Episodes

  • Apocalypse Stocks! Which Stocks Should You Own If The World Is Ending - FINAL EPISODE
    Jun 1 2022

    In this farewell episode of The Long Run Show, we are going to be talking about what stocks are must-haves when end of the world comes and the markets are open.

    Hosted By:

    Austin Willson

    Michael O'Connor




    Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/the-long-run-show/donations
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    48 mins
  • Your Personal Monetary Policy
    May 31 2022

    In this farewell episode of The Long Run Show, we are going to be talking about how you should manage your personal monatery policy.

    Who is the Jerome Powell in your brain?

    Hosted By:

    Austin Willson

    Michael O'Connor



    Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/the-long-run-show/donations
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    1 hr and 2 mins
  • The Space Entrepreneur With Marc Bell, Co-Founder Terran Orbital
    May 26 2022
    Guest:Marc Bell - Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founderhttps://terranorbital.com/Hosted By:Austin WillsonMichael O'ConnorIt's Marc Bell, chairman and CEO of Terran orbital. How are you doing today, Marc? I am doing great. And so thank you for having me. Great to have you we'll first off the bat. I would love to just learn a little bit about Terran, like the name, the stories around it before we jump into too much long-term stuff.I just want to know about you guys. Terran orbital started, I started in 2013 and I started as a vehicle. To acquire companies that were working in space. I'm a lifelong Trekkie. So there was 10 years old, always fascinated with space, always wanting to go to space. At some point I realized they weren't putting middle-aged overweight Jews into space.So I decided to go ahead and start buying companies that I could build things to put into space that don't include myself. And it's been a dream come true. It is, we are now building satellites and we're solving problems from space. And we're the guys who helped invent the cube set. So we're all this whole new space revolution that everybody talks about.It's all our fault. And so all these new startups and everything else, they're all there because of the technology that we created, a company we bought called tie-back because was about. Austin has a question too. It sounds but I right off the bat, the first question I can think of which you touched on already, like the go space revolution since you guys are right in the thick of it, you've started it.When did this begin? Because we see at least for me, and I think other people in my generation, we see videos of the space shuttles, and that, that kind of felt like the big thing. And then things seem to sleepy for awhile, but it seems like there's been so much going on in the background to make everything that's going on now actually happen.What's been going on. Two guys, a guy named Dr. Jordan pug Suare who was a college professor and Bob Twiggs called professor about 13 years ago, invented educational demonstrator called the cube set. This was a satellite. You can hold in the Palm of your head. And the point was to demonstrate that you don't need to build big satellites to do big things.And if you think about it, you mentioned the space shuttle, your iPhone or Android phone that you hold has more computing power than the space shuttle did. And so things have changed dramatically. And so what used to cost a billion dollars to build? You can outdo for 10 million, but that was the only part of the chip sets costs a lot less.So cubes. Open the door, but you still had to get these things to orbit. Then came along space X and space X made it affordable to go to space. So between us making payload, making the satellite sheep and space X, making the rideshare. A whole revolution was created of small sets. And now that you hear people talking, the government talks about how 50,000 satellites are going to get launched over the next 10 years.And if you put that in perspective, you may be have like 14,000 thousands of satellites launched over the past few. Wow. Those are some impressive numbers. That's a lot of, that's a lot of stuff flying up into space around us is is that gonna be a problem? That's my one question. The good news is there's a lot of space in spaceyou have on earth. You have 40% of the planet is covered by land the, of. You have 3.2 billion cars and on a single plane in space, you have 43,000 miles of Y that 40,000 miles of planes. You have a lot of highways, a lot of roads of space that you could travel. And then what times objects tend to hit each other is when it's intentionally done.When people want to demonstrate how smart they are, that they can create space junk and. And for those of you who are listeners, if you look at the TV show quark from 1977, you'll get a good laugh, but that was a space, garbage truck. And that's what we need today to clean up all this trash that these guys created.But there is a, is it everyone says, oh, this is a problem. Not really a problem, a space situational awareness, which is what's called tracking space. Garbage has a fancy name for it is become a bigger thing. And the us, government's doing a very good job of tracking what's in space. And now there are technologies that we're developing that are similar to what airplanes have.Airplanes have today, something called T cast or traffic collision avoidance system. So you sit in a cockpit and if you're, if something's coming out of the planes going at you, it goes traffic, and then it tells you what to do, what to go, pull up. And if you ever hear the words pray, you're, it's all over, but no one would ever hear those words.But the goal is on a satellite it'll move. It'll be a lot. We use a lot of AI, so sell it. We'll know something's coming. It'll move out of the. It will calculate the trajectory and then I'll move back to where it's supposed to be and do it all on its own ...
