In this episode, John Ratcliff, a bitcoin blockchain analytics pioneer and early bitcoin adopter since 2013, explores the extremity of bitcoin scarcity. John shares his extensive background as a game developer and how he initially began to understand bitcoin. He discusses the similarities between early game development and bitcoin's block size limit, as well as the interesting connection between bitcoin and freemasonry. The conversation also covers topics like Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), UFOs, and the mindset needed to analyze the bitcoin blockchain. Listeners will learn John’s perspective on bitcoin price models, the true scarcity of bitcoin, and practical advice for young people incorporating bitcoin into their lives.

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TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 Introduction

00:01:35 John’s background as a game developer and 2013 bitcoiner

00:02:57 Did being a video game developer help you understand bitcoin?

00:07:38 John’s catalyst to understanding bitcoin

00:11:42 Money or markets within video games

00:13:05 Resource constraints in bitcoin and early game development

00:19:39 Bitcoin video games

00:20:17 You’re a freemason–what is a freemason?

00:23:29 Bitcoin and freemasons

00:27:19 Do MMTers actually believe what they say?

00:29:26 UFOs, aliens, and open mindedness

00:34:30 Analyzing the bitcoin blockchain

00:51:00 How scarce is bitcoin

01:05:18 Bitcoin price models—S2F and power law

01:06:16 Advice for young people making bitcoin a part of their life

01:14:20 Something you believe that most holders of bitcoin would disagree?

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→ John Ratcliff’s Twitter: https://x.com/jratcliff

In this episode, Christopher David, a self-taught software engineer with two decades of experience, dives into the future of AI and bitcoin. Christopher offers his expert analysis on OpenAI's GPT-4o model release, the evolving dynamics between humans and AI, and the pivotal question of whether AI will replace or create millions of jobs. He also examines the future landscape of closed-source versus open-source models, the innovative ways software engineers are leveraging LLMs, and the potential arrival of AGI.

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TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 Introduction

00:01:35 Christopher’s software and bitcoin background

00:02:47 Thoughts on Open AI GPT-4o?

00:07:00 Is technology actually accelerating?

00:13:08 Will we use AI as a personal assistant or as autonomous agents?

00:19:18 What is AGI? When will we see AGI?

00:24:30 How will humans continue to interact with AI models?

00:28:14 Will AI replace or create jobs?

00:31:20 AI models and software engineering

00:36:14 Will open source models keep pace with closed source models?

00:38:13 One big AGI model or many niche models?

00:41:22 How does bitcoin fit into the future of AI?

00:43:05 What is OpenAgents?

00:45:53 What is an AI agent?

00:49:22 Does AI destroy moats around SaaS companies?

00:51:23 Are we approaching a technological singularity?

00:52:53 Is AI a centralizing or decentralizing technology?

00:53:58 Closing thoughts

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→ Christopher David’s Twitter: https://x.com/AtlantisPleb

In this episode, Bitstein discusses critical aspects of bitcoin's history. We begin with an analysis of the 2015-2017 blocksize war and its implications. Bitstein offers insights on potential future bitcoin fork wars and whether he would ever support any future hard forks. We explore bitcoin's antifragility and why institutions like the Mises Institute haven't fully embraced it. Bitstein also outlines the long-term vision of the Nakamoto Institute. We then examine stock-to-flow and power law models to understand bitcoin’s “boundless” total addressable market (TAM).

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TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 Introduction

00:01:36 2015-2017 blocksize war

00:21:21 Will there be future bitcoin fork wars?

00:27:27 Will Bitstein ever choose a future hardfork?

00:32:34 Antifragility of bitcoin

00:43:25 Why is the Mises Institute not a massive bitcoin proponent?

00:48:00 Nakamoto institute—long term vision?

00:58:26 Supporting the Nakamoto Institute

01:00:43 S2F and power law models

01:07:39 Bitcoin’s total addressable market?

