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How Civil Wars Start
- And How to Stop Them
- Narrado por: Beth Hicks
- Duración: 7 h y 17 m
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Resumen del Editor
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • A leading political scientist examines the dramatic rise in violent extremism around the globe and sounds the alarm on the increasing likelihood of a second civil war in the United States
“Required reading for anyone invested in preserving our 246-year experiment in self-government.”—The New York Times Book Review (Editors’ Choice)
WINNER OF THE GLOBAL POLICY INSTITUTE AWARD • THE SUNDAY TIMES BOOK OF THE YEAR • ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR: Financial Times, The Times (UK), Esquire, Prospect (UK)
Political violence rips apart several towns in southwest Texas. A far-right militia plots to kidnap the governor of Michigan and try her for treason. An armed mob of Trump supporters and conspiracy theorists storms the U.S. Capitol. Are these isolated incidents? Or is this the start of something bigger? Barbara F. Walter has spent her career studying civil conflict in places like Iraq, Ukraine, and Sri Lanka, but now she has become increasingly worried about her own country.
Perhaps surprisingly, both autocracies and healthy democracies are largely immune from civil war; it’s the countries in the middle ground that are most vulnerable. And this is where more and more countries, including the United States, are finding themselves today.
Over the last two decades, the number of active civil wars around the world has almost doubled. Walter reveals the warning signs—where wars tend to start, who initiates them, what triggers them—and why some countries tip over into conflict while others remain stable. Drawing on the latest international research and lessons from over twenty countries, Walter identifies the crucial risk factors, from democratic backsliding to factionalization and the politics of resentment. A civil war today won’t look like America in the 1860s, Russia in the 1920s, or Spain in the 1930s. It will begin with sporadic acts of violence and terror, accelerated by social media. It will sneak up on us and leave us wondering how we could have been so blind.
In this urgent and insightful book, Walter redefines civil war for a new age, providing the framework we need to confront the danger we now face—and the knowledge to stop it before it’s too late.
Reseñas de la Crítica
“[A] bracing manual . . . Walter’s book lays out America’s possible roads to dystopia with impressive concision. Her synthesis of the various barometers of a country heading to civil war is hard to refute when applied to the U.S. . . . Indispensable.”—Financial Times
“I wish all the [January 6] committee members would read [How Civil Wars Start] if only to expand their imaginations. [Barbara F. Walter] demonstrates that the conditions for political violence are already all around us.”—David Brooks, The New York Times
“I’ve been skeptical of the notion that the United States is on the verge of another civil war. Walter has made me reconsider. . . . This is a book that everyone in power should read immediately.”—The Washington Post
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General
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Historia
Twenty-five years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they’d uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly 80 to 100 years, the length of a long human life, with each cycle composed of four eras—or “turnings”—that always arrive in the same order and each last about 25 years. The last of these eras—the fourth turning—was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization.
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A little baffled
- De John Coleman en 07-18-23
De: Neil Howe
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They Want to Kill Americans
- The Militias, Terrorists, and Deranged Ideology of the Trump Insurgency
- De: Malcolm Nance
- Narrado por: Ari Fliakos
- Duración: 10 h y 30 m
- Versión completa
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They Want to Kill Americans is the first detailed look into the heart of the active Trump-led insurgency, setting the stage for a second nation-wide rebellion on American soil. This is a chilling and deeply researched early warning to the nation from a counterterrorism intelligence professional: America is primed for a possible explosive wave of terrorist attacks and armed confrontations that aim to bring about a Donald Trump led dictatorship.
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It's informative and frightening
- De Amazon Customer en 07-17-22
De: Malcolm Nance
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The Next Civil War
- Dispatches from the American Future
- De: Stephen Marche
- Narrado por: Jonathan Todd Ross
- Duración: 7 h y 45 m
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On a small two-lane bridge in a rural county that loathes the federal government, the US Army uses lethal force to end a standoff with hard-right anti-government patriots. Inside an ordinary diner, a disaffected young man with a handgun takes aim at the American president stepping in for an impromptu photo-op, and a bullet splits the hyper-partisan country into violently opposed mourners and revelers.
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Definitely has a lean to the left.
