Episodios

  • From the Bronx to the Beltway: Congressman Ritchie Torres on Grit, Grace, and Governing (ICYMI)
    Dec 4 2025

    One of the most compelling personal and political stories in Congress today — raw, principled, and deeply human.

    In this ICYMI episode, Corey revisits his conversation with Congressman Ritchie Torres, who represents New York’s 15th district in the Bronx. With refreshing candor, Torres shares his journey from public housing and poverty to becoming the first openly LGBTQ elected official from the Bronx and one of the most forthright voices in American politics.

    He discusses the values that shape his independence, his commitment to social justice, why he proudly defends Israel despite intense backlash, and the inner tools he uses to face personal and political challenges — all while staying focused on the people he serves.

    🧭 If you’re new to TP&R thanks to Podbean, Overcast, or a friend’s recommendation, this episode is a powerful entry point: personal, honest, and courageous.

    📣 Calls to Action

    ✅ TELL A FRIEND ABOUT TP&R!!! Help spread the message of meaningful conversation.

    ✅ Subscribe to Talkin' Politics & Religion Without Killin' Each Other on your favorite podcast platform.

    ✅ Leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or anywhere you listen

    ✅ Join the community on Substack: coreysnathan.substack.com

    ✅ Watch & subscribe on YouTube: youtube.com/@politicsandreligion

    ⏱️ Timestamps & Key Topics
    • [00:00] Why Congressman Torres exemplifies what TP&R is all about

    • [00:03] The budget fight and why Medicaid cuts would devastate his district

    • [00:05] How his mother and public housing shaped his mission

    • [00:08] Struggles with mental health and the resilience behind his rise

    • [00:14] Why he values independence over tribalism

    • [00:18] On facing backlash for defending Israel and combating antisemitism

    • [00:24] Cutting through ideological noise: real issues vs. performative politics

    • [00:27] Thoughts on Trump, authoritarian threats, and American democracy

    • [00:28] Considering a run for Governor of New York

    • [00:29] The TP&R Question: How to foster pluralism in polarized times

    🧠 Key Takeaways
    • Politics is personal. Rep. Torres's life story fuels his commitment to housing, healthcare, and fighting poverty.

    • Independence matters. He resists ideological pressure to stay focused on practical solutions.

    • Mental health is not taboo. Rep. Torres openly discusses depression and how therapy and medication help him lead.

    • Courage isn’t comfortable. Taking principled stands—especially on Israel—can invite hostility but builds credibility.

    • Pluralism is essential. Democracy thrives when we resist extremism and practice intellectual humility.

    💬 Notable Quotes

    “Before I’m a congressman, I’m the son of my mother.” “The greatest threat to liberal democracy isn’t the extremes—it’s the cowardice of the center.” “Mental illness is nothing to be ashamed of. It’s something to talk about.” “Pluralism should not be seen as a weakness, but a strength.”

    🔗 Connect with Corey

    Corey is @coreysnathan on all the socials...

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    Proud members of The Democracy Group

    🎙️ May your next conversation be a little braver — and a little more grounded in good faith.

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    31 m
  • ICYMI: David French — Faith, Politics, and the Ethics of Disagreement
    Dec 3 2025

    One of the most clarifying conversations we’ve had about conscience, character, and navigating our divisions with integrity.

    In this ICYMI release, Corey revisits his conversation with David French — New York Times columnist, attorney, veteran, and one of the most thoughtful voices on religious liberty, civic virtue, polarization, and how principled disagreement can strengthen rather than destroy a pluralistic society.

    David unpacks how he thinks about political persuasion, why courage and humility are twin civic virtues, what it means to disagree in good faith, how social media distorts our moral instincts, and why democracy requires both conviction and restraint.

    If you’re new to TP&R thanks to Podbean, Overcast, or a friend’s recommendation, this episode is an ideal introduction: rigorous, nuanced, grounded in lived experience, and rooted in a deep belief in the dignity of difference.

