-
Bernoulli's Fallacy
- Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
- Narrado por: Tim H. Dixon
- Duración: 15 h y 14 m
No se pudo agregar al carrito
Add to Cart failed.
Error al Agregar a Lista de Deseos.
Error al eliminar de la lista de deseos.
Error al añadir a tu biblioteca
Error al seguir el podcast
Error al dejar de seguir el podcast
Compra ahora por $29.95
No default payment method selected.
We are sorry. We are not allowed to sell this product with the selected payment method
Los oyentes también disfrutaron...
-
The Book of Why
- The New Science of Cause and Effect
- De: Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie
- Narrado por: Mel Foster
- Duración: 15 h y 14 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
"Correlation does not imply causation". This mantra has been invoked by scientists for decades and has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. But today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, sparked by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and placed causality - the study of cause and effect - on a firm scientific basis.
-
-
Great book! Not a great audiobook.
- De rrwright en 05-30-18
De: Judea Pearl, y otros
-
The Model Thinker
- What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You
- De: Scott E. Page
- Narrado por: Jamie Renell
- Duración: 15 h y 45 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Work with data like a pro using this guide that breaks down how to organize, apply, and most importantly, understand what you are analyzing in order to become a true data ninja.
-
-
It does not work on Audible
- De Hamilton Carvalho en 05-14-21
De: Scott E. Page
-
Naked Statistics
- Stripping the Dread from the Data
- De: Charles Wheelan
- Narrado por: Jonathan Davis
- Duración: 10 h y 48 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
From batting averages and political polls to game shows and medical research, the real-world application of statistics continues to grow by leaps and bounds. How can we catch schools that cheat on standardized tests? How does Netflix know which movies you'll like? What is causing the rising incidence of autism? As best-selling author Charles Wheelan shows us in Naked Statistics, the right data and a few well-chosen statistical tools can help us answer these questions and more.
-
-
Starts well then becomes non-Audible
- De Michael en 09-07-13
De: Charles Wheelan
-
How Not to Be Wrong
- The Power of Mathematical Thinking
- De: Jordan Ellenberg
- Narrado por: Jordan Ellenberg
- Duración: 13 h y 29 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Ellenberg chases mathematical threads through a vast range of time and space, from the everyday to the cosmic, encountering, among other things, baseball, Reaganomics, daring lottery schemes, Voltaire, the replicability crisis in psychology, Italian Renaissance painting, artificial languages, the development of non-Euclidean geometry, the coming obesity apocalypse, Antonin Scalia's views on crime and punishment, the psychology of slime molds, what Facebook can and can't figure out about you, and the existence of God.
-
-
Great book but better in writing
- De Michael en 07-02-14
De: Jordan Ellenberg
-
Shape
- The Hidden Geometry of Information, Biology, Strategy, Democracy, and Everything Else
- De: Jordan Ellenberg
- Narrado por: Jordan Ellenberg
- Duración: 14 h y 23 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
If you're like most people, geometry is a dimly remembered exercise you gladly left behind in the dust of ninth grade. It's plodding through a series of miniscule steps only to prove some fact about triangles that was obvious to you in the first place. That's not geometry. Okay, it is geometry, but only a tiny part, which has as much to do with geometry in all its flush modern richness as conjugating a verb has to do with a great novel. Shape reveals the geometry underneath some of the most important scientific, political, and philosophical problems we face.
-
-
Excellent, but not suited for an audiobook
- De Fred271 en 06-21-21
De: Jordan Ellenberg
-
The Art of Statistics
- How to Learn from Data
- De: David Spiegelhalter
- Narrado por: Jonathan Davis
- Duración: 9 h y 1 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Statistics are everywhere, as integral to science as they are to business, and in the popular media hundreds of times a day. In this age of big data, a basic grasp of statistical literacy is more important than ever if we want to separate the fact from the fiction, the ostentatious embellishments from the raw evidence - and even more so if we hope to participate in the future, rather than being simple bystanders.
-
-
very good statistics overview
- De Tom en 11-29-19
-
The Book of Why
- The New Science of Cause and Effect
- De: Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie
- Narrado por: Mel Foster
- Duración: 15 h y 14 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
"Correlation does not imply causation". This mantra has been invoked by scientists for decades and has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. But today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, sparked by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and placed causality - the study of cause and effect - on a firm scientific basis.
-
-
Great book! Not a great audiobook.
- De rrwright en 05-30-18
De: Judea Pearl, y otros
-
The Model Thinker
- What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You
- De: Scott E. Page
- Narrado por: Jamie Renell
- Duración: 15 h y 45 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Work with data like a pro using this guide that breaks down how to organize, apply, and most importantly, understand what you are analyzing in order to become a true data ninja.
-
-
It does not work on Audible
- De Hamilton Carvalho en 05-14-21
De: Scott E. Page
-
Naked Statistics
- Stripping the Dread from the Data
- De: Charles Wheelan
- Narrado por: Jonathan Davis
- Duración: 10 h y 48 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
From batting averages and political polls to game shows and medical research, the real-world application of statistics continues to grow by leaps and bounds. How can we catch schools that cheat on standardized tests? How does Netflix know which movies you'll like? What is causing the rising incidence of autism? As best-selling author Charles Wheelan shows us in Naked Statistics, the right data and a few well-chosen statistical tools can help us answer these questions and more.
-
-
Starts well then becomes non-Audible
- De Michael en 09-07-13
De: Charles Wheelan
-
How Not to Be Wrong
- The Power of Mathematical Thinking
- De: Jordan Ellenberg
- Narrado por: Jordan Ellenberg
- Duración: 13 h y 29 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Ellenberg chases mathematical threads through a vast range of time and space, from the everyday to the cosmic, encountering, among other things, baseball, Reaganomics, daring lottery schemes, Voltaire, the replicability crisis in psychology, Italian Renaissance painting, artificial languages, the development of non-Euclidean geometry, the coming obesity apocalypse, Antonin Scalia's views on crime and punishment, the psychology of slime molds, what Facebook can and can't figure out about you, and the existence of God.
-
-
Great book but better in writing
- De Michael en 07-02-14
De: Jordan Ellenberg
-
Shape
- The Hidden Geometry of Information, Biology, Strategy, Democracy, and Everything Else
- De: Jordan Ellenberg
- Narrado por: Jordan Ellenberg
- Duración: 14 h y 23 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
If you're like most people, geometry is a dimly remembered exercise you gladly left behind in the dust of ninth grade. It's plodding through a series of miniscule steps only to prove some fact about triangles that was obvious to you in the first place. That's not geometry. Okay, it is geometry, but only a tiny part, which has as much to do with geometry in all its flush modern richness as conjugating a verb has to do with a great novel. Shape reveals the geometry underneath some of the most important scientific, political, and philosophical problems we face.