- De Burton M. en 01-11-22
De: Stephen Marche
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The Coming Civil War
- De: Tom Kawczynski
- Narrado por: Jeff Winston
- Duración: 10 h y 31 m
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The first skirmishes are already being fought. The crisis America faces is between two incompatible visions of the future, and a nation sharply divided between them. Will we become this diverse beacon of tolerance where we forget our past and embrace socialism and political correctness? Or, will we stand for our traditional beliefs, values, liberty, and sovereign government as free citizens our Founders did?
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Provocative; too long; fanciful conclusions
- De The Eagle en 07-26-20
De: Tom Kawczynski
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The Second American Revolution/Civil War
- De: Rick Joyner
- Narrado por: Lee Alan
- Duración: 4 h y 1 m
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In 2018, I had a dream of a coming second American Revolution/Civil War. In this dream, I saw events that are now unfolding at a rapid pace. I saw the conclusion of our present trauma, and the triumph over the evil that has been subduing our land. I saw how this victory will be accomplished. This is what I saw.
De: Rick Joyner
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The Fourth Turning
- What the Cycles of History Tell Us About America's Next Rendezvous with Destiny
- De: William Strauss, Neil Howe
- Narrado por: Tom Parks
- Duración: 19 h y 27 m
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First comes a High, a period of confident expansion. Next comes an Awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion. Then comes an Unraveling, in which individualism triumphs over crumbling institutions. Last comes a Crisis—the Fourth Turning—when society passes through a great and perilous gate in history. William Strauss and Neil Howe will change the way you see the world—and your place in it. With blazing originality, The Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future.
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Repetitive
- De Ben en 12-29-23
De: William Strauss, y otros
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The Fourth Turning Is Here
- What the Seasons of History Tell Us About How and When This Crisis Will End
- De: Neil Howe
- Narrado por: Neil Howe
- Duración: 20 h y 29 m
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Historia
Twenty-five years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they’d uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly 80 to 100 years, the length of a long human life, with each cycle composed of four eras—or “turnings”—that always arrive in the same order and each last about 25 years. The last of these eras—the fourth turning—was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization.
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A little baffled
- De John Coleman en 07-18-23
De: Neil Howe
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They Want to Kill Americans
- The Militias, Terrorists, and Deranged Ideology of the Trump Insurgency
- De: Malcolm Nance
- Narrado por: Ari Fliakos
- Duración: 10 h y 30 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Narración:
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Historia
They Want to Kill Americans is the first detailed look into the heart of the active Trump-led insurgency, setting the stage for a second nation-wide rebellion on American soil. This is a chilling and deeply researched early warning to the nation from a counterterrorism intelligence professional: America is primed for a possible explosive wave of terrorist attacks and armed confrontations that aim to bring about a Donald Trump led dictatorship.
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It's informative and frightening
- De Amazon Customer en 07-17-22
De: Malcolm Nance
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Roe
- The History of a National Obsession
- De: Mary Ziegler
- Narrado por: Chelsea Stephens
- Duración: 6 h
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What explains the insistent pull of Roe v. Wade? Abortion law expert Mary Ziegler argues that the US Supreme Court decision, which decriminalized abortion in 1973 and was overturned in 2022, had a hold on us that was not simply the result of polarized abortion politics. Rather, Roe took on meanings far beyond its original purpose of protecting the privacy of the doctor-patient relationship. It forced us to confront questions about sexual violence, judicial activism and restraint, racial justice, religious liberty, the role of science in politics, and much more.
De: Mary Ziegler
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The People vs. Democracy
- Why Our Freedom Is in Danger and How to Save It
- De: Yascha Mounk
- Narrado por: Timothy Andrés Pabon
- Duración: 8 h y 31 m
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The world is in turmoil. From India to Turkey and from Poland to the United States, authoritarian populists have seized power. As a result democracy itself may now be at risk. Two core components of liberal democracy - individual rights and the popular will - are at war with each other. As the role of money in politics soared and important issues were taken out of public contestation, a system of "rights without democracy" took hold. Populists who rail against this say they want to return power to the people. But in practice they create a system of "democracy without rights."
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Not worth it
- De DailyShopper en 06-07-18
De: Yascha Mounk
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The Age of the Strongman
- How the Cult of the Leader Threatens Democracy Around the World
- De: Gideon Rachman
- Narrado por: John Hopkins, Gideon Rachman
- Duración: 9 h y 39 m
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We are in a new era: Authoritarian leaders have become a central feature of global politics. Since 2000, self-styled strongmen have risen to power in capitals as diverse as Moscow, Beijing, Delhi, Brasilia, Budapest, Ankara, Riyadh and Washington. These leaders are nationalists and social conservatives, with little tolerance for minorities, dissent or the interests of foreigners. At home, they claim to be standing up for ordinary people against globalist elites; abroad, they posture as the embodiments of their nations.
