Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch!

• My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses
• 1:1 Mentorship with me

Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!

Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)

Takeaways:

• Bob's research focuses on corruption and political economy.
• Measuring corruption is challenging due to the unobservable nature of the behavior.
• The challenge of studying corruption lies in obtaining honest data.
• Innovative survey techniques, like randomized response, can help gather sensitive data.
• Non-traditional backgrounds can enhance statistical research perspectives.
• Bayesian methods are particularly useful for estimating latent variables.
• Bayesian methods shine in situations with prior information.
• Expert surveys can help estimate uncertain outcomes effectively.
• Bob's novel, 'The Bayesian Hitman,' explores academia through a fictional lens.
• Writing fiction can enhance academic writing skills and creativity.
• The importance of community in statistics is emphasized, especially in the Stan community.
• Real-time online surveys could revolutionize data collection in social science.

Chapters:

00:00 Introduction to Bayesian Statistics and Bob Kubinec

06:01 Bob's Academic Journey and Research Focus

12:40 Measuring Corruption: Challenges and Methods

18:54 Transition from Government to Academia

26:41 The Influence of Non-Traditional Backgrounds in Statistics

34:51 Bayesian Methods in Political Science Research

42:08 Bayesian Methods in COVID Measurement

51:12 The Journey of Writing a Novel

01:00:24 The Intersection of Fiction and Academia

Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!

Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy, Robin Taylor,, Chad Scherrer, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin Caprani, Colin Carroll, Nathaniel Burbank, Michael Osthege, Rémi Louf, Clive Edelsten, Henri Wallen, Hugo Botha, Vinh Nguyen, Marcin Elantkowski, Adam C. Smith, Will Kurt, Andrew Moskowitz, Hector Munoz, Marco Gorelli, Simon Kessell,...

Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch!

• My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses
• 1:1 Mentorship with me

Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!

Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)

Takeaways:

• User experience is crucial for the adoption of Stan.
• Recent innovations include adding tuples to the Stan language, new features and improved error messages.
• Tuples allow for more efficient data handling in Stan.
• Beginners often struggle with the compiled nature of Stan.
• Improving error messages is crucial for user experience.
• BridgeStan allows for integration with other programming languages and makes it very easy for people to use Stan models.
• Community engagement is vital for the development of Stan.
• New samplers are being developed to enhance performance.
• The future of Stan includes more user-friendly features.

Chapters:

00:00 Introduction to the Live Episode

02:55 Meet the Stan Core Developers

05:47 Brian Ward's Journey into Bayesian Statistics

09:10 Charles Margossian's Contributions to Stan

11:49 Recent Projects and Innovations in Stan

15:07 User-Friendly Features and Enhancements

18:11 Understanding Tuples and Their Importance

21:06 Challenges for Beginners in Stan

24:08 Pedagogical Approaches to Bayesian Statistics

30:54 Optimizing Monte Carlo Estimators

32:24 Reimagining Stan's Structure

34:21 The Promise of Automatic Reparameterization

35:49 Exploring BridgeStan

40:29 The Future of Samplers in Stan

43:45 Evaluating New Algorithms

47:01 Specific Algorithms for Unique Problems

50:00 Understanding Model Performance

54:21 The Impact of Stan on Bayesian Research

Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!

Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy, Robin Taylor,, Chad Scherrer, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin Caprani, Colin...

Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch!

• My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses
• 1:1 Mentorship with me

Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!

Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)

Takeaways:

• Designing experiments is about optimal data gathering.
• The optimal design maximizes the amount of information.
• The best experiment reduces uncertainty the most.
• Computational challenges limit the feasibility of BED in practice.
• Amortized Bayesian inference can speed up computations.
• A good underlying model is crucial for effective BED.
• Adaptive experiments are more complex than static ones.
• The future of BED is promising with advancements in AI.

Chapters:

00:00 Introduction to Bayesian Experimental Design

07:51 Understanding Bayesian Experimental Design

19:58 Computational Challenges in Bayesian Experimental Design

28:47 Innovations in Bayesian Experimental Design

40:43 Practical Applications of Bayesian Experimental Design

52:12 Future of Bayesian Experimental Design

01:01:17 Real-World Applications and Impact

Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!

Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy, Robin Taylor,, Chad Scherrer, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin Caprani, Colin Carroll, Nathaniel Burbank, Michael Osthege, Rémi Louf, Clive Edelsten, Henri Wallen, Hugo Botha, Vinh Nguyen, Marcin Elantkowski, Adam C. Smith, Will Kurt, Andrew Moskowitz, Hector Munoz, Marco Gorelli, Simon Kessell, Bradley Rode, Patrick Kelley, Rick Anderson, Casper de Bruin, Philippe Labonde, Michael Hankin, Cameron Smith, Tomáš Frýda, Ryan Wesslen, Andreas Netti, Riley King, Yoshiyuki Hamajima, Sven De Maeyer, Michael DeCrescenzo, Fergal M, Mason Yahr, Naoya Kanai, Steven Rowland, Aubrey Clayton, Jeannine Sue, Omri Har Shemesh, Scott Anthony Robson, Robert Yolken, Or Duek, Pavel Dusek, Paul Cox, Andreas Kröpelin, Raphaël R, Nicolas Rode, Gabriel Stechschulte, Arkady, Kurt TeKolste, Gergely Juhasz, Marcus Nölke, Maggi Mackintosh, Grant Pezzolesi, Avram Aelony, Joshua Meehl, Javier Sabio, Kristian Higgins, Alex Jones, Gregorio Aguilar, Matt Rosinski, Bart Trudeau, Luis Fonseca, Dante Gates, Matt Niccolls, Maksim Kuznecov,...