-
-
Excellent, but not suited for an audiobook
- De Fred271 en 06-21-21
De: Jordan Ellenberg
-
The Art of Statistics
- How to Learn from Data
- De: David Spiegelhalter
- Narrado por: Jonathan Davis
- Duración: 9 h y 1 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Statistics are everywhere, as integral to science as they are to business, and in the popular media hundreds of times a day. In this age of big data, a basic grasp of statistical literacy is more important than ever if we want to separate the fact from the fiction, the ostentatious embellishments from the raw evidence - and even more so if we hope to participate in the future, rather than being simple bystanders.
-
-
very good statistics overview
- De Tom en 11-29-19
-
The Joy of x
- A Guided Tour of Math, from One to Infinity
- De: Steven Strogatz
- Narrado por: Jonathan Yen
- Duración: 6 h y 9 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Many people take math in high school and promptly forget much of it. But math plays a part in all of our lives all of the time, whether we know it or not. In The Joy of x, Steven Strogatz expands on his hit New York Times series to explain the big ideas of math gently and clearly, with wit, and insight.
-
-
Great listen
- De cameron en 08-16-19
De: Steven Strogatz
-
Journey to the Edge of Reason
- The Life of Kurt Gödel
- De: Stephen Budiansky
- Narrado por: Bob Souer
- Duración: 8 h y 52 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Nearly a hundred years after its publication, Kurt Gödel's famous proof that every mathematical system must contain propositions that are true - yet never provable - continues to unsettle mathematics, philosophy, and computer science. Yet unlike Einstein, with whom he formed a warm and abiding friendship, Gödel has long escaped all but the most casual scrutiny of his life.
-
-
Interesting story of a great mathematician
- De James Orlin en 04-28-22
-
The Signal and the Noise
- Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't
- De: Nate Silver
- Narrado por: Mike Chamberlain
- Duración: 16 h y 21 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger - all by the time he was 30. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data.
-
-
Learn About Statistics Without All The Math
- De Scott Fabel en 03-09-13
De: Nate Silver
-
The Data Detective
- Ten Easy Rules to Make Sense of Statistics
- De: Tim Harford
- Narrado por: Tim Harford
- Duración: 10 h y 24 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Today we think statistics are the enemy, numbers used to mislead and confuse us. That’s a mistake, Tim Harford says in The Data Detective. We shouldn’t be suspicious of statistics - we need to understand what they mean and how they can improve our lives: they are, at heart, human behavior seen through the prism of numbers and are often “the only way of grasping much of what is going on around us”.
-
-
I expected more
- De A. Visserman en 03-09-21
De: Tim Harford
-
The Myth of Artificial Intelligence
- Why Computers Can’t Think the Way We Do
- De: Erik J. Larson
- Narrado por: Perry Daniels
- Duración: 10 h y 9 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Futurists insist that AI will soon eclipse the capacities of the most gifted human mind. What hope do we have against superintelligent machines? But we aren't really on the path to developing intelligent machines. In fact, we don't even know where that path might be. Erik Larson takes us on a tour of the landscape of AI to show how far we are from superintelligence and what it would take to get there.
-
-
dead wrong after 2 years
- De K. Lyon en 07-11-23
De: Erik J. Larson
-
Noise
- A Flaw in Human Judgment
- De: Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, Cass R. Sunstein
- Narrado por: Jonathan Todd Ross
- Duración: 13 h y 28 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
From the best-selling author of Thinking, Fast and Slow, the co-author of Nudge, and the author of You Are About to Make a Terrible Mistake! comes Noise, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments, and how to control both noise and cognitive bias.
-
-
Disappointing
- De Z28 en 05-31-21
De: Daniel Kahneman, y otros
-
Rationality
- What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters
- De: Steven Pinker
- Narrado por: Arthur Morey
- Duración: 11 h y 19 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
In the 21st century, humanity is reaching new heights of scientific understanding - and at the same time appears to be losing its mind. How can a species that developed vaccines for COVID-19 in less than a year produce so much fake news, medical quackery, and conspiracy theorizing? Pinker rejects the cynical cliché that humans are an irrational species - cavemen out of time saddled with biases, fallacies, and illusions.
-
-
Steven Pinker's Frozen Worldview from the 90s
- De Ryan Booth en 11-12-21
De: Steven Pinker
-
Infinite Powers
- How Calculus Reveals the Secrets of the Universe
- De: Steven Strogatz
- Narrado por: Bob Souer
- Duración: 10 h y 41 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Infinite Powers recounts how calculus tantalized and thrilled its inventors, starting with its first glimmers in ancient Greece and bringing us right up to the discovery of gravitational waves. Strogatz reveals how this form of math rose to the challenges of each age: how to determine the area of a circle with only sand and a stick; how to explain why Mars goes "backwards" sometimes; how to turn the tide in the fight against AIDS.
-
-
Not written to be read aloud
- De A Reader in Maine en 02-21-20
De: Steven Strogatz
-
The Man from the Future
- The Visionary Life of John von Neumann
- De: Ananyo Bhattacharya
- Narrado por: Nicholas Camm
- Duración: 11 h y 56 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
The smartphones in our pockets and computers like brains. The vagaries of game theory and evolutionary biology. Nuclear weapons and self-replicating spacecrafts. All bear the fingerprints of one remarkable, yet largely overlooked, man: John von Neumann.
-
-
Good book, very odd narration
- De Ben Wiener en 04-10-22
-
A Most Elegant Equation
- Euler’s Formula and the Beauty of Mathematics
- De: David Stipp
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 5 h y 2 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Bertrand Russell wrote that mathematics can exalt "as surely as poetry". This is especially true of one equation: ei(pi) + 1 = 0, the brainchild of Leonhard Euler, the Mozart of mathematics. More than two centuries after Euler's death, it is still regarded as a conceptual diamond of unsurpassed beauty. Called Euler's identity, or God's equation, it includes just five numbers but represents an astonishing revelation of hidden connections.
-
-
Good treatment of the subject
- De Kindle Customer en 04-09-18
De: David Stipp
-
Causal Inference
- MIT Press Essential Knowledge Series
- De: Paul r. Rosenbaum
- Narrado por: Chris Monteiro
- Duración: 4 h y 25 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Causal Inference provides a brief and nontechnical introduction to randomized experiments, propensity scores, natural experiments, instrumental variables, sensitivity analysis, and quasi-experimental devices. Ideas are illustrated with examples from medicine, epidemiology, economics and business, the social sciences, and public policy.