01:12:22 Closing thoughts

SUPPORTING LINKS:

Nakamoto Institute: https://nakamotoinstitute.org/

Support the Nakamoto Institute: https://nakamotoinstitute.org/get-involved/

Donate to the Nakamoto Institute: https://nakamotoinstitute.org/donate/

Contact the Nakamoto Institute: https://nakamotoinstitute.org/contact/

WHERE TO FOLLOW US:

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→ Joe Burnett’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/IIICapital

→ Bitstein’s Twitter: https://x.com/bitstein

In this episode, Matt McClintock shares his expertise on managing thousands of bitcoins for ultra-wealthy clients. He discusses the differences between early bitcoin pioneers from 2010 and existing ultra-high-net-worth individuals (UHNWIs) buying bitcoin, the burning questions ultra high net worth bitcoin holders ask, and how bitcoin is transforming wealth inheritance. Matt dives into trust durations, jurisdictions, and tax strategies, revealing whether these UHNWIs are still buying bitcoin or diversifying and shifting to “ethical” investments. We also look at bitcoin's future in the US, the timing of ETF approvals, its total addressable market, and the surprising number of early ultra-wealthy adopters.

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TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 Introduction

00:01:30 Matt’s background: Helping people hold thousands of bitcoins

00:04:55 Early bitcoiners vs. existing UHNWIs

00:09:47 Key questions from ultra-wealthy bitcoiners

00:12:58 Inheriting traditional assets vs. bitcoin

00:19:22 Trust duration and jurisdictions

00:25:06 Trust endings and tax implications

00:29:30 Do ultra-wealthy bitcoiners still buy bitcoin?

00:34:44 Wealthy investing in moral good vs. returns

00:38:49 How will the US and bitcoin evolve together?

00:43:25 Timing of ETF approvals

00:47:00 Bitcoin’s total addressable market

00:50:40 Surprised by ultra-wealthy early adopters?

00:53:50 Closing thoughts

WHERE TO FOLLOW US:

→ Unchained Twitter: https://twitter.com/unchainedcom

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→ Joe Burnett’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/IIICapital

→ Matt McClintock’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/mcclintock_m

Connect with Matt McClintock and The Bespoke Group:
→ Website: https://bespokegroup.io/
→ Matt’s X: [https://x.com/mcclintock_m
→ Company X: https://x.com/BespokeGroupCO
→ Matt’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mattmcclintock/
→ Company LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/bespoke-service-company-llc/

In this episode, Dr. Jeff Ross shares insights on current macroeconomic trends, including the Federal Reserve's reconsideration of rate cuts, increased market volatility over the past month, and unexpectedly high inflation rates. He discusses the power law model, drawing comparisons with patterns observed during his medical career as a physician and radiologist. Dr. Jeff also explores strategies for constructing the optimal portfolio in 2024 and in the future under a bitcoin standard.

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TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 Intro

00:01:33 Macro—fed walking back rate cuts, VIX high, hot inflation

00:06:55 S2F and power law—where will bitcoin go this cycle?

00:17:49 Best performing hedge fund of 2024

00:20:57 Bitcoin, MSTR, miners, and options?

00:26:53 Changing the geopolitical world order

00:33:00 What’s the optimal bitcoin allocation?

00:37:36 Is there anyone that should not buy bitcoin?

00:39:13 Will investment management get less or more important?

00:40:32 ETF, exchange, or self custody?

00:42:41 Will financial advisors play a role in private key management?

00:45:32 Future of bitcoin custody

00:48:28 Are passive index funds useful on a bitcoin standard?

00:51:37 Optimal portfolio allocation on a bitcoin standard

00:53:15 Closing thoughts

WHERE TO FOLLOW US:

→ Unchained Twitter: https://twitter.com/unchainedcom

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→ Unchained Newsletter: https://unchained.com/newsletter

→ Joe Burnett’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/IIICapital

→ Dr. Jeff Ross’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/VailshireCap

In this episode, we explore bitcoin skepticism, focusing on topics such as hashrate volatility, potential miner attacks, and Michael Saylor's perspective on bitcoin. Micah provides insights from his bitcoin textbook and uses a chalkboard to clearly illustrate his views on the future of the bitcoin mining industry. We dive into significant issues like transaction censoring and miner collusion, and discuss the potential future risks to bitcoin's cryptographic security.

