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Fooled by Randomness
- The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 10 h y 3 m
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Resumen del Editor
Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. In an entertaining narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. Taleb uses stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is.
The audiobook is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: Yogi Berra, the baseball legend; Karl Popper, the philosopher of knowledge; Solon, the ancient world's wisest man; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Ulysses. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life, but who also falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.
But the most recognizable character remains unnamed, the lucky fool in the right place at the right time - the embodiment of the "Survival of the Least Fit". Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained through chance.
It may be impossible to guard against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.
Reseñas de la Crítica
"An articulate, wise, and humorous meditation on the nature of success and failure that anyone who wants a little more of the former would do well to consider." (Amazon.com)
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Historia
Many people take math in high school and promptly forget much of it. But math plays a part in all of our lives all of the time, whether we know it or not. In The Joy of x, Steven Strogatz expands on his hit New York Times series to explain the big ideas of math gently and clearly, with wit, and insight.
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Great listen
- De cameron en 08-16-19
De: Steven Strogatz
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The Drunkard's Walk
- How Randomness Rules Our Lives
- De: Leonard Mlodinow
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 9 h y 19 m
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In this irreverent and illuminating audiobook, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, chance, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious causes, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.
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Interested in statistics? This is the book.
- De Robert en 02-21-14
De: Leonard Mlodinow
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The Great Mental Models
- General Thinking Concepts
- De: Shane Parrish
- Narrado por: Shane Parrish
- Duración: 3 h y 23 m
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The Great Mental Models: General Thinking Concepts is the first book in The Great Mental Models series designed to upgrade your thinking with the best, most useful and powerful tools so you always have the right one on hand. This volume details nine of the most versatile all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making, your productivity, and how clearly you see the world.
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A dissapointing debut
- De Peter en 04-14-19
De: Shane Parrish
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Irrational Exuberance
- Revised and Expanded Third Edition
- De: Robert J. Shiller
- Narrado por: Mike Chamberlain
- Duración: 13 h y 47 m
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With high stock and bond prices and the rising cost of housing, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever. Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets - and famously predicted their crashes. This edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets.
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Still Relevant After 21 Years
- De Tom en 06-08-21
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The Beginning of Infinity
- Explanations That Transform the World
- De: David Deutsch
- Narrado por: Walter Dixon
- Duración: 20 h
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A bold and all-embracing exploration of the nature and progress of knowledge from one of today's great thinkers. Throughout history, mankind has struggled to understand life's mysteries, from the mundane to the seemingly miraculous. In this important new book, David Deutsch, an award-winning pioneer in the field of quantum computation, argues that explanations have a fundamental place in the universe.
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Worthwhile if you have the patience
- De Scott Feuless en 08-12-19
De: David Deutsch
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A Man for All Markets
- From Las Vegas to Wall Street, How I Beat the Dealer and the Market
- De: Edward O. Thorp, Nassim Nicholas Taleb - foreword
- Narrado por: Edward O. Thorp
- Duración: 16 h y 30 m
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The incredible true story of the card-counting mathematics professor who taught the world how to beat the dealer and, as the first of the great quantitative investors, ushered in a revolution on Wall Street.
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A life of a genius
- De Oleksiy Volovik en 05-08-17
De: Edward O. Thorp, y otros
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Nudge: The Final Edition
- Improving Decisions About Money, Health, and the Environment
- De: Richard H. Thaler, Cass R. Sunstein
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 11 h y 33 m
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Since the original publication of Nudge more than a decade ago, the title has entered the vocabulary of businesspeople, policy makers, engaged citizens, and consumers everywhere. The book has given rise to more than 200 "nudge units" in governments around the world and countless groups of behavioral scientists in every part of the economy. It has taught us how to use thoughtful "choice architecture" - a concept the authors invented - to help us make better decisions for ourselves, our families, and our society.