-
-
Not appropriate for audible and the reader don’t know how to read math
- De Anonymous User en 08-01-24
-
Against Method
- De: Paul Feyerabend
- Narrado por: Mike Fraser
- Duración: 11 h y 43 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Paul Feyerabend’s globally acclaimed work, which sparked and continues to stimulate fierce debate, examines the deficiencies of many widespread ideas about scientific progress and the nature of knowledge. Feyerabend argues that scientific advances can only be understood in a historical context. He looks at the way the philosophy of science has consistently overemphasized practice over method, and considers the possibility that anarchism could replace rationalism in the theory of knowledge.
-
-
A Must Read
- De Gus en 11-08-23
De: Paul Feyerabend
Resumen del Editor
There is a logical flaw in the statistical methods used across experimental science. This fault is not a minor academic quibble: It underlies a reproducibility crisis now threatening entire disciplines. In an increasingly statistics-reliant society, this same deeply rooted error shapes decisions in medicine, law, and public policy, with profound consequences. The foundation of the problem is a misunderstanding of probability and its role in making inferences from observations.
Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the 17th-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it. He highlights how influential 19th- and 20th-century figures developed a statistical methodology they claimed was purely objective in order to silence critics of their political agendas, including eugenics.
Clayton provides a clear account of the mathematics and logic of probability, conveying complex concepts accessibly for listeners interested in the statistical methods that frame our understanding of the world. He contends that we need to take a Bayesian approach - that is, to incorporate prior knowledge when reasoning with incomplete information - in order to resolve the crisis. Ranging across math, philosophy, and culture, Bernoulli’s Fallacy explains why something has gone wrong with how we use data - and how to fix it.
PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio.
Relacionado con este tema
-
The Book of Why
- The New Science of Cause and Effect
- De: Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie
- Narrado por: Mel Foster
- Duración: 15 h y 14 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
"Correlation does not imply causation". This mantra has been invoked by scientists for decades and has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. But today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, sparked by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and placed causality - the study of cause and effect - on a firm scientific basis.
-
-
Great book! Not a great audiobook.
- De rrwright en 05-30-18
De: Judea Pearl, y otros
-
Proving History
- Bayes's Theorem and the Quest for the Historical Jesus
- De: Richard Carrier
- Narrado por: Richard Carrier
- Duración: 13 h y 4 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
This in-depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayes's Theorem, which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty, as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria. The author demonstrates that valid historical methods - not only in the study of Christian origins but in any historical study - can be described by, and reduced to, the logic of Bayes's Theorem. Conversely, he argues that any method that cannot be reduced to this theorem is invalid and should be abandoned.
-
-
Good Book, Difficult Format
- De Erin Branscome en 08-21-15
De: Richard Carrier
-
Mindware
- Tools for Smart Thinking
- De: Richard E. Nisbett
- Narrado por: Joe Barrett
- Duración: 10 h y 17 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Many scientific and philosophical ideas are so powerful that they can be applied to our lives at home, work, and school to help us think smarter and more effectively about our behavior and the world around us. Surprisingly, many of these ideas remain unknown to most of us. In Mindware, the world-renowned psychologist Richard Nisbett presents these ideas in clear and accessible detail, offering a tool kit for better thinking and wiser decisions.
-
-
Sound scientific advice on how to live your life
- De Neuron en 08-26-15
-
Noise
- A Flaw in Human Judgment
- De: Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, Cass R. Sunstein
- Narrado por: Jonathan Todd Ross
- Duración: 13 h y 28 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
From the best-selling author of Thinking, Fast and Slow, the co-author of Nudge, and the author of You Are About to Make a Terrible Mistake! comes Noise, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments, and how to control both noise and cognitive bias.
-
-
Disappointing
- De Z28 en 05-31-21
De: Daniel Kahneman, y otros
-
Why Trust Science?
- The University Center for Human Values, Book 1
- De: Naomi Oreskes
- Narrado por: John Chancer, Kelly Burke, Kerry Shale, y otros
- Duración: 8 h y 27 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Do doctors really know what they are talking about when they tell us vaccines are safe? Should we take climate experts at their word when they warn us about the perils of global warming? Why should we trust science when our own politicians don't? In this landmark book, Naomi Oreskes offers a bold and compelling defense of science, revealing why the social character of scientific knowledge is its greatest strength - and the greatest reason we can trust it.
-
-
Perfect Production of an Excellent Work
- De Andrew Mazibrada en 01-15-20
De: Naomi Oreskes
-
Where the Conflict Really Lies
- Science, Religion, & Naturalism
- De: Alvin Plantinga
- Narrado por: Michael Butler Murray
- Duración: 12 h y 43 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
This audiobook is a long-awaited major statement by a pre-eminent analytic philosopher, Alvin Plantinga, on one of our biggest debates - the compatibility of science and religion. The last twenty years has seen a cottage industry of books on this divide, but with little consensus emerging. Plantinga, as a top philosopher but also a proponent of the rationality of religious belief, has a unique contribution to make. His theme in this short book is that the conflict between science and theistic religion is actually superficial, and that at a deeper level they are in concord.
-
-
The reader makes or breaks an audiobook.
- De Alec en 02-16-15
De: Alvin Plantinga
-
The Book of Why
- The New Science of Cause and Effect
- De: Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie
- Narrado por: Mel Foster
- Duración: 15 h y 14 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
"Correlation does not imply causation". This mantra has been invoked by scientists for decades and has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. But today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, sparked by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and placed causality - the study of cause and effect - on a firm scientific basis.
-
-
Great book! Not a great audiobook.
- De rrwright en 05-30-18
De: Judea Pearl, y otros
-
Proving History
- Bayes's Theorem and the Quest for the Historical Jesus
- De: Richard Carrier
- Narrado por: Richard Carrier
- Duración: 13 h y 4 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
This in-depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole proposes Bayes's Theorem, which deals with probabilities under conditions of uncertainty, as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria. The author demonstrates that valid historical methods - not only in the study of Christian origins but in any historical study - can be described by, and reduced to, the logic of Bayes's Theorem. Conversely, he argues that any method that cannot be reduced to this theorem is invalid and should be abandoned.
-
-
Good Book, Difficult Format
- De Erin Branscome en 08-21-15
De: Richard Carrier
-
Mindware
- Tools for Smart Thinking
- De: Richard E. Nisbett
- Narrado por: Joe Barrett
- Duración: 10 h y 17 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Many scientific and philosophical ideas are so powerful that they can be applied to our lives at home, work, and school to help us think smarter and more effectively about our behavior and the world around us. Surprisingly, many of these ideas remain unknown to most of us. In Mindware, the world-renowned psychologist Richard Nisbett presents these ideas in clear and accessible detail, offering a tool kit for better thinking and wiser decisions.