    📣 Calls to Action

    ✅ TELL A FRIEND ABOUT TP&R!!! Help spread the message of meaningful conversation.

    ✅ Subscribe to Talkin' Politics & Religion Without Killin' Each Other on your favorite podcast platform.

    ✅ Leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or anywhere you listen

    ✅ Join the community on Substack: coreysnathan.substack.com

    ✅ Watch & subscribe on YouTube: youtube.com/@politicsandreligion

    ⏱️ Timestamps & Key Topics

    [00:00] Corey welcomes new listeners & frames the ICYMI series [00:02] David’s path from law and military service to commentary [00:08] Why pluralism requires courage, humility, and restraint [00:14] The ethics of disagreement & how to argue in good faith [00:21] Tribal identity, social media, and moral panic [00:28] Religious liberty, conscience, and the case for principled pluralism [00:36] Persuasion vs. performative politics [00:41] Hope, community, and why democracy is worth the struggle

    🧠 Key Takeaways
    • Pluralism is a moral discipline. It requires seeing opponents as neighbors, not enemies.

    • Arguments should be invitations, not indictments. Good-faith disagreement is a civic good.

    • Identity often overwhelms evidence. Social media amplifies fear, outrage, and tribal reflexes.

    • Religious liberty protects everyone. David explains why conscience rights are essential in a diverse democracy.

    💬 Notable Quotes
    • “You cannot have a functioning democracy unless people are free to disagree in good faith.”

    • “Pluralism is hard — but the alternative is worse.”

    • “If your goal is persuasion, performative outrage is self-defeating.”

    • “Humility is not weakness; it’s a civic virtue.”

    🛠️ Resources Mentioned
    • Divided We Fall — David French

    • David French’s writing at The New York Times

    🔗 Connect with Corey

    Corey is @coreysnathan on all the socials...

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    🙌 Our Sponsors
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    • The Village Square: villagesquare.us

    • Meza Wealth Management: mezawealth.com

    Proud members of The Democracy Group

    May your next conversation be a little braver — and a little more grounded in good faith. 🎙️✨

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    1 h y 18 m
  • ICYMI: Anne Applebaum — How Autocrats Rise and Democracies Fall
    Dec 1 2025

    One of the most essential conversations we’ve had — on authoritarianism, influence campaigns, and what it takes to defend democracy.

    In this ICYMI release, Corey revisits his conversation with Anne Applebaum — Pulitzer Prize–winning historian, staff writer at The Atlantic, and one of the world’s leading experts on modern authoritarianism.

    Anne explains how autocrats collaborate across borders, why propaganda spreads so easily, how economic complicity in the West has empowered illiberal regimes, and what ordinary citizens can actually do to strengthen democratic culture.

    If you’re new to TP&R thanks to Podbean, Overcast or were recommended this program by a friend, this conversation is the perfect introduction: rigorous, accessible, global in scope, and grounded in the belief that democratic values are worth defending.

    📣 Calls to Action

    ✅ TELL A FRIEND ABOUT TP&R!!! Help spread the message of meaningful conversation.

    ✅ Subscribe to Talkin' Politics & Religion Without Killin' Each Other on your favorite podcast platform.

    ✅ Leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or anywhere you listen

    ✅ Join the community on Substack: coreysnathan.substack.com

    ✅ Watch & subscribe on YouTube: youtube.com/@politicsandreligion

    ⏱️ Timestamps & Key Topics

    [00:00] Corey welcomes new listeners & frames the ICYMI series [00:02] Anne’s path from studying history to analyzing modern authoritarianism [00:08] How Russia, China, Iran, and others collaborate in “Autocracy, Inc.” [00:15] Why propaganda works — and how autocrats weaponize fear [00:22] Western financial and technological complicity [00:28] Ukraine, disinformation, and why this moment is globally defining [00:36] How everyday people can defend democratic culture

    🧠 Key Takeaways
    • Authoritarianism is a network. Modern autocrats copy one another’s tactics and often cooperate.