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Doesn’t include a Pdf of the images the book calls out
- De John O'Connell en 08-03-21
De: Richard H. Thaler, y otros
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The Little Book That Still Beats the Market
- De: Joel Greenblatt
- Narrado por: Adam Grupper
- Duración: 3 h y 51 m
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Now, with a new Introduction and Afterword for 2010, The Little Book that Still Beats the Market updates and expands upon the research findings from the original book. Included are data and analysis covering the recent financial crisis and model performance through the end of 2009. In a straightforward and accessible style, the book explores the basic principles of successful stock market investing and then reveals the author’s time-tested formula....
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Need the PDF files for a complete product
- De Jim Ashby en 01-16-20
De: Joel Greenblatt
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The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity
- De: Carlo M. Cipolla, Nassim Nicholas Taleb - foreword
- Narrado por: Paul Boehmer
- Duración: 54 m
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Throughout history, a powerful force has hindered the growth of human welfare and happiness. It is more powerful than the Mafia or the military. It has global catastrophic effects and can be found anywhere from the world's most powerful boardrooms to your local bar. It is human stupidity. Carlo M. Cipolla, noted professor of economic history at the UC Berkeley, created this vitally important book in order to detect and neutralize its threat.
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What do you have to loose?
- De Andres en 04-06-21
De: Carlo M. Cipolla, y otros
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The Perfect Speculator: How to Win Big in Up Markets and Lose Nothing in Down Markets
- De: Brad Koteshwar
- Narrado por: Virtual Voice
- Duración: 4 h y 26 m
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Brad Koteshwar, the author of The Perfect Speculator, first came to be known for his report on a phenomenal 7000% price run in 52 weeks by Taser International's stock. When he released that report he had written for his clients as a fiction and looked for publicity in the local Arizona media, he was rebuffed as the who's who in the small but affluent communities of Arizona were all owners of Taser stocks. None of them wanted to believe that the stock price on Taser had topped out in April 2004. In this book, Brad Koteshwar continues the simple lessons of the stock market in a teacher and ...
De: Brad Koteshwar
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Infinite Powers
- How Calculus Reveals the Secrets of the Universe
- De: Steven Strogatz
- Narrado por: Bob Souer
- Duración: 10 h y 41 m
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Infinite Powers recounts how calculus tantalized and thrilled its inventors, starting with its first glimmers in ancient Greece and bringing us right up to the discovery of gravitational waves. Strogatz reveals how this form of math rose to the challenges of each age: how to determine the area of a circle with only sand and a stick; how to explain why Mars goes "backwards" sometimes; how to turn the tide in the fight against AIDS.
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Not written to be read aloud
- De A Reader in Maine en 02-21-20
De: Steven Strogatz
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The Wealth of Nations
- De: Adam Smith
- Narrado por: Gildart Jackson
- Duración: 36 h y 43 m
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The foundation for all modern economic thought and political economy, The Wealth of Nations is the magnum opus of Scottish economist Adam Smith, who introduces the world to the very idea of economics and capitalism in the modern sense of the words.
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ADAM SMITH
- De chetyarbrough.blog en 01-20-15
De: Adam Smith
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The Winner's Curse
- Paradoxes and Anomalies of Economic Life
- De: Richard H. Thaler
- Narrado por: Arthur Morey
- Duración: 7 h y 47 m
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Richard Thaler challenges the received economic wisdom by revealing many of the paradoxes that abound even in the most painstakingly constructed transactions. He presents literate, challenging, and often funny examples of such anomalies as why the winners at auctions are often the real losers - they pay too much and suffer the "winner's curse"; why gamblers bet on long shots at the end of a losing day; why shoppers will save on one appliance only to pass up the identical savings on another; and more.
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great book not a great audiobook
- De Jenni en 03-11-21
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre Fooled by Randomness
Calificaciones medias de los clientesReseñas - Selecciona las pestañas a continuación para cambiar el origen de las reseñas.