-
-
Sound scientific advice on how to live your life
- De Neuron en 08-26-15
-
Noise
- A Flaw in Human Judgment
- De: Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, Cass R. Sunstein
- Narrado por: Jonathan Todd Ross
- Duración: 13 h y 28 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
From the best-selling author of Thinking, Fast and Slow, the co-author of Nudge, and the author of You Are About to Make a Terrible Mistake! comes Noise, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments, and how to control both noise and cognitive bias.
-
-
Disappointing
- De Z28 en 05-31-21
De: Daniel Kahneman, y otros
-
Why Trust Science?
- The University Center for Human Values, Book 1
- De: Naomi Oreskes
- Narrado por: John Chancer, Kelly Burke, Kerry Shale, y otros
- Duración: 8 h y 27 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Do doctors really know what they are talking about when they tell us vaccines are safe? Should we take climate experts at their word when they warn us about the perils of global warming? Why should we trust science when our own politicians don't? In this landmark book, Naomi Oreskes offers a bold and compelling defense of science, revealing why the social character of scientific knowledge is its greatest strength - and the greatest reason we can trust it.
-
-
Perfect Production of an Excellent Work
- De Andrew Mazibrada en 01-15-20
De: Naomi Oreskes
-
Where the Conflict Really Lies
- Science, Religion, & Naturalism
- De: Alvin Plantinga
- Narrado por: Michael Butler Murray
- Duración: 12 h y 43 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
This audiobook is a long-awaited major statement by a pre-eminent analytic philosopher, Alvin Plantinga, on one of our biggest debates - the compatibility of science and religion. The last twenty years has seen a cottage industry of books on this divide, but with little consensus emerging. Plantinga, as a top philosopher but also a proponent of the rationality of religious belief, has a unique contribution to make. His theme in this short book is that the conflict between science and theistic religion is actually superficial, and that at a deeper level they are in concord.
-
-
The reader makes or breaks an audiobook.
- De Alec en 02-16-15
De: Alvin Plantinga
-
Freedom Evolves
- De: Daniel C. Dennett
- Narrado por: Robert Blumenfeld
- Duración: 11 h y 21 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Can there be freedom and free will in a deterministic world? Renowned philosopher Daniel Dennett emphatically answers "yes!" Using an array of provocative formulations, Dennett sets out to show how we alone among the animals have evolved minds that give us free will and morality. Weaving a richly detailed narrative, Dennett explains in a series of strikingly original arguments - drawing upon evolutionary biology, cognitive neuroscience, economics, and philosophy - that far from being an enemy of traditional explorations of freedom, morality, and meaning, the evolutionary perspective can be an indispensable ally.
-
-
I knew I was going to like this book
- De Gary en 05-30-14
-
Undeniable
- How Biology Confirms Our Intuition That Life Is Designed
- De: Douglas Axe
- Narrado por: Neil Hellegers
- Duración: 7 h y 14 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Throughout his distinguished and unconventional career, engineer-turned-molecular-biologist Douglas Axe has been asking the questions that much of the scientific community would rather silence. Now, he presents his conclusions in this brave and pioneering book. Axe argues that the key to understanding our origin is the "design intuition" - the innate belief held by all humans that tasks we would need knowledge to accomplish can be accomplished only by someone who has that knowledge.
-
-
Seductively Challenge what are consider facts
- De Rafael Vila en 10-08-16
De: Douglas Axe
-
Is God a Mathematician?
- De: Mario Livio
- Narrado por: Tom Parks
- Duración: 9 h y 4 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Nobel Laureate Eugene Wigner once wondered about "the unreasonable effectiveness of mathematics" in the formulation of the laws of nature. Is God a Mathematician? investigates why mathematics is as powerful as it is. From ancient times to the present, scientists and philosophers have marveled at how such a seemingly abstract discipline could so perfectly explain the natural world. More than that - mathematics has often made predictions, for example, about subatomic particles or cosmic phenomena that were unknown at the time, but later were proven to be true.
-
-
Origins of Mathematics
- De Rick B en 07-08-21
De: Mario Livio
-
The Structure of Scientific Revolutions
- De: Thomas S. Kuhn
- Narrado por: Dennis Holland
- Duración: 10 h y 14 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
A good book may have the power to change the way we see the world, but a great book actually becomes part of our daily consciousness, pervading our thinking to the point that we take it for granted, and we forget how provocative and challenging its ideas once were - and still are. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions is that kind of book.
-
-
The problem is not with the book
- De Marcus en 08-09-09
De: Thomas S. Kuhn
-
The Landscape of History
- How Historians Map the Past
- De: John Lewis Gaddis
- Narrado por: Jack Chekijian
- Duración: 6 h y 16 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
What is history, and why should we study it? Is there such a thing as historical truth? Is history a science? One of the most accomplished historians at work today, John Lewis Gaddis, answers these and other questions in this short, witty, and humane book. The Landscape of History provides a searching look at the historian's craft as well as a strong argument for why a historical consciousness should matter to us today.
-
-
Excellent Book!
- De Billy en 09-15-18
-
Expert Political Judgment
- How Good is it? How can We Know?
- De: Philip E. Tetlock
- Narrado por: Anthony Haden Salerno
- Duración: 9 h y 48 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This audiobook fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future.
-
-
Five-star book, one-star reading
- De Christian Tarsney en 01-23-19
-
The Great Mental Models
- General Thinking Concepts
- De: Shane Parrish
- Narrado por: Shane Parrish
- Duración: 3 h y 23 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
The Great Mental Models: General Thinking Concepts is the first book in The Great Mental Models series designed to upgrade your thinking with the best, most useful and powerful tools so you always have the right one on hand. This volume details nine of the most versatile all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making, your productivity, and how clearly you see the world.
-
-
A dissapointing debut
- De Peter en 04-14-19
De: Shane Parrish
-
The Genetic Lottery
- Why DNA Matters for Social Equality
- De: Kathryn Paige Harden
- Narrado por: Katherine Fenton
- Duración: 10 h y 4 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
In The Genetic Lottery, Harden introduces listeners to the latest genetic science, dismantling dangerous ideas about racial superiority and challenging us to grapple with what equality really means in a world where people are born different. Weaving together personal stories with scientific evidence, Harden shows why our refusal to recognize the power of DNA perpetuates the myth of meritocracy, and argues that we must acknowledge the role of genetic luck if we are ever to create a fair society.
-
-
Mix of Genetic Science and Ideology
- De James en 10-12-21
-
Why Darwin Matters
- The Case for Evolution and Against Intelligent Design
- De: Michael Shermer
- Narrado por: uncredited
- Duración: 4 h y 22 m
- Versión resumida
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Columnist and publisher Michael Shermer, once an evangelical Christian and a creationist, argues that Intelligent Design proponents invoke a combination of ad science, political antipathy, and flawed theology in their new brand of creationism. He refutes their pseudoscientific arguments and then demonstrates why conservatives and people of faith can and should embrace evolution. Why Darwin Matters is an incisive examination of what is at stake in the debate over evolution.