    • Propaganda targets identity, not facts. Fear and belonging drive political behavior more than information.

    • Democratic decline isn’t inevitable. Transparency, civic courage, and local engagement matter.

    • The fight begins at home. Repairing democratic culture starts with relationships, curiosity, and shared work.

    💬 Notable Quotes
    • “Their common enemy isn’t each other — it’s liberal democracy.”

    • “You weaken a society by making people fear one another.”

    • “We enabled this system when we let dark money and technology flow freely.”

    • “You can’t defend democracy if you don’t understand what’s threatening it.”

    🛠️ Resources Mentioned
    • Twilight of Democracy — Anne Applebaum

    • Autocracy, Inc. — Anne Applebaum

    • Anne’s writing in The Atlantic

    🔗 Connect with Corey

    Corey is @coreysnathan on all the socials...

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    🙌 Our Sponsors
    • Pew Research Center: www.pewresearch.org

    • The Village Square: villagesquare.us

    Proud members of The Democracy Group

    May your next conversation be a little braver — and a little clearer about what’s at stake. 🎙️✨

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    1 h y 6 m
  • ICYMI: David Brooks on Moral Repair, Friendship, Faith, and the Inner Work of Democracy
    Nov 30 2025
    One of TP&R’s all-time standout conversations—perfect for new listeners discovering the show this week. In this special ICYMI release, Corey revisits his deeply human, deeply honest conversation with David Brooks—New York Times columnist, bestselling author of The Second Mountain and How to Know a Person, and one of the most thoughtful public voices on moral formation, democracy, and what it takes to live well with one another. This episode has become a listener favorite not because it’s political in the usual sense… but because it’s personal. Corey and David talk candidly about depression, friendship, loss, faith, identity, community-building, and the inner transformations required for a democratic people to live together without coming apart. If you’re new to TP&R thanks to the Podbean or Overcast promotions, start here. This is TP&R at its best: honest, vulnerable, intellectually rigorous, and grounded in real moral imagination. 📣 Calls to Action ✅ TELL A FRIEND ABOUT TP&R!!! Help spread the message of meaningful conversation. ✅ Subscribe to Talkin' Politics & Religion Without Killin' Each Other on your favorite podcast platform. ✅ Leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or anywhere you listen ✅ Join the community on Substack: coreysnathan.substack.com ✅ Watch & subscribe on YouTube: youtube.com/@politicsandreligion ⏱️ Timestamps & Key Topics [00:00] Corey welcomes new listeners & explains the ICYMI series [00:02] Introducing David: columnist, author, moral observer [00:04] On Mets fandom, heartbreak, suffering, and hope [00:08] Camp friendships, identity formation & “Brooksy” [00:13] Depression, presence, and “the ministry of ‘that sucks’” [00:20] Loving presence, bathmats, and practical compassion [00:23] Growing up Jewish → becoming Christian [00:30] Jesus as a Jew, a renegade, and a revolutionary in a real historical world [00:33] Identity, peoplehood, and ambivalence in a time of antisemitism [00:36] Christianity beyond “the Shire”: Keller, Wehner, Rauch [00:38] The rise of loneliness, social fragmentation & the birth of Weave [00:41] Meeting America’s “weavers”: trust-builders & quiet healers [00:46] David’s writing practice: piles on the floor, synthesis, and deadlines [00:51] Actors, empathy, and the craft of deeply seeing others [00:53] The TP&R Question: how do we talk across differences? [00:57] Moni Guzmán, Crucial Conversations & asking “Why you?” [00:58] On Michael Gerson, Tim Keller, loss & gratitude [01:04] How to follow David Brooks and dive deeper into his work 🧠 Key Takeaways Presence > solutions. When someone is suffering, the most healing thing isn’t fixing—it’s showing up. Everyone has a soul. David’s turning point toward faith began in a subway station, noticing the invisible depth of every person around him. We need weavers. America’s social fragmentation is being repaired by local, trusted community-builders showing quiet, everyday courage. Curiosity is a moral virtue. Asking “How did you come to believe that?” opens the door to empathy across political and religious divides. Conversation is a craft. Don’t top stories. Don’t multitask attention. Find the disagreement under the disagreement. We inherit peoplehood as much as belief. David discusses living as a Jew ethnically and culturally, even as a practicing Christian. Faith involves ambivalence—but also joy. “If you can believe it three or four days out of ten, believe it with laughter.” 💬 Notable Quotes “Life has not stopped expecting things of you.” “Your first job in conflict is to stand in the other person’s standpoint.” “Presence is the core of friendship—words often fail, but presence doesn’t.” “We’re beggars who tell other beggars where we found bread.” “Jesus wasn’t a wispy Renaissance figure—he was a badass Jewish revolutionary in a world of occupation and revolt.” “The smartest Christians are Jews.” (Brooks, joking-but-not-joking) “Argument is prayer.” 🛠️ Resources Mentioned David Brooks — How to Know a Person Weave: The Social Fabric Project — https://weavers.org Mónica Guzmán — I Never Thought of It That Way 🔗 Connect with Corey Corey is @coreysnathan on all the socials... SubstackLinkedInFacebookInstagramTwitterThreadsBlueskyTikTok 🙌 Our Sponsors Pew Research Center: www.pewresearch.org The Village Square: villagesquare.us Proud members of The Democracy Group May your next conversation be a little braver—and a little kinder. 🎙️✨
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    1 h y 7 m
  • Something Special for the Holiday: EAST MEETS WEST SPORTS - Cleveland’s QB Gamble & LA’s Power Play
    Nov 27 2025