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    47 mins
  • How To Customize Your Insurance Policies with Stuart Winchester, CEO Of Marble
    Apr 18 2022
    Guest:Stuart Winchester  CEO & Founder at MarbleHosted By:Austin WillsonMichael O'ConnorBZ: Can you explain what Marble does?S: Over the years, Incredible progress in centralizing standardizing, and making more convenient, the methods of organizing these things for the household and insurances in the last to fall, it's still very balkanized.You have individual carrier applications or it's in your inbox or email. And I saw this because I used to work in a mortgage company and no matter how much technology we deploy still. Shorten the window. It took to get the right insurance information for the mortgage because people just didn't know where it was, what the sand, what they had, who had it.So we built this one hub for all your insurance and all your risk. And then we've layered this rewards element in it because rewards in insurance are really not, is also not really a space that's been pushed into. So consumers can have rewards for uploading policies, referring friends, telling us about their assets, their plans and then, cool stuff down the line that we have planned with.Insurance it's highly regulated industry. Like a lot of, financial industries, but particularly in insurance, there's been this historical concept of rebate law, which still exists.And that it's, it started for very good reasons in that. Life insurance agents back in the day would give big discounts, typically funded from their commission to people who they want to sell insurance to. And that, the turn of the last century, largely it was like, white men who looked like them.And that led to much worse pricing for everyone else. Like a lot of regulations, it was written before the internet really existed. Part of Marble's concept is, we've done a ton of research and work with the regulators to say, Hey, Where can we do rewards where can't we cannot, incentivize buying.We can't make anything cheaper to sell. And also what, can we stay, if we stay blind to who our members are, I would just a really, no sort of biasing impact can we offer rewards? Which is how we brought into it, because to that point, Insurance is you can't turn on the TV without seeing an insurance commercial.There's so much money in this space and rewards provide this really neat mechanism. If you can be thoughtful about removing the biasing impacts to pull money away from. Sports networks and the social media platforms and put some incentive back in the pocket of people to engage with it.So that's part of our founding thesis as well.BZ: The rewards aspect. Do you see that also as a generational thing?S: Exactly that like we, one of our biggest obstacles in fundraising was finding investors who would come with us on this first leg of the journey to see if we could prove that people would engage with insurance, cared about it more than once a year when, and, if even that really.I think a large rebuttal that I had in the fundraising process to people who were objecting with this idea that, people don't care about their insurance. I hear that all the time, but it's we ha have we ever really tried, have we ever really delivered an experience basically?Do they not care about the insurance or do they not care about the ways that we're the tools that we're giving them? Because I do, I would argue that people do care about how they protect. There's stuff. If you frame it on those terms it's something you should care about and people do. But if it totally sucks to shop for it and to manage it, and the apps look like they're out of 2006, if you're, in the same way, you don't want to send a bank wire, you'd rather send a Venmo.It's the same exact proposition. So we've been fortunate. We see I mean we're not day trading like Coinbase, but we see, 30%, monthly activation rates in the app and thats pretty huge.BZ: Almost like what mint.com did for budgeting and accounting personally. You're basically doing that for insurance. So are you actually selling insurance and are you an insurance broker for different types?S: We make money, a couple of different ways. We don't operate as a broker agent today. That's a critical piece as well. Our regulatory position is that we don't touch pricing.We don't negotiate pricing. We don't solicit or make any representations on policies. We sell leads. We do that in a pretty integrated way. So you don't have to, we want to avoid that thing where you click and then you click again and you enter all the same information twice which we can do because we have all your policy information.So basically the user flow of Marble, and I'll get to the revenue part of this. As you come in, we built our own sort of plan for insurance. We've also partnered with some great companies who don't do that as our full-time product offering, we'll pull in, we'll like Hoover in, maybe your renter's policy, your auto policy and your pet policy.We can tell us to take your life policy, whatever you have. We'll write that all to the database securely. Then when you want to ...
