Paul Burgess presents his “Oceanic Index” model of climate change, arguing oceans regulate low cloud cover that acts as Earth’s thermostat, explaining satellite-era temperatures (1982–2025) with high accuracy and extending the approach back using proxies. He accepts anthropogenic CO2 and a direct ECS near 1–1.2°C per doubling, estimating about 0.6°C warming from CO2 since 1850, but rejects IPCC feedbacks and says a ~2.4% reduction in low clouds can account for additional warming, consistent with CERES radiation data where ocean changes lead cloud changes and then temperature. He discusses mechanisms from meteorology (marine inversion changes), historical periods (Little Ice Age, Roman/Medieval warmth) as largely natural, critiques temperature records and climate messaging, and briefly comments on Lindzen’s iris effect and energy policy debates.

00:00 Cloud Thermostat Intro

01:25 Oceanic Index Basics

03:16 What I Accept

04:45 Out of Sample Proof

06:00 ECS Debate Explained

07:32 Ocean Cloud Mechanism

09:16 CERES Sunshade Evidence

12:59 Small Cloud Drop Big Warming

14:26 Back to 1695

16:34 Holocene Lessons

17:40 Oceans Through Minima

20:57 Warm Periods Without CO2

22:03 Mediterranean Cloud Check

24:51 Extending Index to 1800s

28:02 Connolly Adjustment Fit

29:49 El Nino 1870s Peak

30:55 El Niño Context

31:22 ECS Assumptions

31:52 Clouds Fill The Gap

33:32 Feedback Claim Rebuttal

34:57 Frozen Formula Validation

36:02 CERES Versus IPCC

38:04 Scorecard Evidence

40:12 Cloud Mechanism Explained

41:07 Kid Friendly Ocean Cycle

44:21 Alarmism And Propaganda

50:49 Iris Effect Question

52:40 Net Zero Cost Reality

55:27 Closing Thoughts

Climate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism

Main paper: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/how-the-sun-via-the-oceans-controls

The paper on comparing the Mediterranean study: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/a-mediterranean-study-of-the-effect

The Paper On The Holocene as far as LIA: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/holocene-to-the-little-ice-age-a

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Ed Hoskins presents slides comparing renewables (onshore/offshore wind, solar PV, plus biomass and hydro) with gas, coal/lignite, and nuclear on productivity, EROEI, CO2 embedded in construction, land use, materials, build time, service life, and costs adjusted for capacity factors. He cites European capacity factors since 2010 (offshore ~32%, onshore ~20s, solar ~11%), a combined renewables average near 15% and declining since 2020, and a 2023 wind lull leaving large multi-day deficits. He argues storage to cover such gaps is infeasible, renewables require backup and expanded grids, wear out faster, and become far costlier once productivity is included; nuclear is most energy-productive. He criticizes Germany’s nuclear shutdown and questions CO2-driven policy.

00:00 Renewables Reality Check

02:17 Capacity Factors Since 2010

05:33 Dispatchability And Grid Backup

08:42 Wind Drought Case Study

11:43 Storage Costs And Scale

13:25 Energy Return On Investment

16:19 Germany Nuclear Shutdown

17:35 Embedded CO2 And Biomass

21:38 Land Use And Grid Sprawl

25:01 Build Times And Lifespans

29:16 Cost Comparisons With Productivity

41:00 2025 Installations And Conclusions

46:48 CO2 Warming Diminishing Returns

49:34 Q&A Grid Reliability And China

56:06 Wrap Up And Resources

About Ed: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/

https://edhoskins.substack.com/

CO2 concentration Ed Hoskins 2014: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/co2-concentration-ed-hoskins-2014/

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Dr. Randall Bock, a primary-care physician and author of Overturning Zika, argues that public-health research and media often fuel panic to secure funding, citing Peter Hotez’s warnings about dengue, chikungunya, Zika, and a “lights out” U.S. yellow fever scenario. Bock says U.S. sanitation and mosquito control limit these risks and that vaccines could be ramped up quickly. He contends the 2015–16 Brazil Zika–microcephaly crisis was driven by inconsistent microcephaly definitions, weak testing, and miscounting, noting Zika later persisted without microcephaly. He criticizes Zika human challenge trials and Fauci-era spending, discusses “science under siege” rhetoric, and briefly shares cautious views on childhood vaccination timing.