-
-
TOTAL MISREPRENTATION: WHERE IS THE EVIDENCE?
- De Theo Tsourdalakis en 09-04-11
De: Michael Shermer
-
Intuition Pumps and Other Tools for Thinking
- De: Daniel C. Dennett
- Narrado por: Jeff Crawford
- Duración: 13 h y 22 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Over a storied career, Daniel C. Dennett has engaged questions about science and the workings of the mind. His answers have combined rigorous argument with strong empirical grounding. And a lot of fun. Intuition Pumps and Other Tools for Thinking offers seventy-seven of Dennett’s most successful “imagination-extenders and focus-holders” meant to guide you through some of life’s most treacherous subject matter: evolution, meaning, mind, and free will.
-
-
Loved it, but some philosophy background needed.
- De LongerILiveLessIKnow en 11-14-13
-
When Einstein Walked with Gödel
- Excursions to the Edge of Thought
- De: Jim Holt
- Narrado por: David Stifel
- Duración: 15 h y 19 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Does time exist? What is infinity? Why do mirrors reverse left and right but not up and down? In this scintillating collection, Holt explores the human mind, the cosmos, and the thinkers who’ve tried to encompass the latter with the former. With his trademark clarity and humor, Holt probes the mysteries of quantum mechanics, the quest for the foundations of mathematics, and the nature of logic and truth. Along the way, he offers intimate biographical sketches of celebrated and neglected thinkers, from the physicist Emmy Noether to the computing pioneer Alan Turing and the discoverer of fractals, Benoit Mandelbrot.
-
-
A good overview of scientific theory
- De MJ Walters en 09-11-18
De: Jim Holt
-
Epistemology
- An Audio Guide
- De: Robert M. Martin
- Narrado por: Richard Aspel
- Duración: 6 h y 4 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Epistemology is the philosophical study of knowledge. Without knowledge, scientific enquiry is meaningless and we can’t analyse the world around us. But what exactly is knowledge and how do we obtain it? Should we trust our senses? When is belief knowledge? Presuming no prior experience, Robert Martin covers everything in the topic from scepticism and induction to Kant’s transcendentalism. Clear and readable, this audiobook is essential for philosophy students and a much needed introduction for the general reader.
-
-
Going to hear it again
- De R Durero en 08-02-14
De: Robert M. Martin
Las personas que vieron esto también vieron...
-
Causal Inference
- MIT Press Essential Knowledge Series
- De: Paul r. Rosenbaum
- Narrado por: Chris Monteiro
- Duración: 4 h y 25 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Causal Inference provides a brief and nontechnical introduction to randomized experiments, propensity scores, natural experiments, instrumental variables, sensitivity analysis, and quasi-experimental devices. Ideas are illustrated with examples from medicine, epidemiology, economics and business, the social sciences, and public policy.
-
-
Not appropriate for audible and the reader don’t know how to read math
- De Anonymous User en 08-01-24
-
Everything Is Predictable
- How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World
- De: Tom Chivers
- Narrado por: Tom Chivers
- Duración: 8 h y 7 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
At its simplest, Bayes’s theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes’s theorem is a description of almost everything. But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem?
-
-
I was looking forward to this. What a disappointment.
- De Alessandro Fadini en 06-28-24
De: Tom Chivers
-
The Theory That Would Not Die
- How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy
- De: Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
- Narrado por: Laural Merlington
- Duración: 11 h y 51 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. Sharon Bertsch McGrayne here explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it.
-
-
Who is the intended audience?
- De Billy en 07-21-14
-
The Personality Brokers
- The Strange History of Myers-Briggs and the Birth of Personality Testing
- De: Merve Emre
- Narrado por: Ellen Archer
- Duración: 11 h y 30 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
The Myers-Briggs Type Indicator is the most popular personality test in the world. It is used regularly by Fortune 500 companies, universities, hospitals, churches, and the military. Its language of personality types - extraversion and introversion, sensing and intuiting, thinking and feeling, judging and perceiving - has inspired television shows, Online dating platforms, and Buzzfeed quizzes. Yet despite the test's widespread adoption, experts in the field of psychometric testing, a $2 billion industry, have struggled to validate its results - no less account for its success.
-
-
A biography that reads like a novel.
- De Sabrina en 09-14-18
De: Merve Emre
-
The Book of Why
- The New Science of Cause and Effect
- De: Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie
- Narrado por: Mel Foster
- Duración: 15 h y 14 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
"Correlation does not imply causation". This mantra has been invoked by scientists for decades and has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. But today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, sparked by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and placed causality - the study of cause and effect - on a firm scientific basis.
-
-
Great book! Not a great audiobook.
- De rrwright en 05-30-18
De: Judea Pearl, y otros
-
The Pleasure of Finding Things Out
- The Best Short Works of Richard P. Feynman
- De: Richard P. Feynman
- Narrado por: Sean Runnette
- Duración: 8 h y 23 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
The Pleasure of Finding Things Out is a magnificent treasury of the best short works of Richard P. Feynman, from interviews and speeches to lectures and printed articles. A sweeping, wide-ranging collection, it presents an intimate and fascinating view of a life in science - a life like no other. From his ruminations on science in our culture to his Nobel Prize acceptance speech, this book will delight anyone interested in the world of ideas.
-
-
Interesting, but material is covered in better book.
- De Erlend en 04-06-16
-
Causal Inference
- MIT Press Essential Knowledge Series
- De: Paul r. Rosenbaum
- Narrado por: Chris Monteiro
- Duración: 4 h y 25 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Causal Inference provides a brief and nontechnical introduction to randomized experiments, propensity scores, natural experiments, instrumental variables, sensitivity analysis, and quasi-experimental devices. Ideas are illustrated with examples from medicine, epidemiology, economics and business, the social sciences, and public policy.
-
-
Not appropriate for audible and the reader don’t know how to read math
- De Anonymous User en 08-01-24
-
Everything Is Predictable
- How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World
- De: Tom Chivers
- Narrado por: Tom Chivers
- Duración: 8 h y 7 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
At its simplest, Bayes’s theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes’s theorem is a description of almost everything. But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem?
-
-
I was looking forward to this. What a disappointment.
- De Alessandro Fadini en 06-28-24
De: Tom Chivers
-
The Theory That Would Not Die
- How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy
- De: Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
- Narrado por: Laural Merlington
- Duración: 11 h y 51 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. Sharon Bertsch McGrayne here explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it.
-
-
Who is the intended audience?