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TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 Intro

00:01:15 Who are you and when did you start thinking about bitcoin?

00:14:30 What do people think about your bitcoin textbook?

00:15:45 Do you own bitcoin?

00:16:38 Do you want bitcoin to succeed?

00:19:55 Is saving bad?

00:20:44 Rent seeking?

00:21:45 Could bitcoin’s hashrate be highly volatile?

00:27:38 What’s the tipping point of hashrate volatility?

00:30:17 Is this hashrate volatility a problem?

00:31:20 Attacking bitcoin

00:35:20 What are the attacks miners might do?

00:39:35 When do you think this type of attack may occur?

00:43:24 MARA transaction censoring failed

00:44:24 What’s the tipping point for miner collusion?

00:45:55 We’ve already seen miner capitulation

00:47:30 Bitcoin price vs value?

00:48:00 Will the price of bitcoin keep going up?

00:48:16 Thoughts on Michael Saylor?

00:50:13 Any risk of cryptography breaking?

00:51:40 Closing thoughts

WHERE TO FOLLOW US:

→ Unchained Twitter: https://twitter.com/unchainedcom

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→ Unchained Newsletter: https://unchained.com/newsletter

→ Joe Burnett’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/IIICapital

→ Micah Warren’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/AchimWar

In this episode, we compare common hardware wallets with SeedSigner, a DIY bitcoin hardware wallet. We explore the reasons behind building SeedSigner, the process of securely generating seeds, and the considerations for holding a private key on hot devices like an iPhone or cold devices like a Trezor, Ledger, or Coldcard. We also discuss the evolution of bitcoin custody over the last decade, the risks associated with using common hardware like Raspberry Pi, and the advantages of multisig versus singlesig setups.

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TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 Intro

00:01:25 What is SeedSigner?

00:02:05 Why build SeedSigner?

00:05:44 Holding a private key on an iPhone?

00:06:33 Building a SeedSigner device

00:08:16 Why call it a “signing device?”

00:10:45 Generating seeds securely

00:12:33 Good security vs extreme paranoia

00:17:05 How has bitcoin custody evolved over the last 10 years?

00:25:42 How to securely buy hardware?

00:30:45 Are there risks to using a raspberry pi for bitcoin private keys?

00:32:58 Multisig vs singlesig

00:39:10 DIY multisig vs collaborative custody multisig

00:40:53 Using different hardware devices for different seeds

00:44:54 Future of bitcoin custody in 10-20 years

00:50:00 New SeedSigner features?

00:52:41 New to multisig and using SeedSigner?

00:56:30 Closing thoughts

WHERE TO FOLLOW US:

→ Unchained Twitter: https://twitter.com/unchainedcom

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→ Unchained Newsletter: https://unchained.com/newsletter

→ Joe Burnett’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/IIICapital

→ SeedSigner’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/SeedSigner

In this episode, Fred Krueger reflects on his initial experience of purchasing bitcoin on Mt. Gox and subsequently selling it on Mt. Gox. He dives into detailed explanations of both the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) and power law models, offering his insights on whether the bitcoin power law model should be regarded as a mathematical law or just a pattern. Finally, he discusses potential factors that could disrupt the power law model and addresses the notion proposed by Michael Saylor that all models are broken.

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TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 Intro

00:01:20 Fred’s background preparing him for bitcoin

00:04:17 Fred buying bitcoin on Mt. Gox

00:06:37 Bitcoin as a pet rock with no cash flow

00:10:57 S2F and Power law models

00:23:03 ETH trending to 0

00:25:17 Power law—mathematical law or pattern?

00:40:16 Extreme bear markets

00:41:50 Using bitcoin and bitcoin custody

00:47:50 How would the power law model break?

01:01:09 Will all the models break?

01:07:01 Closing thoughts

WHERE TO FOLLOW US:

→ Unchained Twitter: https://twitter.com/unchainedcom

→ Unchained Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/unchainedcom

→ Unchained Newsletter: https://unchained.com/newsletter

→ Joe Burnett’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/IIICapital

→ Fred Krueger’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/dotkrueger