    Call it a holiday palate cleanser: today’s TP&R feed features a special drop from East Meets West Sports. Be sure to find this new show on all the apps, follow, rate, review... You know the drill. Enjoy!

    Can Shedeur Sanders prove he's “the one” – or is Cleveland just buying time? Meanwhile, LA sports shake things up from the locker room to the front office.

    In this riveting holiday edition of East Meets West Sports, Rick Garcia and Corey Nathan dive deep into the buzz surrounding Shedeur Sanders, who made his first NFL start at QB with the Browns amid swirling controversy, legacy baggage, and sky-high expectations. Is he truly “who they’ve been waiting for”—or just the latest victim of hype?

    From there, they pivot to LA’s sports scene, dissecting how the Dodgers’ analytics dynasty is reshaping the Lakers’ future following their acquisition. Can a World Series-winning front office build an NBA championship contender?

    They round things out with reflections on sports gratitude this Thanksgiving—from New York family traditions to LA playoff dreams.

    ⏱️ Timestamps & Topics Time Segment 00:00 – 01:30 🎩 Opening Banter: Rick and Corey reunite, and Corey flaunts his Rumble Ponies pride 01:30 – 04:00 🏈 Shedeur Sanders Debut: Breaking down stats, the media circus, and locker room concerns 04:00 – 07:00 🤔 QB Leadership vs. Hype: What defines a true NFL leader? Can Sanders walk the walk? 07:00 – 11:00 🧠 Circus, Draft Slide & Deshaun's Influence: Why did Shedeur fall to Round 5? Is Watson a help or harm? 11:00 – 14:00 📊 QB Development & Teammate Trust: Kaepernick parallels, coachability & long-term upside 14:00 – 17:00 🧐 Is He the Guy? What the Browns must learn in 6 games—and the stakes of passing on a QB in 2026 17:00 – 19:30 🏀 Lakers Ownership Shift: Dodgers take control, Buss family drama, and a new analytics era 19:30 – 22:00 ⚙️ Baseball to Basketball: Can MLB strategy win in the NBA? Corey’s cautious optimism 22:00 – 25:00 ⚾ Human In, Human Out: How AI parallels the rise of sports analytics 25:00 – 27:00 📈 Legacy of Intuition & Gut Calls: From Dave Roberts to baseball's new age of decision-making 27:00 – 29:00 🙏 Thanksgiving Reflections: Family, sports, tradition, and what the fellas are thankful for 29:00 – End 🦃 Rick’s Gratitude & Wrap-Up: Rams, Dodgers, holiday football, and LA’s big dreams 💡 Notable Highlights
    • Shedeur’s Swagger vs. Substance: “I’m who they’ve been looking for.” One game in—and already proclaiming QB supremacy?