- De Billy en 07-21-14
-
The Personality Brokers
- The Strange History of Myers-Briggs and the Birth of Personality Testing
- De: Merve Emre
- Narrado por: Ellen Archer
- Duración: 11 h y 30 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
The Myers-Briggs Type Indicator is the most popular personality test in the world. It is used regularly by Fortune 500 companies, universities, hospitals, churches, and the military. Its language of personality types - extraversion and introversion, sensing and intuiting, thinking and feeling, judging and perceiving - has inspired television shows, Online dating platforms, and Buzzfeed quizzes. Yet despite the test's widespread adoption, experts in the field of psychometric testing, a $2 billion industry, have struggled to validate its results - no less account for its success.
-
-
A biography that reads like a novel.
- De Sabrina en 09-14-18
De: Merve Emre
-
The Book of Why
- The New Science of Cause and Effect
- De: Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie
- Narrado por: Mel Foster
- Duración: 15 h y 14 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
"Correlation does not imply causation". This mantra has been invoked by scientists for decades and has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. But today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, sparked by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and placed causality - the study of cause and effect - on a firm scientific basis.
-
-
Great book! Not a great audiobook.
- De rrwright en 05-30-18
De: Judea Pearl, y otros
-
The Pleasure of Finding Things Out
- The Best Short Works of Richard P. Feynman
- De: Richard P. Feynman
- Narrado por: Sean Runnette
- Duración: 8 h y 23 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
The Pleasure of Finding Things Out is a magnificent treasury of the best short works of Richard P. Feynman, from interviews and speeches to lectures and printed articles. A sweeping, wide-ranging collection, it presents an intimate and fascinating view of a life in science - a life like no other. From his ruminations on science in our culture to his Nobel Prize acceptance speech, this book will delight anyone interested in the world of ideas.
-
-
Interesting, but material is covered in better book.
- De Erlend en 04-06-16
-
Your Brain Is a Time Machine
- The Neuroscience and Physics of Time
- De: Dean Buonomano
- Narrado por: Aaron Abano
- Duración: 8 h y 51 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
In Your Brain Is a Time Machine, brain researcher and best-selling author Dean Buonomano draws on evolutionary biology, physics, and philosophy to present his influential theory of how we tell and perceive time. The human brain, he argues, is a complex system that not only tells time but creates it; it constructs our sense of chronological flow and enables "mental time travel" - simulations of future and past events.
-
-
Great book on an underrated subject
- De Neuron en 05-09-17
De: Dean Buonomano
-
The Art of Statistics
- How to Learn from Data
- De: David Spiegelhalter
- Narrado por: Jonathan Davis
- Duración: 9 h y 1 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Statistics are everywhere, as integral to science as they are to business, and in the popular media hundreds of times a day. In this age of big data, a basic grasp of statistical literacy is more important than ever if we want to separate the fact from the fiction, the ostentatious embellishments from the raw evidence - and even more so if we hope to participate in the future, rather than being simple bystanders.
-
-
very good statistics overview
- De Tom en 11-29-19
-
The Equation That Couldn't Be Solved
- How Mathematical Genius Discovered the Language of Symmetry
- De: Mario Livio
- Narrado por: Tom Parks
- Duración: 11 h y 45 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
For thousands of years mathematicians solved progressively more difficult algebraic equations, until they encountered the quintic equation, which resisted solution for three centuries. Working independently, two prodigies ultimately proved that the quintic cannot be solved by a simple formula. The first popular account of the mathematics of symmetry and order, The Equation That Couldn't Be Solved is told not through abstract formulas but in a beautifully written and dramatic account of the lives and work of some of the greatest and most intriguing mathematicians in history.
-
-
Historical Perspective Appreciated
- De Michael Hanrahan en 01-22-20
De: Mario Livio
-
A Brief History of Mathematics
- Complete Series
- De: Marcus du Sautoy
- Narrado por: Marcus du Sautoy
- Duración: 2 h y 13 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
This 10-part history of mathematics reveals the personalities behind the calculations: the passions and rivalries of mathematicians struggling to get their ideas heard. Professor Marcus du Sautoy shows how these masters of abstraction find a role in the real world and proves that mathematics is the driving force behind modern science.
-
-
not a book
- De bob en 06-22-21
De: Marcus du Sautoy
-
When Einstein Walked with Gödel
- Excursions to the Edge of Thought
- De: Jim Holt
- Narrado por: David Stifel
- Duración: 15 h y 19 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Does time exist? What is infinity? Why do mirrors reverse left and right but not up and down? In this scintillating collection, Holt explores the human mind, the cosmos, and the thinkers who’ve tried to encompass the latter with the former. With his trademark clarity and humor, Holt probes the mysteries of quantum mechanics, the quest for the foundations of mathematics, and the nature of logic and truth. Along the way, he offers intimate biographical sketches of celebrated and neglected thinkers, from the physicist Emmy Noether to the computing pioneer Alan Turing and the discoverer of fractals, Benoit Mandelbrot.
-
-
A good overview of scientific theory
- De MJ Walters en 09-11-18
De: Jim Holt
-
Shape
- The Hidden Geometry of Information, Biology, Strategy, Democracy, and Everything Else
- De: Jordan Ellenberg
- Narrado por: Jordan Ellenberg
- Duración: 14 h y 23 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
If you're like most people, geometry is a dimly remembered exercise you gladly left behind in the dust of ninth grade. It's plodding through a series of miniscule steps only to prove some fact about triangles that was obvious to you in the first place. That's not geometry. Okay, it is geometry, but only a tiny part, which has as much to do with geometry in all its flush modern richness as conjugating a verb has to do with a great novel. Shape reveals the geometry underneath some of the most important scientific, political, and philosophical problems we face.
-
-
Excellent, but not suited for an audiobook
- De Fred271 en 06-21-21
De: Jordan Ellenberg
-
Journey of the Mind
- How Thinking Emerged from Chaos
- De: Ogi Ogas, Sai Gaddam
- Narrado por: Cary Hite
- Duración: 10 h y 15 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Why do minds exist? How did mud and stone develop into beings that can experience longing, regret, love, and compassion - beings that are aware of their own experience? Until recently, science offered few answers to these existential questions. Journey of the Mind is the first book to offer a unified account of the mind that explains how consciousness, language, the Self, and civilization emerged incrementally out of chaos.
-
-
Consciousness: objectively physical yet subjective
- De Jeffrey W. Rudisel en 04-16-22
De: Ogi Ogas, y otros
-
Humble Pi
- When Math Goes Wrong in the Real World
- De: Matt Parker
- Narrado por: Matt Parker
- Duración: 9 h y 33 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Exploring and explaining a litany of glitches, near misses, and mathematical mishaps involving the internet, big data, elections, street signs, lotteries, the Roman Empire, and an Olympic team, Matt Parker uncovers the bizarre ways math trips us up, and what this reveals about its essential place in our world. Getting it wrong has never been more fun.