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    42 mins
  • The 14 Year Investment Pattern With Mark Yusko
    Apr 1 2022
    Guest:Mark W. YuskoChief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer, Morgan Creek Capital Management & Managing Partner, Morgan Creek Digital AssetsMark Yusko is the Founder, CEO and Chief Investment Officer of Morgan Creek Capital Management. He is also the Managing Partner of Morgan Creek Digital Assets. Morgan Creek Capital Management was founded in 2004 and currently manages close to $2 billion in discretionary and non-discretionary assets. Prior to founding Morgan Creek, Mr. Yusko was CIO and Founder of UNC Management Company (UNCMC), the Endowment investment office for the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Before that, he was Senior Investment Director for the University of Notre Dame Investment Office.Mr. Yusko has been at the forefront of institutional investing throughout his career. An early investor in alternative asset classes at Notre Dame, he brought the EndowmentModel of investing to UNC, which contributed to significant performance gains for theEndowment. The Endowment Model is the cornerstone philosophy of Morgan Creek, as is the mandate to Invest in Innovation. Mr. Yusko is again at the forefront of investing through Morgan Creek Digital Assets, which was formed in 2018. Morgan Creek Digital is an early stage investor in blockchain technology, digital currency and digital assets through the firm’s Venture Capital and Digital Asset Index Fund.Mr. Yusko received a BA with Honors from the University of Notre Dame and an MBA in Accounting and Finance from the University of Chicago.Hosted By:Austin WillsonMichael O'ConnorBZ: welcome back to another episode of the long-run show. This is your host, Austin Willson, along with Mike OConnor. And today we are going to be having another guest on our show. We have Mark Yusko from Morgan Creek Capital. He's actually the founder and CIO of Morgan Creek capital and the chief managing partner of Morgan Creek digital.Hopefully I got that right, Mark. And we're going to be good. We're going to be talking about we're gonna be talking about a lot of different things today. Spanning many different aspects. Obviously, mark, you have a lot of experience investing money and allocating capital and also a lot of experience just with thinking about large long run issues which is the name of the show.M: One of the things that I really don't like is everything is focused on short term and social media. And that just the explosion of content has made it even shorter and shorter. And really, if you think about investing, the art of investing, it really is about the longterm. And it's nice. You're nice to say I have a lot of experience. That's just a very nice way of saying I'm old and I am and that's actually a good thing because it means you survived all the mistakes that you made when you were young. But importantly it goes to. My whole career has been around. Long-term thinking, I a series of happy accidents. I didn't plan to be an investment guy. I planned to be an architect. And then I tried pre-med and none of those things really fit. But I went to work for an insurance company out of business school and the guy who was doing investments retired. And so I was now the investment guy. And what I found is it was the perfect thing for me as a science guy. And science is all about format hypothesis, forming experiment, gathering data, testing the hypothesis, and then deciding if it's right or wrong. And that's exactly what you do in investing, right? You come up with this form an experiment.You, you make exposure and then you test it. You gather the data and the market tells you whether you're right or wrong. And part of the. my aha moment over my career was that time arbitrage. So long run thinking, right? The title of your show is the ultimate win in investing. If you have a long time preference, if you have the ability to think longer term than the average investor, you will make more money. And that's kinda cool. And you don't have to be right as often either. That's the nice thing is you don't have to always be right or prove that you're right. Which is very dangerous and investing. Yeah. So quick. Went to school. I said to be an architect or a doctor then went to business.School, came out, went into investing. And my next happy accident was I went back to my Alma Mater. I went back to Notre Dame and I got into endowment management. And what I realized was I thought investing when I worked for the bond management part of the insurance company and then an equity firm. Was that It was just about picking stocks and bonds. That's what investing does. That's what the TV tells you. You should pick stocks IBM or GM or Ford. And what I realized is those were 15% of the longterm returns. 85% of returns comes from asset allocation. The big picture allocation of capital across stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities within stocks. Do I go international? Do I go domestic? Do I go technology? Do I go healthcare? And those big asset allocation ...
