Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/investing-in-timber-vs-buying-pulp-stocks

00:00 Intro

00:12 Summary

3:00 Investing in timber: oligopoly controls the market

4:58 There is also geographical concentration…

6:43 Final remarks

11:45 Action points

• Portugal is a huge Eucalyptus Globulus producer;
• Portuguese timber investors depend on Navigator and Altri;
• Pulp makers have other dependencies, like BHKP prices and China.

• Do the companies I own depend on a few customers?
• Do the commodities I own really protect me against inflation?
• Am I blindly expecting land to protect me against inflation? If so, will it really?

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Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/altri-production-costs-overview

0:00 Intro

0:17 Summary

3:30 Altri production costs

7:54 Summing it up

9:05 Action points

• Altri produces mainly BHKP, most of which BEKP;
• Altri’s operational costs are ~500€/ton;
• Its operational efficiency gains are getting more and more limited.

• Is the product that my companies make a commodity?
• What’s the production cost of the commodity producers in my portfolio?
• Are gains from operational efficiencies being exhausted, slowing/eliminating future gains?

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Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/inditex-shipping-and-returns-analysis

00:00 Intro

00:10 Summary

03:15 Inditex shipping and returns: Europe

07:34 Inditex shipping and returns: United Kingdom (UK)

12:30 Inditex shipping and returns: United States (US)

15:16 To sum it up

18:19 Action points

• Inditex (Zara) ships the fastest, and is the most flexible when it comes to returns;
• Nike has free shipping and return, supported by the price premium of its great brand;
• Boohoo competes well in its home country (UK) with its subscription service;
• H&M is similar to Zara, Uniqlo isn’t competitive and Shein is the typical low-cost retailer.

• Are shipments and returns important for the companies in my portfolio? If yes,do the companies I own have defensible shipment/return competitive advantages?
  are they globally competitive, or only in their home country?
  are they offering differentiated services like same-day delivery, subscriptions or point schemes?
  
• What’s the impact of shipments and returns in my company’s margins?

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Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/inditex-store-profitability-per-store-per-m²

0:00 Intro

0:14 Summary

1:22 Inditex store profitability on a per store basis

3:31 Inditex store profitability on a per m² basis

5:51 Inditex profitability per concept, per m²

7:37 Action points

• Inditex has an EBIT/store of 450k€, compared to H&M’s 275k€/store;
• Their revenue hovers around 5000€/m² of selling area, EBIT is 900€/m² and Net Income is 700€/m²;
• Zara’s physical profitability is healthy and it is the main Inditex brand to monitor.

• What’s the revenue per m² of space for the companies I hold with physical presence?
• Is Zara working on further strengthening its brand?

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Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/inditex-expansion-of-physical-stores

0:00 Intro

0:14 Summary

4:10 Inditex expansion by physical store count

8:29 Action points

• Stores play a logistics and advertising role today, being an important chess piece;
• There’s 94k potential store openings worldwide, with emphasis on China and U.S.;
• Inditex expansion potential is high because the fashion retail market is highly fragmented.

• Do physical stores play a role in the companies I own, or are they liabilities?
• What’s the physical expansion potential of the companies I own?

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Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/investing-is-a-zero-sum-selfish-game

0:00 Intro

0:18 Summary

2:15 Passive ownership = zero-sum

4:48 Action points

• The company you own produces new goods and services, so it isn’t a zero-sum case;
• Passive ownership is useless to everyone but yourself;
• Entrepreneurship is a direct contribution to the world, unlike stock picking.

• Do I care about contributing to the evolution of humanity?
• Are the companies that I own focused on producing goods and services?

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Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/mcdonalds-expansion-potential

00:00 Intro

00:15 Summary

01:59 Mcdonald’s expansion due to volume

03:32 Mcdonald’s expansion sensitivity analysis

10:01 To sum it up

• The U.S. is the benchmark of restaurants per 100K, with a value of ~4;
• China is 1/3 to 1/2 of the potential restaurant count upside;
• Almost all of the restaurant count growth comes from developing countries with low ARPU’s.

• How is MCD’s china expansion working out?
• What top line growth do I expect of MCD? Where will it come from?

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Written Post: http://stockpickinginsights.com/stock-analysis-checklist-updated-version

0:00 Intro

1:20 A few quick notes

3:24 Stock analysis checklist: latest questions

Because new analyses were made since then, new questions came in too. This is an update to that checklist, and here’s the updated pdf I promised.

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