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- M. Blake
- 05-28-12
very entertaining and eye opening
Would you recommend this audiobook to a friend? If so, why?
This is not only entertaining, but enlightening because it illustrates with easily understandable examples, how randomness affects all of us whether we realize it or not. By applying the principles to our own lives, we may be able to understand our behavior and behavior of others better while giving us an advantage over others who do not understand these things. The author is clever in using illustrations to depict some complex statistical ideas and he does so in a very practical and understandable way that even non-math people can understand.
This is not a dry mathematical book but a very enjoyable read/listen. I kept coming back to it again and again just like any good book that keeps you going until it is finished. I enjoyed The Black Swan and this book is no disappointment - definitely recommend.
If you could give Fooled by Randomness a new subtitle, what would it be?
Things you might not realize were randomness and how you deal with it in your life.
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- Bill S.
- 03-24-10
Good Intro to The Black Swan
Get this one. Listen to it, then go immediately to The Black Swan. An excellent thesis that one need only look at history to validate.
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- Anonymous User
- 03-30-15
arrogance / science / insight
? does the noisy clutter of modern life fool and overwhelm you
? is it hard to sort out cause and effect and true meaning
? does it seem, you just can't connect the dots the way you'd like to
nassim taleb (NT) has written an arrogant and insightful book for you
he elegantly teases out the increasing role of randomness in our lives
but his smug style, makes the truth of his message a bit hard to swallow
most human beings aren't hard wired for dispassionate observation
we bring with us prejudices, fears, doubts and a healthy dose of ignorance
it's hard for us to tell the difference between "co-incident" and "caused"
NT repeatedly relates the story of his many successes on wall street
his ability to not "be fooled" has made him a gifted stock picker
but making rich men richer wasn't enough for him, so he wrote this book
the cognitive strain of insightful thinking may simply be beyond some people
they're content to take what they're given and not sift it out too much
but if you'd like to see through the BS, clutter and noise NT would like to help
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- nick
- 02-11-13
Very Good but not for everyone
Would you say that listening to this book was time well-spent? Why or why not?
Yes
Would you ever listen to anything by Nassim Nicholas Taleb again?
Yes
What three words best describe Sean Pratt’s voice?
clear, easy to understand
Who do you think would benefit most from listening to Fooled by Randomness?
Almost anyone but only if the title intreags you
Any additional comments?
Taleb's style is a bit off the wall, I liked it but it is not for everyone
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- Jason
- 03-11-18
interesting book as an introduction biases.
The material was interesting, though thinking fast and thinking slow and the signal and the noise covered the same topics better.
The pacing of the reader was poor with random gaps throughout leading me to check if my headphones had gotten disconnected several times.
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- H. Potter
- 08-27-17
Great book, problems with the audio
This is a really well written book and the narration is clear. However there are big gaps of silence between chapters and sections. It's not you or your app, it is the recording.
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- Martin Fierro
- 08-09-16
Deep Thoughts with a Light Touch
One of the areas of study that I find most fascinating is seeking to understand cognitive biases. This book addresses many of these human blind spots. It has great rigor, and breadth as well as depth. But a self-deprecating sense of humor accompanies the journey, and the travel is fun as well as enlightening.
I especially enjoyed the author's expert treatment of social science concepts in a business context. Heartily Recommended.
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- Shoukry Kattan
- 05-04-16
Genius
One of the most mind expanding books I ever read on risks, randomness and stoicism..
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- Clark
- 01-04-18
smarty pants
nassim is obviously confident, which helps when focusing on this potentially unpopular idea. while sometimes he losses me with his comments about reading medical journals for fun, it is important to appreciate his deep belief in randomness. as such, I am willing to let go of some of my own deep seated beliefs in causality
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- ADELINA PELTEA
- 04-07-18
Changes your perspective
Essential book on how to think and understand success, focusing on the quality of our decisions instead of in few outcomes.
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