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    1 hr and 1 min
  • Long Run Plays In Energy
    Mar 14 2022
    In this episode of The Long Run Show, we are going to be talking about energy , how effective the sanctions will be on Russia in the long run. Hosted By:Austin WillsonMichael O'ConnorTranscript:welcome back to another episode of the long run show. This is Austin Wilson. I'm here with my cohost. Michael O'Connor. And today we are going to be talking about energy very timely subject at the, as we're recording this, there's the whole Russia, Ukraine, conflict, war invasion, aggression, whatever you want to label it happening over in Europe and obviously with Russia being one of the top producers of natural gas and.In the global economic system we thought this would be a very timely subject. We've been wanting to talk about energy for a while though. Mike and. This is just there's a lot going on. There's talks of sanctions being thrown around. And how is that going to impact European countries in the U S and  Western countries. So China's role in all that is, there's a lot of moving parts here and some interesting solutions as well, maybe. We don't know all of those. But we'll just talk through that and try to think through what this means for oil stocks or companies and anything related to oil, which has everything.So it's true. That's a good way to put it. And like you said, we've been talking about this for a while. We've hinted at we've definitely run into your energy discussions, especially in our ESG one the whole. Green energy thing. And then all that, there's a lot of been a lot of different opinions and different kinds of paths that different companies and especially national governments have taken. We've seen countries in the last decade, really abandoned nuclear war. I don't know. I pretty severely disagree with it's clean, enormous amount of energy. You're not necessarily reliant on other countries to supply the fuel. Maybe you don't have uranium mines, but you usually can usually pretty dependably get uranium as a national government.So it's that's a whole thing. I'm a big nuclear guy. I think I've heard that you are as well. So we might, this would be maybe one where we're not really adversaries at all. We're just agreeing and on our soap box, but. Hey, what's a podcast for if not a soapbox. Exactly.So it's been interesting though to watch okay. We've seen different, like energy has driven. Or it's driven the us going into the middle east and mulling around, over there doing different things. And so it drives a lot of foreign policy but also I think that the less more.Commodity gas. As far as energy goes, that's very important for heating homes and businesses, and a lot of different things. Obviously oil touches everything.  Just about everything you've touched during the day has something to do with oil because of plastic and parts and.Yeah, literally everything. My, my phone case here is got oil in it. The cord that's connecting my headphones to my laptop's got oil in it, essentially.  It's  in everything, but natural gas is also a huge factor as well, especially if we're talking Europe, they get a lot of their natural gas, like Poland to Germany, get a lot of natural gas from Russia.And what is this whole conflict due to those supplies?  It's the middle of winter, so you're going to need to heat your home, whether you're in Southern Europe or Northern Europe and natural gas is is one of the things it's not a lot of people with. At least in Europe that I know of maybe some more in, in the Nordic countries  with their interesting cozy hygienic, he, I forgot how to pronounce it quickly or something like that.Yeah. Going to pronounce that, but a nice cozy wood burning furnace. Yeah, exactly. So I think of the two almost at this point, as far as energy goes, Natural gas is something that hasn't been explored as much. Now I know that doesn't drive as many economic outputs, but it is definitely from the consumer, like direct directly of consumer impact. That is definitely a factor that I think hasn't been talked a lot. What are your thoughts there on the natural. End of things. That's an interesting point because we definitely live in a very oily world. We're very, everything's viscous and wonky   but that's a good point. I In order to so many, I'm a big.Cooking guy. I like gas more than electric stove top. I'm a big gas ranger fan.  I love my natural gas Austin. I'll tell you what. And so the heat a house or to cook a steak like that is such a huge those are two very basic survival necessities heat. You got to stay warm to stay alive.You got to eat to stay alive. Now you could just eat refrigerated foods instead of cooking steaks. But what's life that a good steak net here. And again, maybe I'm vegetarian listeners but Hey you could roast some nice broccoli or something with that, but here's the thing.Even if you're roasting some nice broccoli or eating raw refrigerated foods, your refrigerator uses natural gas. ...