-
-
Fascinating & enlightening even for da mathphobic✏️
- De C. White en 01-23-20
De: Matt Parker
-
Professor Maxwell's Duplicitous Demon
- The Life and Science of James Clerk Maxwell
- De: Brian Clegg
- Narrado por: Simon Mattacks
- Duración: 7 h y 8 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Asked to name a great physicist, most people would mention Newton or Einstein, Feynman or Hawking. But ask a physicist and there’s no doubt that James Clerk Maxwell will be near the top of the list. Maxwell, an unassuming Victorian Scotsman, explained how we perceive color. He uncovered the way gases behave. And, most significantly, he transformed the way physics was undertaken in his explanation of the interaction of electricity and magnetism, revealing the nature of light and laying the groundwork for everything from Einstein’s special relativity to modern electronics.
-
-
Science writing done right
- De Erik Hill Reviews en 04-08-20
De: Brian Clegg
-
How Not to Be Wrong
- The Power of Mathematical Thinking
- De: Jordan Ellenberg
- Narrado por: Jordan Ellenberg
- Duración: 13 h y 29 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Ellenberg chases mathematical threads through a vast range of time and space, from the everyday to the cosmic, encountering, among other things, baseball, Reaganomics, daring lottery schemes, Voltaire, the replicability crisis in psychology, Italian Renaissance painting, artificial languages, the development of non-Euclidean geometry, the coming obesity apocalypse, Antonin Scalia's views on crime and punishment, the psychology of slime molds, what Facebook can and can't figure out about you, and the existence of God.
-
-
Great book but better in writing
- De Michael en 07-02-14
De: Jordan Ellenberg
-
Once upon a Prime
- The Wondrous Connections Between Mathematics and Literature
- De: Sarah Hart
- Narrado por: Sarah Hart
- Duración: 8 h y 51 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
We often think of mathematics and literature as polar opposites. But what if, instead, they were fundamentally linked? In her clear, insightful, laugh-out-loud funny debut, Once Upon a Prime, Professor Sarah Hart shows us the myriad connections between math and literature, and how understanding those connections can enhance our enjoyment of both. As the first woman to hold England’s oldest mathematical chair, Professor Hart is the ideal tour guide, taking us on an unforgettable journey through the books we thought we knew, revealing new layers of beauty and wonder.
-
-
The Infinite Review
- De LCorSMT en 04-26-23
De: Sarah Hart
-
Journey to the Edge of Reason
- The Life of Kurt Gödel
- De: Stephen Budiansky
- Narrado por: Bob Souer
- Duración: 8 h y 52 m
- Versión completa
-
General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
Nearly a hundred years after its publication, Kurt Gödel's famous proof that every mathematical system must contain propositions that are true - yet never provable - continues to unsettle mathematics, philosophy, and computer science. Yet unlike Einstein, with whom he formed a warm and abiding friendship, Gödel has long escaped all but the most casual scrutiny of his life.
-
-
Interesting story of a great mathematician
- De James Orlin en 04-28-22
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre Bernoulli's Fallacy
Calificaciones medias de los clientesReseñas - Selecciona las pestañas a continuación para cambiar el origen de las reseñas.
-
Total
-
Ejecución
-
Historia
- Dylan Rosario
- 11-12-23
Statistical method based upon Racist Justification
Immersed in the labyrinthine realms of statistical theory, I found myself captivated by the nuanced debate between the frequentist and Bayesian schools of thought. In the book I had the pleasure of reviewing, Clayton masterfully illuminates the stark incompatibilities that lie at the heart of these two methodologies. His adept critique of frequentist assertions, which he then artfully deconstructs, proved both enlightening and accessible, demanding no more than a foundational understanding of undergraduate statistics.
My intellectual voyage through this domain was profoundly enriched by Clayton's work, which bestowed upon me the essential historical context of the Bayesian versus frequentist discourse, underscoring Jaynes' work as a pivotal intellectual achievement.
Entitled "Bernoulli’s Fallacy," the book adeptly traces the trajectory of statistical thought, journeying from Bernoulli's pioneering efforts to the unsettling application of statistics in the pursuit of eugenic agendas. It also confronts the contemporary "crisis of replication" afflicting various research fields, a crisis stemming from an excessive dependence on statistical significance and p-values in hypothesis evaluation.
In its initial chapters, the book articulates its core concepts, which, though not revolutionary, remain critical and frequently misunderstood in modern discussions. These concepts pivot around the idea of probability as a subjective belief informed by available knowledge, the imperative of articulating assumptions in probability statements, and the transformation of prior probabilities into posterior probabilities via observation. The book underscores that data alone cannot yield inferences; rather, it reshapes our existing narratives based on their plausibility.
A pivotal insight from the book is the acknowledgment that improbable events do indeed transpire. This realization challenges the practice of deducing the veracity or fallacy of hypotheses solely based on the likelihood of observations. Instead, it advocates for adjusting our subjective belief in the plausibility of a hypothesis in relation to other competing hypotheses.
Moreover, the book elucidates a critical distinction: Bayesian and frequentist methods are not merely two different perspectives but rather, the Bayesian approach forms the bedrock of probability understanding, with the frequentist method emerging as a historical aberration, a specific instance within the expansive Bayesian paradigm.
It was particularly enlightening to learn how a small cadre of British mathematics professors, namely Galton, Fisher, and Pearson, engineered an entire statistical school of thought. This school, founded on flawed and convenient principles, served to justify and rationalize their eugenic and racist viewpoints, reinforcing the Victorian-era racial supremacy of the British upper class through a veneer of mathematical rationalization. This review offered a fascinating glimpse into a quasi-scientific method employed by researchers who, standing on shaky ground, resort to limited group sampling and mathematical subterfuge to lend false precision and authority to their biased models and probability findings.
Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.
Has calificado esta reseña.
Reportaste esta reseña
esto le resultó útil a 7 personas
-
Total
-
Ejecución
-
Historia
- Eugene Gallagher
- 03-08-24
A strong case for Bayes
Good intro to Bayesian statistics but the descriptions of equations and graphs were distracting. I bought the book for those.
Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.
Has calificado esta reseña.
Reportaste esta reseña
-
Total
-
Ejecución
-
Historia
- Anthony
- 04-24-22
No punches pulled!
There has been some effort to make frequentist and Bayesian approaches seem compatible in the last few years. But they really aren’t compatible. Clayton gives a full explanation of why this is the case. The reader should know introductory statistics at the undergraduate level well to appreciate the arguments, but more advanced understanding beyond that is not required. Clayton is very generous in recapping basic claims in frequentist statistics before turning them upside down and demonstrating their absurdity.
Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.
Has calificado esta reseña.