00:00 Why Non-Scary Viruses

01:29 Who Am I

03:09 Hotez Warning Yellow Fever

05:46 Climate Link Tomatoes Analogy

07:37 Yellow Fever Reality Check

08:35 COVID Vaccine Warp Speed

11:25 Zika Forecasts Fell Flat

16:11 Microcephaly Counting Mess

20:42 Vaccines and Zika Trials

26:37 Science Under Siege Critique

30:15 Dark Money and mRNA Push

32:56 Mann Lawsuit and Hygiene

35:14 Hygiene and Dengue

36:01 McNeil and Zika Panic

39:53 Microcephaly Metrics

42:08 Hotez and Fauci Reboots

44:37 Soviet Science Rhetoric

47:53 Yellow Fever Scares

50:12 Ghost Babies Fallout

59:22 Vaccines Parenting Choices

https://x.com/@DrRandallBock

https://dailysceptic.org/2026/09/28/the-experts-are-still-trying-to-scare-us-with-non-scary-viruses/

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

John Costella, a former physicist turned data scientist and software engineer, recounts how watching climate-skeptic films, then reading leaked “Climategate” emails in 2009, changed his trust in climate science. He edited, annotated, and published selected emails, producing a 180-page color book printed by Australia’s Lavoisier Group, arguing the core group was small, politicized, PR-driven, and statistically sloppy, with bullying (including by Michael Mann). He says inquiries cleared wrongdoing but standards were low for policies with huge economic stakes. He then warns AI is already conscious and smarter than him, replacing white-collar jobs, inflating bubbles, and likely triggering a major economic crash soon, with unclear survival strategies.

00:00 Meet John Costella

00:23 Trusting Climate Consensus

01:10 Sally Challenges Belief

03:10 Skeptic Film Turning Point

04:34 Climategate Emails Leak

05:53 Publishing The Email Archive

07:54 Talks And Printed Book

09:57 Rethinking Scientific Standards

16:02 How Long The Book Took

17:48 Climate Science Complexity

22:45 PR Spin And Zealotry

31:04 Small Core Group Problem

32:40 Proxies Data And Peer Review

36:42 Gatekeeping Climate Journals

38:27 Data and Code Transparency

39:56 Sloppy Data Provenance

41:07 Statistics and Trust Collapse

43:19 Models and Feedback Loops

46:02 PR Versus Scientific Method

49:16 Skepticism and Pandemic Parallels

52:54 Bullying and Cult Dynamics

55:23 AI Consciousness and Job Loss

01:00:21 Skynet Risks and Data Centers

01:05:17 Simulation Theory and AI Rights

01:08:39 Economic Crash Survival Talk

01:13:39 Wrapping Up and Links

https://johncostella.com/

https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdf

ClimateGate repository: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/2078198047453143181

My ClimateGate blog posts: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Steve Andrews presents an “extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” for climate change, building on Svensmark and Shaviv’s idea that galactic cosmic rays influence low clouds and cooling, modulated by solar and Earth magnetic fields. Using UAH satellite temperature anomalies (1979–present), CERES, and Oulu neutron counts, he claims monthly warming-rate peaks occur near equinoxes, varies by region, and differs over land vs ocean. He links this to the Russell–McPherron effect: equinox magnetic alignment increases geomagnetic storms, solar-energy input heats and expands the thermosphere, shifting where cosmic-ray energy is dissipated, altering cloud height (higher clouds warming). He argues CO2-driven warming is unsupported, cites CERN CLOUD evidence for cloud nuclei, and suggests declining geomagnetic strength may matter.

00:00 Steve Returns and Topic

00:25 Feynman Quotes and Credentials

01:19 Cosmic Ray Climate Basics

04:13 Heliosphere and Magnetosphere

07:50 Evidence and Correlations

13:28 New Solar Oscillations

16:43 Why Satellite Data Matters

20:33 Monthly Warming Rate Method

22:26 Equinox Peaks in Warming

25:58 Exceptions Canada Australia

29:33 Land Minus Ocean Signal

32:05 Geomagnetic Storm Explanation

35:59 Auroras and Equinox Effect

36:20 Cloud Height Climate Lever

36:47 Thermosphere Heating Mechanism

39:20 Thermosphere Expansion Evidence

40:08 Tropics and Cosmic Ray Patterns

42:14 Climate Impact Summary

43:40 Cloud Data and Correlations

45:06 Challenges and Magnetic Field

49:48 Solar Flux and Altitude Signals

53:22 QBO Link to Solar Cycles

56:38 Satellite Cloud Height Trends

59:12 Long Records and Big Claims

01:03:43 Renewables Cost Anecdote

01:05:47 Q and A CERN and Aerosols

01:11:39 Closing Remarks

Stephen Andrews Substack: https://substack.com/@stephen938

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Jonathan Cohler, joined by Willie Soon, says he is correcting false statements Ed Berry made about their paper “Dominance of Natural Atmospheric CO2 Dynamics,” which is under review and posted online. Cohler argues Berry wrongly claimed they ignored Berry’s work, presented an identical delta-14C “proof,” and called for a carbon-cycle model; Cohler says they cited Berry prominently and used newer radiocarbon data (Hua et al. 2022) and Koutsoyiannis 2024. They distinguish residence time (~3.8 years) from radiocarbon relaxation time (~18.4 years), claim a bridge equation links them, and assert their new work mathematically refutes Bern multi-exponential/adjustment-time models. They also discuss conflicts with the CO2 Coalition over attributing CO2 rise to humans.

