Together with Mark Rzepczynski we discuss how the activist treasury issurance of more bills than coupons have provided more quantitative easing and why we are seeing a decline in concern for inflation and rising interest rates. Mark also shares key insights to why building a system is more important than building models and what you can use a backtest for, and we discuss whether investors should focus mostly on stocks or bonds in their portfolio. We also discuss why you should include trend following in your portfolio and ways to assess macro economic risk, how AI will impact the trend following industry, how the hot hand fallacy applies to investing and much more.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:54 - If trend following was an Olympic sport, which one would it be?

03:17 - What has been on our radar recently?

06:20 - Bills = money?

09:59 - A declining concern for rising rates and inflation?

13:38 - Industry performance update

16:01 - Q1, Philippe: When to remove an asset as a trend follower??

26:10 - "I've never seen a bad backtest"

31:56 - Simplicity vs. complexity

35:26 - Stocks or bonds - what should you prefer?

40:18 - Why you should have trend following in your portfolio

48:50 - How to assess true macro economic risk

53:33 - Machine learning and AI in systematic trading

01:00:22 - The hot hand fallacy

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