Episodios

  • The danger of being too sure of the outcome
    Jul 22 2024
    • Strength: The Fed's tone is changing
    • Weakness: Tech wreck
    • Opportunity: Ride the rotation
    • Threat: Snowballing negative sentiment
    Más Menos
    18 m
  • Beware the Red Queen
    Jul 15 2024

    Strength: interest rate pressure might be subsiding. Weakness: risk to earnings forecasts. Opportunity: companies that disproportionately benefit from lower rates. Threat: a rotation away from market cap heavy names.

    Más Menos
    14 m
  • A political risk....but not THAT way
    Jul 8 2024

    Modest progress toward inflation targets for strength but weakness with cracks in the credit armor. Opportunity exists with cheap protection but economic roadburn and politics are weaknesses.

    Más Menos
    17 m
  • A big week for data
    Jul 1 2024

    Our strength is continued US exceptionalism while concentration risks in the economy present weakness. Opportunity exists by not extrapolating the downward trend in momentum towards something else while momentum crashes present a threat.

    Más Menos
    15 m
  • Will the Fed act properly?
    Jun 24 2024

    Nvidia (and chips) are strong while consumers are feeling pinched. There is opportunity with the acceleration of earnings but a threat remains if the Fed acts too little, too late.

    Más Menos
    14 m
  • A little too cozy in the Magnificent Seven?
    Jun 17 2024

    Back on track for inflation but lingering weakness in transportation names. Opportunity with quality growth (and AI has legs!) but complacency in the Magnificent Seven.

    Más Menos
    13 m
  • 1st Tuesday November. A date with destiny?
    Jun 10 2024

    Interest and dividends are helping retirees but higher rates may eventually bite. There are opportunities in infrastructure and utilities with AI but geopolitical risk is coming back.

    Más Menos
    17 m
  • Growth: Slowing to a crawl
    Jun 3 2024

    Strength: Average stock is better than the index. Weakness: Auction anxiety is back. Opportunity: Oversold interest rate sensitives are good for a trade. Weakness: Growth cools faster than inflation.

    Más Menos
    14 m