    • QB Culture Clash: Rick notes: “You don’t want flamboyance from your QB. Save that for wide receivers.”

    • NFL Legacy Trap: Draft drop, pre-draft attitude, and comparisons to past one-hit wonders (RG3, Bradford) raise red flags.

    • Dodgers' Takeover of the Lakers: What happens when LA’s baseball brains apply their World Series formula to hoops?

    • AI in Sports & Life: Introducing the concept of “Human in, Human out” and how analytics need balance with experience—on and off the field.

    • Family, Football & Tradition: Corey’s heartfelt story about watching Rangers and Knicks games with his brother continues a family ritual of yelling at the TV—with love.

    🧠 Key Takeaways
    • Leadership defines quarterbacks. It’s not about flash—it's about film study, locker room respect, and consistency under pressure.

    • Cleveland needs answers fast. With two first-round picks looming, the Browns must know if Shedeur is the future—or just a phase.

    • Analytics aren't magic. LA’s front office shuffle shows promise—but success in one sport doesn’t guarantee it in another.

    • Tradition matters. Thanksgiving brings together food, family, and fandom in ways that enrich the sports experience beyond the game.

    🔗 Find Us On

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    33 m
  • Dr. Melissa Deckman on America’s Cracks: Trumpism, Gen Z, and the Faith Factor
    Nov 25 2025

    What PRRI’s Latest Data Reveals About Our Deepening Divide

    In the shadow of rising polarization, this episode dives deep into the latest findings from PRRI's American Values Survey, Trump’s Unprecedented Actions Deepen Asymmetric Divides. Corey is joined by Dr. Melissa Deckman to break down the data—and what it tells us about party loyalty, trust in institutions, Christian nationalism, and shifting norms around religion and identity.

    They also unpack how Gen Z is engaging with this cultural landscape, particularly the gender divide between young men and women, and what the term “party agnostic” really means for the next generation of voters.

    📣 Calls to Action

    ✅ TELL A FRIEND ABOUT TP&R!!! Help spread the message of meaningful conversation.

    ✅ Subscribe to Talkin' Politics & Religion Without Killin' Each Other on your favorite podcast platform.

    ✅ Leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or anywhere you listen

    ✅ Join the community on Substack: coreysnathan.substack.com

    ✅ Watch & subscribe on YouTube: youtube.com/@politicsandreligion

    ⏱️ Timestamps & Key Topics

    • [00:00] Welcome & Dr. Deckman’s backstory and PRRI’s mission

    • [00:08] From academia to leading PRRI: a bigger classroom

    • [00:15] Understanding PRRI’s gold-standard polling methods

    • [00:22] Good vs. bad polling: what to watch out for

    • [00:27] Gen Z women, the 2024 elections, and the myth of the “tradwife”

    • [00:33] Why Gen Z is “party agnostic” and focused on issues over institutions

    • [00:40] Masculinity, natalism, and TikTok trends among Gen Z

    • [00:46] The polarization puzzle: institutions, independents, and asymmetric divides

    • [00:53] Christian nationalism’s rise—and resistance

    • [00:58] Who are the “exvangelicals” and why are they leaving?

