The first quarter may have marked the bottom for freight markets, even as the outlook remains mixed with a high degree of uncertainty. In this Talking Transports podcast, Ravi Shanker, Morgan Stanley’s managing director and lead analyst for North American freight transportation and airlines, joins Lee Klaskow, Bloomberg Intelligence senior transportation and logistics analyst, to share his takeaways from 1Q earnings and his longer-term outlook. Shanker expects the truckload market cycle will turn on increased demand over an acceleration of supply leaving the market as inventories are restocked. He also talks about precision-scheduled railroading, focusing beyond operating ratio for railroads, parcel markets, airlines service, less-than-truckload valuation and how a quote in Car and Driver magazine changed his life.

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New and pending shipping regulations are increasing the complexity and costs to operate in the dry-bulk market, resulting in higher barriers to entry. This could drive market consolidation as carriers look to build scale. In this Talking Transports podcast, Cetus Maritime Chief Operating Officer Olivia Lennox-King joins Lee Klaskow, Bloomberg Intelligence senior transportation and logistics analyst, to talk about the state of the dry-bulk and handysize markets. Increased ton-miles from market dislocation, like those in the Red Sea, coupled with a low order book, should bode well for Handy-size rates this year. Lennox-King also talks about how the sector will most likely look to meet global standards to reach net-zero greenhouse-gas emissions by 2050.

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A more competitive bid season, an irrational spot market and severe January weather took a toll on truckers this year. More capacity will need to exit the market before freight rates and earnings can inflect positively for truckload carriers. In this Talking Transports podcast, American Trucking Associations’ (ATA) Chief Economist and Senior Vice President Bob Costello joins Lee Klaskow, Bloomberg Intelligence senior transportation and logistics analyst, to talk about the state of the truckload and less-than-truckload segments and what lies down the road for the trucking industry. The market has become more volatile, and a turnaround will likely happen quicker than in previous cycles, Costello says. He also talks about autonomous trucking, electric trucks, new emission standards and driver availability.

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