Reportaste esta reseña
esto le resultó útil a 4 personas
-
Total
-
Ejecución
-
Historia
- Kindle Customer
- 04-05-22
Excellent and persuasive
I read the book along with listening to the Audible narration. I'm a big Edwin Jaynes fan, so this was preaching to the choir. In particular, a Presbyterian sermon from Probability Theory, driving home its themes thoroughly.
Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.
Has calificado esta reseña.
Reportaste esta reseña
-
Total
-
Ejecución
-
Historia
- Nate Carter
- 01-09-24
The best introduction to Bayesian stats I’ve read
The walk through the history of stats was very enlightening, and the discussion around frequency and probability explain why I’ve always had a hard time with stats in the past.
Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.
Has calificado esta reseña.
Reportaste esta reseña
-
Total
-
Ejecución
-
Historia
- Anonymous User
- 01-25-22
Rigorously Bayesian
Ignore the review from the snowflake triggered by the word Berkeley. This book is good. It sets up a sound logical argument against frequentist statistics. It give interesting historical details and explains why Bayesian methods are more robust.
Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.
Has calificado esta reseña.
Reportaste esta reseña
esto le resultó útil a 19 personas
-
Total
-
Ejecución
-
Historia
- Ramnath R Iyer
- 12-31-22
Excellent Intro to the Meaning of Probability
I have been reading E. T. Jaynes’ “Probability Theory: The Logic of Science”, which presents a fantastic explanation and formal derivation of probability as a system of logic (built on plausibility rather than certainty, unlike predicate logic). What I hadn’t known was the historical context around the Bayesian vs frequentist approaches to probability that made Jaynes’ work such an important masterpiece.
Bernoulli’s Fallacy provides this context, starting with Bernoulli’s contributions to the field, working all the way through the development and use (rather, a perversion) of statistics to meet the eugenics agenda, and finally the present day “crisis of replication” that is plaguing research across a variety of fields due to their reliance on statistical significance and p-values as a measure of evaluating hypotheses.
As such, this book, in its initial chapters, presents its core set of ideas. These are not novel ideas, but they are nevertheless poorly understood by the community today, and this book does a great job explaining them in depth. I would summarize these ideas as follows:
- Probability represents a subjective belief in a hypothesis based on information / knowledge that you possess, it is not an objective fact. Any statement that the probability of an event IS some number is incomplete; you must always state your assumptions (knowledge that you possess). All probability is conditional on these assumptions. (Jaynes does a good job of making this explicit via notation.)
- You cannot draw inferences from data alone. What you CAN do is convert prior probabilities (existing degrees of belief) to posterior probabilities through the act of observation (incorporating new data). Data doesn’t ever tell you the whole story; it can only alter the story you already have in terms of its plausibility.
- Unlikely events happen. You cannot infer the truth or falsity of a hypothesis based on the likelihood of an observation. Rather, you can only use an observation to alter your subjective belief in the plausibility of a hypothesis, and that too, relative to OTHER hypotheses that support the same observation. Again, unlikely events do occur (e.g., someone always wins the lottery), and so it’s really the relative likelihood of different hypotheses that you adjust as you learn more (by making more observations). Of particular importance here is the idea that it is up to YOU (not the data) to exhaustively formulate the relevant hypotheses, and assign suitable priors. As Pierre-Simon Laplace supposedly put it (paraphrasing), “extraordinary claims merit extraordinary evidence”, and so new data should alter your belief one way or the other toward a hypothesis based on the RELATIVE priors associated with all potential hypotheses. The more you believe in a hypothesis relative to others, the harder it should be to displace.
One idea this book clarifies is that Bayesian and frequentist are not two “equally valid” schools of thought, but that the Bayesian method underpins the whole idea of probability, whereas the frequentist approach is simply a special case (a sort of unhappy accident of history).
Overall, a well-argued, interesting, and balanced book, despite the seemingly extraordinary conclusion. The evidence is extraordinary and well-presented, though occasionally repetitive and dense.
Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.
Has calificado esta reseña.
Reportaste esta reseña
esto le resultó útil a 4 personas
-
Total
-
Ejecución
-
Historia
- Alex Sidorenko
- 08-06-22
Amazing book
Great read and must have for everyone in risk management community. Yet another wake up call to the flaws in many traditional risk analysis techniques.
Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.
Has calificado esta reseña.
Reportaste esta reseña
esto le resultó útil a 2 personas
-
Total
-
Ejecución
-
Historia
- Benjamin Davidson
- 12-20-23
Changes World Views
Occasionally one finds a book or audio presentation that challenges the roots, the rock, on which all you thought you and beliefs are based is dissolves and is taken away. For me, “Bernoulli’s Fallacy: Statistical Illogical and the Crisis of Modern Science” is that kind of book.
As a child, I always wanted to be a scientist when I grew up, even though I never worked as a scientist, science was my passion, the ability to use numerical analysis to aid in understanding the world, business, finance, production control, and scientific research and publications was the rock I based my view of reality on. From the earliest learning to graduate school in philosophy, it was what could be counted on and trusted. Logic, Mathematics, and Philosophy could be used to solve any problem. Then I read both text and digital versions and listened to the audio rendition once, twice, and now many more times.
Slowly, with the precision of a surgeons knife, Aubrey Clayton has cut the roots of my knowing and smashed the rock on which they were anchored.
Coming to see the logical fallacy upon which much of modern statics (the orthodox Frequentist methods) has deceived me in a since that many of my key beliefs and understanding are built on / based on errors, logical errors, that, under some conditions approximate what is correct or valid. However, when applied in general as the prescribed method of analysis, criterion for publication, and the preferred method of analysis, above all others, one finds that these methods lead to many issues and often bogus or even silly conclusions.
Even worse, the methods are all that has been taught at all levels of education in the statistics departments. The result of starting with logical errors, all that follows results in asking the wrong questions, designing the wrong experiments, analyzing incorrectly and getting result for the orthodox methods that lend themselves to easy manipulation, uncertainty, and the ability to cleverly wave the hands of complex methods and conclude the most absurd of all possible outcomes that may result in millions of deaths.
Hopefully more will read and study the text and ideas and arrive at conclusions that aid them in doing better science, living more wholesome life’s, and having a deeper appreciation for clear and accurate thinking.
Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.
Has calificado esta reseña.
Reportaste esta reseña
esto le resultó útil a 2 personas
-
Total
-
Ejecución
-
Historia
- Kindle Customer
- 12-08-22
Eye-Opening
Don’t worry about the equations. Math books are usually ill-suited to audio, but there is enough explanation provided that if you have a handle on basic statistics you can get the gist even if, like me, your eyes glaze over when the reader is referring you to the accompanying pdf.
Se ha producido un error. Vuelve a intentarlo dentro de unos minutos.
Has calificado esta reseña.
Reportaste esta reseña