    🧠 Key Takeaways

    • Gen Z ≠ monolithic: Gen Z women remain highly progressive; young men are more ideologically mixed

    • Polls aren’t predictions: They’re snapshots, and question design is key

    • Christian nationalism challenges democracy—but pluralism still prevails

    • Exvangelicals leave due to politicization and LGBTQ exclusion

    • Media silos are splitting Gen Z worldviews by gender

    💬 Notable Quotes

    “We don’t beat up the photographer if the runner in the lead ends up losing. So why do we do that to pollsters?” “Religion can hinder—but also foster—democracy.” “Gen Z women are not buying what MAGA is selling.” “Good polling is as much art as science.”

    🛠️ Resources Mentioned
    • Public Religion Research Institute - prri.org
    • American Values Survey - prri.org/american-values-survey
    • The Politics of Gen Z by Dr. Melissa Deckman - cup.columbia.edu/book/the-politics-of-gen-z/9780231560085/
    🔗 Connect on Social Media

    Corey is @coreysnathan on...

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    • The Village Square: villagesquare.us

    Proud members of The Democracy Group

    Thanks for tuning in! Now go talk politics and religion—with gentleness and respect. 🎙️✨
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    1 h y 18 m
  • Redemption Projects: From Wreckage to Repair
    Nov 21 2025
    Repairing the damage—in our democracy, in our relationships, and in ourselves. ✨ Episode Summary Let’s talk about redemption—what it really means to repair what’s been broken, whether in our democracy or in our personal lives, and how we can tell the difference between a true apology and just going through the motions. Inspired by a powerful Substack piece by Mike Madrid, we'll reflect on the nuances between performative apologies and genuine repentance, weaving in theological insights, literary references like East of Eden, and real-life examples. We'll consider how we engage with those who have caused harm—and what it means to truly repair what’s broken, especially as Thanksgiving and moments of family reconnection approach. 📣 Calls to Action ✅ TELL A FRIEND ABOUT TP&R!!! Help spread the message of meaningful conversation. ✅ Subscribe to Talkin' Politics & Religion Without Killin' Each Other on your favorite podcast platform. ✅ Leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or anywhere you listen ✅ Join the community on Substack: coreysnathan.substack.com ✅ Watch & subscribe on YouTube: youtube.com/@politicsandreligion 🕰️ Timestamps & Topics [00:00] Intro & Shoutouts Thanks to Democracy Group, Village Square, and Masa Wealth Management Announcing new podcast! East Meets West Sports 🏈🏀⚾️ [02:00] Mike Madrid’s Provocative Question “Is saying sorry enough?” from The Great Transformation Substack The difference between performative and genuine repentance [04:00] What Does Real Repentance Look Like? Acknowledgment vs. avoidance of harm Lessons from post-Nixon America and January 6th [09:00] The Universal Story of Redemption Biblical framework: Genesis and the role of agency The ongoing "redemption project" from chaos to order [14:00] Steinbeck’s ‘East of Eden’ & the Power of ‘Thou Mayest’ 📖 Deep dive into theological and philosophical implications of choice Embracing agency in moral and civic life [17:00] Thanksgiving & Civic Relationships Mending fences in politics and family Why showing up—without drama—matters [21:00] Contrasting Two Real-Life Conflicts When reconciliation is possible vs. when blocking is necessary The limits of forgiveness and ongoing harm [26:00] How to Participate in Civic Redemption Nonviolent resistance and Prop 50 reflections Using political voice without resorting to the tactics we oppose [30:00] A Model of Contrition: Joe Walsh Example of public repentance and political evolution Engaging those who choose to say "I'm sorry" [33:00] When People Don’t Want Redemption The rise of malice-driven political actors What we can control: participating in healing 💡 Notable Quotes "Sin is a separation from the ideal... but thou mayest overcome it." — Corey Nathan, referencing East of Eden "To repair our democracy, we need to repair relationships." "I believe in God—and even more strongly—I believe I am not God. Which means I’m not perfect." 🛠️ Resources Mentioned ✍️ Mike Madrid’s Substack - greattransformation.substack.com 🎧 East Meets West Sports Podcast with Rick Garcia - podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/east-meets-west-sports/id1851251950 🔗 Connect on Social Media Corey is @coreysnathan on... SubstackLinkedInFacebookInstagramTwitterThreadsBlueskyTikTok 🙌 Our Sponsors Meza Wealth Management: www.mezawealth.com The Village Square: villagesquare.us Proud members of The Democracy Group 🎧 Thanks for listening! Take a moment to name the good stuff in your life. And as always, go talk politics and religion—with gentleness and respect. 🎙️✨