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    49 mins
  • We Are The "TurboTax" of Medicare With Richard Chan CEO of CoverRight
    Feb 24 2022
    In this episode of The Long Run Show, we chat with Richard Chan, Chief Executive Officer, and Co-Founder at CoverRight about customized medical insurance. "I got into Insurance specifically because that was a space that is about five or 10 years behind lending in terms of innovation.""Medical Insurance was always kind of focused on the younger population assuming, they use technology more anyways, so we'll create solutions for them.""There are 10,000 people retiring every single day." "The statistic is there's going to be 20 million net new retirees over the next 10 or 15 years. And so it's a big population." "Most of the industry that we're in doesn't believe that seniors can't use technology, which we fundamentally don't agree with""The problem that we saw was that the current experiences that are in the market really disempowered consumers, particularly Medicare. ""What we sold was it's a very high anxiety decision for someone turning 65 for a lot of people""health and finance. as you get older, those two topics start to intertwine.""And so on average, a person has over 60 options to choose. And our goal really is to build a, we call it a digital concierge model and sort of internally we call it TurboTax of Medicare, where it is sort of a concierge service where you can start online, get educated, be part of that decision and really empowering the consumer to own that healthcare decision that they're making, which is obviously important one as you get, get older."Guest:Richard Chan LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rkfchan/ Website: https://coverright.com/Hosted By:Austin WillsonMichael O'ConnorTranscript:Hey everyone. And welcome back to another episode of the Long Run Show. This is Michael O'Connor here with the lovely Austin Willson.That's me the lovely Austin WillsonAnd here with our extra special guests today, we have our second guest-based episode. I am, I am loving this. I'm loving the conversations Austin.Q: We are here with Richard Chan CEO and co-founder CoverRight. How are you doing today, Richard?Richard: I'm well, and thanks so much for having me on the show. I'm excited.Great to have you. I know that a lot of, a lot of the discussions we've had recently have centered around psychology have centered around a bunch of, kind of. Broad topics. And we just had an episode about insurance. So the timing seems to be perfect, to really pick your brain on CoverRight. Pick your brain on insurance as a whole, where you've been, where you're going. Uh, so I'd love to just start off with like, you know, who are you? What's your journey?Richard: absolutely. So in case your audience is wondering, accent is from Australia. So grew up in Sydney, been in the states for the last five or six years. but started my career really on the financial services size and capital markets, and providing, advice to companies in the financial services and FinTech it tech and consumer sectors. I'd always been. You know, fascinated about how important the five natural services industry as a whole is to both the economy and in everyday lives. And I think- the issue is not everyone understands it well. And so I was really drawn to FinTech at my time, covering these financial services companies the ability for technology to help the broader population on items like personal finance.And so in 2017, I actually left that career to join a company based out in San Francisco. That was actually tackling a very interesting problem. on the other side of the demographic spectrums, what I'm doing now in the student loan space which I found fascinating at the time you know, there's been this whole wave of student loan refinancing.The company is credible.com is one of the first student loans refinance marketplaces at the time. It was, you know, you guys probably remember I know. And it was like just after the financial crisis and just prices were really low. Uh, and, but the federal rate for student lines was like high single-digit.And so it didn't make sense. It was kind of a weird dislocation. And so that's how it goes. when FinTech that company ended up, selling a couple of years ago. And, you know, I wanted to dive in and do something else in, in sort of the personal finance space. And we looked around, insurance specifically because I think that's a space that, you know, it was about 5 or 10 years behind lending in terms of innovation. landed on, on, you know, CoverRight which is in the Medicare space. the same use demographic, primarily, as like a super interesting problem that, that, that really hasn't been solved yet. It's like the textbase is always kind of focused on like the younger population assuming, they use technology more anyways, so we'll create solutions for them.So what was the, what was the impetus behind going after kind of the. kind of older demographic and making a solution that's FinTech based, obviously it has a tech solution to it. So it's going to, you're going to need to make sure that they're tech ...