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Splendid análisis in each chapter, invite me to think which will be the best model to govern.
- De Lotario Perez en 03-07-23
De: Gideon Rachman
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God, Guns, and Sedition
- Far-Right Terrorism in America
- De: Bruce Hoffman, Jacob Ware
- Narrado por: David de Vries
- Duración: 11 h y 51 m
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God, Guns, and Sedition offers the definitive account of the rise of far-right terrorism in the United States-and how to counter it. Leading experts Bruce Hoffman and Jacob Ware trace the historical trajectory and assess the present-day dangers of this violent extremist movement, along with the harm it poses to United States national security.
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Clear-eyed analysis of dangerous time
- De Moira R. Sharkey en 07-15-24
De: Bruce Hoffman, y otros
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The Storm Before the Calm
- America's Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond
- De: George Friedman
- Narrado por: Bruce Turk
- Duración: 9 h y 16 m
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In his riveting new book, noted forecaster and best-selling author George Friedman turns to the future of the United States. Examining the clear cycles through which the United States has developed, upheaved, matured, and solidified, Friedman breaks down the coming years and decades in thrilling detail.
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For the kids, a golden age
- De C. Walker en 03-01-20
De: George Friedman
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Someone Has to Say It
- The Hidden History of How America Was Lost
- De: Tom Kawczynski
- Narrado por: Jeff Winston
- Duración: 5 h y 38 m
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Starting at the turn of the last century, this book lays out systematically how Americans have lost control of our government, of our civil society, of our schools, of our companies, and in many cases, even our families.
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Great and inspiring book
- De K. E. Davila en 07-09-20
De: Tom Kawczynski
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How Democracies Die
- De: Steven Levitsky, Daniel Ziblatt
- Narrado por: Fred Sanders
- Duración: 8 h y 24 m
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Democracies can die with a coup d'état - or they can die slowly. This happens most deceptively when in piecemeal fashion, with the election of an authoritarian leader, the abuse of governmental power and the complete repression of opposition. All three steps are being taken around the world - not least with the election of Donald Trump - and we must all understand how we can stop them.
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Connecting the Dots
- De Sharon F en 02-06-18
De: Steven Levitsky, y otros
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Democracy
- Stories from the Long Road to Freedom
- De: Condoleezza Rice
- Narrado por: Grace Angela Henry
- Duración: 12 h y 55 m
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From the end of the Cold War and the collapse of the Soviet Union to the ongoing struggle for human rights in the Middle East, Condoleezza Rice has served on the front lines of history. As a child, she was an eyewitness to a third awakening of freedom, when her hometown of Birmingham, Alabama, became the epicenter of the civil rights movement for black Americans. In this book, Rice explains what these epochal events teach us about democracy.
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A Case for Democracy
- De Jean en 05-18-17
De: Condoleezza Rice
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Generations
- The History of America’s Future, 1584 to 2069
- De: William Strauss, Neil Howe
- Narrado por: Mike Chamberlain
- Duración: 23 h y 3 m
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William Strauss and Neil Howe posit the history of America as a succession of generational biographies, beginning in 1584 and encompassing every one through the children of today. Their bold theory is that each generation belongs to one of four types and that these types repeat sequentially in a fixed pattern. The vision of Generations allows us to plot a recurring cycle in American history - a cycle of spiritual awakenings and secular crises - from the founding colonists through the present day and well into this millennium.
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Impossible to follow
- De JOSEPH E DITTO en 01-15-22
De: William Strauss, y otros
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The End of Europe
- Dictators, Demagogues, and the Coming Dark Age
- De: James Kirchick
- Narrado por: Eric Martin
- Duración: 10 h y 19 m
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Once the world's bastion of liberal, democratic values, Europe is now having to confront demons it thought it had laid to rest. The old pathologies of anti-Semitism, populist nationalism, and territorial aggression are threatening to tear the European postwar consensus apart. Based on extensive firsthand reporting, this book is a provocative, disturbing look at a continent in unexpected crisis.
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Disappointing, Silly And Really Childish Book.