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    41 m
  • Polling, Prop Bets, and Political Truths: Carl Allen Returns
    Nov 18 2025
    What do you get when a data scientist with a knack for sports betting and political forecasting returns to the pod? A masterclass in what polling can and can't do, how bad assumptions skew our democracy, and why Carl Allen thinks we need to stop blaming the camera for the race result. In this fascinating, far-ranging convo, Corey and Carl Allen (author of The Polls Weren’t Wrong) break down why political polling is misunderstood, how data intersects with integrity, and where we go from here in the 2026 election cycle. They also take a surprising detour into MLB match-fixing, sports betting strategies, and how the “edge of the bell curve” reveals more than most talking heads on TV. 📣 Calls to Action ✅ TELL A FRIEND ABOUT TP&R!!! Help spread the message of meaningful conversation. ✅ Subscribe to Talkin' Politics & Religion Without Killin' Each Other on your favorite podcast platform. ✅ Leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or anywhere you listen ✅ Join the community on Substack: coreysnathan.substack.com ✅ Watch & subscribe on YouTube: youtube.com/@politicsandreligion ⏱️ Timestamps & Key Topics [00:00] Welcome & Carl’s update on his Substack and data research [00:04] MLB pitch-fixing scandal, ethics in sports betting, and data detection [00:10] How Carl became a professional sports bettor—accidentally [00:14] Finding value in rare events: betting baseball home runs and NFL TDs [00:20] Political forecasting vs. polling: "Polls are not predictions" [00:28] Nate Silver, spread fallacies, and the misuse of polling data [00:34] Why undecided and third-party voters break the math [00:43] 2024 election surprises and the power of high voter turnout [00:50] What to watch in 2026: the Senate map, gerrymandering, and candidate quality [00:56] The TP&R question: Building bridges by talking about anything but politics 🧠 Key Takeaways Polls ≠ Predictions: A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast. Yet many analysts treat it like a crystal ball. Margins lie: Spread (the difference between candidates in polls) is often misleading—especially when undecided voters are high. Integrity matters: Carl warns that analysts must be consistent—praising predictions that turn out right and taking accountability when wrong. High turnout shifts everything: New Jersey’s 2025 elections showed that even strong vote counts can get dwarfed by record-breaking turnout. Quantifying uncertainty is revolutionary: Understanding what we don’t know is just as important as what we do. 💬 Notable Quotes “Polls are not predictions of election outcomes. That simple statement contradicts the global consensus.” “We don't beat up the photographer if the runner in the lead ends up losing. So why do we do that to pollsters?” “Some two-point leads are better than six-point leads—depending on where you are in the race.” “Being wrong is fine. Being inconsistent is not.” “Gerrymandering means leaders get to pick their voters, instead of voters picking their leaders.” 🔗 Connect Carl Allen’s Substack: realcarlallen.substack.com Carl’s Book: The Polls Weren’t Wrong Corey is @coreysnathan on... SubstackLinkedInFacebookInstagramTwitterThreadsBlueskyTikTok 🙌 Our Sponsors Meza Wealth Management: www.mezawealth.com The Village Square: villagesquare.us Proud members of The Democracy Group 🎧 Thanks for listening! Take a moment to name the good stuff in your life. And as always, go talk politics and religion—with gentleness and respect. 🎙️✨
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    1 h y 25 m