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    39 mins
  • Why NFTs Are A Long Run Deal With Matt Gaser
    Feb 17 2022
    In this episode of The Long Run Show, we chat with Matt Gaser, Chief Executive Officer at Fabricated Madness about the future of NFTs. "I think the creative side of NFTs is just a small portion of the kind of utilities that NFTs will bring" "Your medical records will be an NFT, your mortgage is going to be an NFT because it's totally encrypted." "I think NFTs are going to be an integral part in the sale of goods, the transfer of  funds" Matt's impressive resume includes well-known projects such as CG animated TV series Star Wars: The Clone Wars. Matt recently left his career of 20 years to start his own business in the NFT world working on many projects, one of which is The Chronicles of Dr.Zammys where a fantasy doctor in a whimsical universe called Gallagan, fights a virus coming from another dimension.Dr.Zammys is also planned to be an animated TV series.Guest:Matt Gaser LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mattgaser/Project Website: https://www.drzammsy.com/FAQ: https://www.drzammsy.com/faq/Links to purchasing our NFTs: https://www.drzammsy.com/get-nfts/Personal Artist site: https://www.mattgaser.com/Wax Blockchain: https://twitter.com/WAX_ioFAQs: https://www.drzammsy.com/faq/https://wax.atomichub.io/Hosted By:Austin WillsonMichael O'ConnorTranscript:So welcome back to another episode of The Long Run Show. This is Austin Willson, along with my cohost, Michael O'Connor.Matt: Good to be here.Q: We actually have our first guest today. We're gonna be talking about NFTs over the long run and our guest is actually deep in the space right now, creating NFTs is he's got quite the resume to back it up too. He's not just a guy in Microsoft paint, making pictures. He's got quite the artistic portfolio.  I'd like to introduce Matt Gaser. He is a part of the project of The Chronicles of Dr.Zammsy.So Matt, welcome to The Long Run Show.Matt:Hey guys. Great to be here. Thank you. Appreciate it.Q:Our first guest on this is wild, right?Matt:Hey there's always a first, I'm happy to be be here and talk everything about NFTs, the future of NFTs and yeah, it's an exciting time.Totally amazing time for this kind of thing.Q:Yeah. It's wild. It's bubbled to the surface over what really the last two years here. So you're in a very exciting space right now. What's it? What's it like finding your way Matt: Very adventurous. I quit my job, doing what I did for 20 years to jump full steam into this. My partner convinced me about this time last year, Ralph. He helped found fabricated madness with me. And last April, we launched our first real NFT project that I incorporated trading cards as NFTs. And we sold. In April, our first set within an hour made 200,000 and we were like, oh, okay. This is real what's. Wow. What? But but it was a fascinating year last year. We learned a lot about the space. We learned a lot about what collectors are looking for. And it's changed drastically since that launch in April. And it's just insanely challenging. And the growth is exponential, but it doesn't come without its challenges. And yeah first time business owner out of this  I've got a staff now it's, we're partnered with a bunch of people and venture capital is involved. It's just a crazy time. And  we've got multiple projects in the works right now.Q:Wow. That's fantastic. Yeah. So it's like you said, 2021 we're in 2022 now. So 2021, I know that flew by quick, but it was a wild year for NFTs. And you said your first sale was, it was 200,000 for how many NFTs were included in that dropMatt: 5 different unique trading cards, but there was sketch cards, animation cards. Variants like epic, common, uncommon, legendary, and mythic all those kinds of things. And the collectors really grabbed on that, on the Wax Blockchain, by the way, we were on the wax blockchain. Okay. I think it's @WAXP if you're looking for investing into that crypto, but  yeah it's a specific. Blockchain, that's really geared towards gaming and FTS and no gas fees.And it's carbon footprints pretty low in fact almost non-existent.  It's but beyond all that, it's just like a fascinating place to sell NFTs and create games that are relating to the play to earn model. Yeah. So it sounds like there was a bit of a concept behind it, as far as like playing cards, Q:Pokemon Mike, I think you might've had experience with Pokemon growing up.I have always been a I've been a trading card guy, my whole life. I love the Pokemon cards and then did a little, a Hearthstone in my teenage years.Matt: I'm an artist from that I've actually painted illustrations for Hearthstone. Imagine.  It's been a, it's been a really weird twist to be on the production side instead of just being a hired artist for those kinds of things and hiring other artists to do art as well. I just never thought that would ever happen. I thought I'd just be painting stuff for people and their movies and things like that forever. But yeah, it's been a ...
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    38 mins