00:00 Why This Rebuttal

01:23 Berry Claims Overview

03:16 New Radiocarbon Data

05:19 Lie One Citation Record

07:33 Lie Two Not Identical

10:00 Lie Three No Model Needed

12:34 Why Skip Berry 2023

13:16 Residence vs Relaxation

15:57 Bridge Equation Results

17:20 Math Theorems Against Bern

18:29 Independent Checks and Implications

21:38 Host Q and IPCC Confusion

22:49 Soon on Adjustment Time Myth

24:55 Table Consensus and Bern Failure

26:25 Bomb 14C Reality Check

27:30 Why Bomb Tests Matter

28:19 Ethics And Accusations

29:27 Data Driven Challenge

31:08 CO2 Coalition Split

33:32 Math Not Debate

36:55 Ugly Email Wars

40:01 Science Over Ego

42:52 Searchers Versus Blockers

43:22 Passing The Torch

45:08 Final Thanks And Goodbye

https://x.com/cohler

https://papers.jcohler.com/

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Eric Huxter, a former geography teacher, presents research on UK Met Office maximum temperature records, arguing that the shift from liquid-in-glass thermometers to platinum resistance thermometers (1990–2017) plus station siting and ventilation issues (Aitken effect) produces transient “spikes” that inflate maxima and accelerate apparent warming. Using WeatherObs, Met Office extremes, and purchased 1‑minute Rothamsted data, he finds many maxima occur before the hourly value, with mean rise-to-peak spikes ~1.29°C and many low-probability jumps; some on-the-hour maxima don’t match hourly data. He notes records are concentrated in few stations, often airports or poorer CIMO classes, and critiques record events (Coningsby 2022, Lingwood 2025).

00:00 Meet Eric Huxter

02:13 Forecasts Versus Reality

05:55 UK Stations And Siting

08:22 CIMO Ratings And Bias

17:12 PRT Shift And Aitken Effect

22:10 Rothamsted Baseline Method

27:17 Spikes In Daily Maxima

38:00 On The Hour Mystery

39:56 Step Change Since 1990

43:13 Microclimate Case Studies

48:24 Record Events Under Scrutiny

58:42 Met Office Narrative Critique

01:06:27 Wrap Up And Where To Follow

https://x.com/EricHuxter

https://frayedendsblog.wordpress.com/

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Ed Berry presents a step-by-step, nontechnical overview of his theoretical climate physics work, arguing that “consensus” and authority claims are not science and that climate policy relies on three assumptions, focusing on A1: humans caused all the CO2 rise. He says A1 depends on a false sub-assumption that human CO2 stays longer than natural CO2, proposing a “climate equivalence principle” that identical molecules behave the same. Using IPCC carbon-cycle data and a linear systems model, he derives an atmospheric e-time of ~3.5 years and estimates human CO2 contributes only a few percent, supported by delta-14C and temperature-leading-CO2 studies. He also discusses climate lawsuits (including Held v. Montana), political influence, and criticism of DOE/CO2 Coalition positions.

00:00 Meet Ed Berry

00:53 From Clouds to Climate

01:49 Why Consensus Fails

03:11 Scientific Method Basics

05:16 Three Climate Assumptions

06:55 Debunking CO2 Lifetime Claim

08:35 Climate Equivalence Principle

09:21 IPCC Carbon Cycle Data

12:48 Flows and Human Share

14:11 Building a Carbon Model

16:26 E-Time and Linearity

19:40 Deriving Balance Levels

21:30 Finding IPCC E-Times

25:02 Human vs Natural CO2 Split

27:21 What 420 ppm Implies

27:58 Systems Model Math

29:29 Partitioning Human CO2

31:37 IPCC Cycle Contradiction

34:24 Courtney Endorsement

35:45 Delta 14C Evidence

39:33 Interpreting Bomb Curve

42:09 Temperature Leads CO2

44:21 Proofs Summary

48:29 Montana Lawsuit Setup

50:51 WEF Influence Claims

52:11 DOE Report Problem

53:19 Koonin And CO2C Critique

56:48 Group Positions Wrap

57:48 Q&A And Closing

https://edberry.com/

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1