China has come out with a string of policies that are targeted to reinvigorate economic growth. Some of the policies are adding leverage to the government’s balance sheet. A question that investors are asking is: how much more will China realistically spend to stimulate the economy?

So far, these policies have focused on shoring up demand - unlike after the financial crisis, when China spent trillions of renminbi to expand supply. That is an importance difference because it implies policymakers remain disciplined in the way they choose to manage debt.

Marty Dropkin, Head of Equities, Asia Pacific, asks Fidelity International’s Director of Research for Fixed Income, Asia Pacific, Bich Nguyen, and Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, Tae Ho Ryu, about how investors should approach the issue.

With an additional contribution from Portfolio Manager Olivia He.

This episode was recorded on September 12th, 2024, before the most recent policy measures were announced.

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Read a summary of this episode here.

Read our analysis on how China keeps its debt in order here.

For a more in-depth take on China’s bond market, listen to the previous podcast episode on the renminbi here.

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In this bonus episode, we're hearing about three investment ideas that are exciting Fidelity’s Asia portfolio managers and how they play into the megatrends of artificial intelligence, the energy transition, and shifting supply chains.

Marty Dropkin, Head of Equities, Asia Pacific, is joined by Monica Li, Fidelity International’s Director of Research for China. With additional contributions from three of the company’s portfolio managers who have recently returned from a research trip in China: Dale Nicholls, Taosha Wang, and Madeleine Kuang.

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To read more on the three megatrends discussed in this podcast, please visit fidelityinternational.com

Marty and Monica also discussed the Third Plenum - an important economic policy meeting that took place recently. For our analysis on that, read this article here.

For a more in-depth take on China’s currency and interest rates, listen to the previous podcast episode on the renminbi here.

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In this episode, we turn our attention to something that affects almost every investor in China: a weakening renminbi. The Chinese currency has lost almost 10 per cent against the US dollar in the last 18 months.

Is this a result of economic weakness in China or just another chapter in the strong dollar story? How is the renminbi performing against other currencies like the Japanese yen? Is currency weakness a cyclical challenge for the country or a structural trend? And what should investors do about it?

To help answer these questions, Marty Dropkin, Head of Equities, Asia Pacific, is joined by Asia Economist, Peiqian Liu, and Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, Belinda Liao.

With additional contributions from Portfolio Manager Casey McLean.

To read more on the renminbi, please visit fidelityinternational.com

To read Belinda’s article on hedging, click here.

To listen to the previous podcast episode on ‘Japanification’, click here.

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