investing in India - [Making Markets, EP.42]

    Saurabh Mukherjea: The Case for Investing in India - [Making Markets, EP.42]
    Aug 16 2024
    My guest today is Saurabh Mukherjea, the founder and Chief Investment Officer of Marcellus Investment Managers. Saurabh is one of the most articulate fund managers in India, and today, he lays out a compelling case for investing in the country. We start by contrasting India with China and explaining why China receives all the attention despite the much better results from the Indian market. We also cover the bull case for India, the rise of domestic inflows in India, the Indian bond market, and close with a discussion of the risks and the themes Saurabh is excited about over the coming years. Please enjoy this conversation with Saurabh Mukherjea. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes: (00:00:00) Welcome to Making Markets (00:01:05) Meet Saurabh Mukherjee: India's Articulate Fund Manager (00:01:18) India vs. China: A Market Comparison (00:01:26) The Rise of Domestic Inflows in India (00:01:33) Challenges and Risks in Indian Markets (00:02:17) Why India is Oversold to American Investors (00:03:59) The Flow of Capital: India vs. China (00:08:30) The Impact of Political Dynamics on Markets (00:09:55) China vs. India: Private Sector Relations (00:11:19) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in China and India (00:13:37) Perceptions of Free Market Democracies (00:15:31) Media Influence and Market Trends (00:18:45) The Role of Domestic Investors in India (00:20:19) Wealth Distribution and Investment Trends (00:21:18) Impact of COVID-19 on Market Participation (00:24:16) Regulatory Perspective on Market Growth (00:24:38) Social Shifts Driving Market Trends (00:27:36) Angel Investing Boom (00:28:18) Debt and Corporate Balance Sheets (00:34:31) The Bull Case for India: Key Themes Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    37 m
  • Herman Narula: Enabling the Metaverse - [Making Markets, EP.41]

    Herman Narula: Enabling the Metaverse - [Making Markets, EP.41]
    Aug 9 2024
    My guest this week is Herman Narula, the CEO of Improbable. Improbable is an ambitious company that is building the infrastructure for an open metaverse. We dive into his vision for the metaverse, the technical requirements, the economic model, the role of blockchain, and more. We also cover the issues with AI regulations and the gaming industry. Please enjoy this conversation with Herman Narula. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes: (00:00:00) Welcome to Making Markets (00:01:54) Improbable's Journey and Vision (00:03:28) Challenges and Learnings in Tech and Business (00:05:16) The Evolution of Improbable and the Metaverse (00:08:23) Blockchain and Gaming: A New Frontier (00:18:14) Technical Innovations and Future Prospects (00:24:35) Building Your Own Metaverse Ecosystem (00:24:50) Value Accrual and Business Model (00:25:19) Venture Building and Equity Participation (00:26:01) Unique Experiences and Better Economics (00:26:36) Massive Multiplayer Capabilities (00:28:38) Creative and Social Experiments (00:30:57) Governance and IP Protection (00:36:13) Regulation of Technology and AI (00:45:21) AI in Game Development Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    49 m
  • Sajith Pai: Unpacking India - [Making Markets, EP.40]

    Sajith Pai: Unpacking India - [Making Markets, EP.40]
    Aug 2 2024
    My guest today is Sajith Pai, a VC at Blume Ventures. Sajith is one of the leading thinkers on India, and today he takes us on a journey to understand this massive, fast-growing, and challenging market. We cover many of the unique features that define the country, such as the lack of trust and the low levels of debt. We also talk about segmenting the Indian consumer, the business models that work in India, the incredible rise of the startup ecosystem, and more. If you want to learn more, I recommend you check out the 10-part Colossus series, Return on India. Please enjoy this episode with Sajith Pai. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page HERE. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes (00:00:00) Welcome to Making Markets (00:01:04) Introduction to Sajith Pai and the Indian Market (00:02:22) Challenges and Opportunities in the Indian Market (00:04:54) Cultural Differences: Trust and Credit in India (00:07:31) The Duopoly Phenomenon in Indian Industries (00:11:01) Comparing India with Other Emerging Markets (00:16:13) The Venture Capital Landscape in India (00:21:24) Indian Consumer Market Dynamics (00:21:54) Built in India for India: Success Stories (00:23:06) Unique Indian Business Models (00:24:48) Built in India for the West: Insights (00:26:49) Government and Regulatory Environment (00:28:56) Investment Landscape and Competition (00:34:29) Exit Opportunities and Challenges (00:37:41) Advice for Indian Founders (00:39:57) Current Market Sentiment Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    41 m
  • Quarterly Market Recap: Q2 2024 - [Making Markets, EP.39]