- De Eireannach en 04-14-17
De: James Kirchick
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The Future of Geography
- How the Competition in Space Will Change Our World (Politics of Place)
- De: Tim Marshall
- Narrado por: Tim Marshall
- Duración: 6 h y 53 m
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Humans are venturing up and out, and we’re taking our competitive spirit with us. Soon, what happens in space will shape human history as much the mountains, rivers, and seas have impacted civilizations around the world. It’s no coincidence that Russia, China, and the USA are leading the way. The next fifty years will change the face of global politics and the world order as we know it. In this must-listen work, bestselling author Tim Marshall navigates the new astropolitical reality to show how we got here and where we’re heading.
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And Outstanding View of the World and Tomorrow
- De Anonymous User en 06-17-24
De: Tim Marshall
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Why We're Polarized
- De: Ezra Klein
- Narrado por: Ezra Klein
- Duración: 8 h y 32 m
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In Why We’re Polarized, Klein reveals the structural and psychological forces behind America’s descent into division and dysfunction. Neither a polemic nor a lament, this book offers a clear framework for understanding everything from Trump’s rise to the Democratic Party’s leftward shift to the politicization of everyday culture. America is polarized, first and foremost, by identity. Everyone engaged in American politics is engaged, at some level, in identity politics.
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Good as an intro, skip if you’re a wonk
- De Tony en 01-29-20
De: Ezra Klein
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre How Civil Wars Start
Calificaciones medias de los clientesReseñas - Selecciona las pestañas a continuación para cambiar el origen de las reseñas.
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- Jesse
- 04-11-22
Critical reading/listening for the times
This book is crucial and the themes in it are woefully underreported. We are careening toward disaster with fewer and fewer chances to change course and avert crisis every day. Awareness is a start, and a necessary ingredient in solving what feels like an unsolvable problem. This book needs to be your next read/listen. It is so incredibly vital.
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- Karen L Colombo
- 01-22-22
Timely Commentary
I appreciated this review of the history of civil war within my lifetime. What occurred in the countries where civil war broke out and in those that skirted it. The polity scores and the concept of anocracy was well defined and eye opening.
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- Crys
- 09-26-22
Interesting and useful, but hindered by bias
I enjoyed listening to this book and found it useful. However, in the final 2 chapters I found the author got a bit off track and unacknowledged biases became much more prominent. Overall I would recommend this book, but would be frank about some of the biases and assumptions that don't seem to be recognized or acknowledged by the author.
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- Frankr24
- 02-01-22
Very Important Reading for Our Time
So worth it if all you give is a listen to the last 10 minutes.
One day they will call our time "The Madness". Professor Walter says we must regain control of Social Media's grip on our psyche and unite again as a people before we succumb to our enemies plans.
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- Asher Glavan
- 01-24-22
An academic view of our democratic decline.
A precise and academic view of the potential collapse of american democracy. Author provides detailed examples from many civil wars in other countries in the modern era and bring those points to comparison of the situation in the united states at the very end.
Several reviews are saying that the author is biased and doesn’t mention liberal involvement of the potential collapse. That is incorrect. At every point availed the author mentions research and facts pointing to how each political ideology contributes. Politics have become largely about identity. Conservatives are becoming a minority and therefore are more likely to do something about it, while Liberals are the majority and have more to lose if the system changes. The book explains why it isn’t biased, but proven fact the entire time.
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esto le resultó útil a 12 personas
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- Casey B.
- 05-30-22
Please Read This Essential Book
Excellent book. Highly recommended. But one apocryphal quote slipped through the fact checking. No one has provided reliable evidence that LBJ ever said, "We have lost the South for a generation," or anything similar.
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- Anonymous User
- 04-26-22
This Book Could Be Crucial For America
The future looms, we have a chance to change, this book could guide us to to and through that change. I guess we’ll see now what happens.
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- Amazon Customer
- 08-18-22
America's future is literally in our votes
A frightening and sobering analysis of how factionalism can and often does lead to autocracy. I hope we Americans are paying close attention and voting accordingly.
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- Barbara H
- 08-14-22
I wish my civics class had been this great
Perfect balance of academia and real world. The narration really was helpful. It wasn't boring, kept moving between past examples and current world issues.
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- Center for Assessment and Treatment
- 02-08-22
Important
Provided a great deal of historical data to support the conclusion that the US is not immune to a civil war! This is based on a scale developed by the CIA to evaluate risk to other countries. Regardless of your politics, you should give this a listen.
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