    Quarterly Market Recap: Q2 2024 - [Making Markets, EP.39]
    Jul 26 2024
    In this quarterly recap, Matt turns the mic on Eric to delve into the remarkable performance of Q2, with the S&P up 4% and NASDAQ up 8%. They discuss the ongoing market strength, particularly driven by mega-cap growth companies and AI investment. The conversation covers the complexities active managers face, the unique AI spending cycle, the role of big balance sheets, and significant capital deployment. They also touch on historical market trends, fixed income perspectives, election year influences, and the rise of crypto. Please enjoy this second quarterly recap of 2024. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page HERE. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes (00:00:00) Welcome to Making Markets (00:00:41) Active Management Challenges (00:02:04) AI Boom and Market Dynamics (00:04:54) Tech Giants and Capital Deployment (00:08:12) Fixed Income Insights (00:18:29) Small Cap and International Performance (00:21:00) Election Year Market Impacts (00:25:26) Future Market Outlook Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    30 m
  • Nat Eliason: The Wild World of Crypto - [Making Markets, EP.38]

    Nat Eliason: The Wild World of Crypto - [Making Markets, EP.38]
    Jul 19 2024
    My guest today is Nat Eliason, an internet creator and writer of the new book Crypto Confidential. Nat takes us on his wild journey in Crypto, where he made and lost millions, worked on exciting projects, and suffered through hacks and scams. We also talk about the Olympus project, how he’s built a career on being early and why he’s devoting the next phase to writing. Please enjoy this wide-ranging conversation with Nat Eliason. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page HERE. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes (00:00:00) Welcome to Making Markets (00:01:27) The Crypto Boom and Personal Journey (00:05:28) Challenges and Setbacks in the Crypto World (00:09:33) Risk Management and Financial Realizations (00:12:33) The Olympus DAO Phenomenon (00:23:51) Marketing and Community in Crypto (00:26:36) The Rome Cult Movement (00:27:11) Personal Note-Taking Journey (00:27:49) The Rise of Rome (00:30:59) Obsessive Interests and Career Challenges (00:33:47) Writing and Career Reflections (00:36:09) Exploring Fiction Writing (00:44:11) The Dark Side of Crypto (00:50:26) Current Crypto Market Insights Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    55 m
  • Richard Teng: Binance's Next Chapter - [Making Markets, EP.37]

    Richard Teng: Binance's Next Chapter - [Making Markets, EP.37]
    Jul 12 2024
    My guest today is Richard Teng, the CEO of Binance. As a former regulator in Abu Dhabi, Richard was instrumental in making the city one of the world’s friendliest places for crypto. Today, he leads the world's largest crypto exchange into the post-CZ era. We talk about the painful lesson of the past year, working with regulators and putting the customer first. We also cover the Nigeria incident, the impact of the ETF, and why he’s bullish about the global regulatory outlook for Crypto. Please enjoy this conversation with Richard Teng. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page HERE. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes (00:00:00) Welcome to Making Markets (00:01:47) The Growth of Binance (00:03:21) Crypto Adoption and Regulation (00:03:50) Binance's Business Model (00:06:52) Compliance and Regulatory Challenges (00:19:11) The Role of Media in Crypto (00:26:13) Global Crypto Adoption Trends (00:29:28) Surprising Moves in Crypto Adoption (00:29:50) Superpowers and Crypto Policies (00:31:01) Emerging Markets and Crypto Challenges (00:31:30) Nigeria's Crypto Struggles (00:34:59) Global Crypto Regulation and Cooperation (00:36:07) US Crypto Market and ETF Impact (00:37:32) Crypto Trading Dynamics and User Insights (00:48:00) Crypto Regulation Across the Globe (00:54:30) Future of Crypto and Binance's Vision Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    57 m