Episodes

  • Gianluca Alimonti: “Three “climate matrix” papers” #412
    Jul 14 2026

    Gianluca Alimonti discusses three “climate matrix” papers: a 2022 review of extreme weather time series and response indicators that found no clear worsening trends (later retracted, which he argues lacked specific scientific grounds and reflected political pressure); a 2023 analysis of EM-DAT natural-disaster records concluding the post-1970 rise is largely improved reporting, with trends stable since about 2000 and disaster deaths decreasing; and a recent framework proposing 43 IPCC-aligned impact-driver and response indicators to assess “climate crisis,” finding most show no worsening, many improve, and few worsen. He criticizes media/official claims of rapidly rising disasters and emphasizes adaptation and prevention.


    00:00 Meet Gianluca Alimonti

    00:02 Climate Matrix Trilogy Overview

    01:31 Paper One Extreme Events

    03:11 Hurricanes Rain Tornado Data

    05:31 Retraction Controversy

    09:50 Paper Two Disaster Claims

    12:36 EM-DAT Reporting Bias

    17:27 Stable Trends Since 2000

    21:42 Paper Three Defining Crisis

    23:12 Media Term And Search Trends

    27:05 Building A Crisis Framework

    28:20 Drivers Floods Cyclones Fires

    31:53 Response Indicators Scorecard

    35:59 Adaptation Beats Mitigation

    37:49 Conclusions Media Distortion

    39:38 Q&A Retraction And Outreach

    41:40 Where To Find Work

    44:05 Closing Thanks And Farewell


    Home page: https://www0.mi.infn.it/~alimonti/homepage/indexEn.htm

    Pielke Jr on “The Alimonti Addendum”: https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-alimonti-addendum

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    44 mins
  • Nicola Scafetta: “The Frontier of Climate Science” | Tom Nelson Pod #411
    Jul 10 2026

    Nicola Scafetta discusses his book, "The Frontier of Climate Science," a review based on about 650 peer‑reviewed papers arguing that IPCC global climate models have serious limitations because they fail to capture multi‑scale natural variability (oceanic, solar, astronomical, and tidal cycles). He says model claims that nearly all warming since 1850 is anthropogenic are not experimentally validated, climate sensitivity remains highly uncertain, and many models run too hot, with possible surface-record warm bias from urban heat islands. He cites past warm periods and correlations between climate and solar/cosmic-ray proxies, proposes empirical/semi‑empirical cycle-based modeling, and concludes warming risk is moderate, SSP2 could meet Paris targets, net zero is unnecessary, and adaptation should be prioritized.


    00:00 Introducing Scafetta’s New Book

    06:03 Earth’s Deep-Time Climate Swings

    11:06 IPCC Attribution to Humans

    14:44 Why Model Proof Falls Short

    17:27 Paris Targets and Net Zero Logic

    24:33 Are IPCC Scenarios Realistic

    29:04 Model Uncertainty and Sensitivity

    34:57 Satellites vs Surface Warming

    38:42 Missing Past Warm Periods

    43:21 Millennial Solar Climate Cycles

    46:00 Forests Beneath Glaciers

    46:59 Solar Records vs Climate

    49:18 TSI Reconstructions Debate

    52:09 Cosmic Rays and Clouds

    56:07 Empirical Models Challenge IPCC

    59:18 Policy Implications and Adaptation

    01:01:12 Planetary Cycles Climate Theory

    01:05:37 Matching Climate Spectral Cycles

    01:12:51 Future Hiatus and Sensitivity

    01:19:43 Next Glaciation Long View

    01:24:01 Book Wrap Up and Thanks


    The Frontier of Climate Science: Solar variability, natural cycles and model uncertainty: https://a.co/d/0flzOYJ3

    =========

    Brochure for Nicola’s “The Frontier of Climate Science” book, along with slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 hr and 27 mins
  • Anika Sweetland: “IPCC EXPOSED!!! Response to a global problem? Or formation of 1 world gov’t?” #410
    Jul 7 2026

    Anika Sweetland argues the IPCC was created through politics, funding, and elite influence, tracing its origins to the 1985 Villach Conference and alleging it advances centralized global governance. She says media-driven fear shifted from 1970s “ice age” stories to 1988 “global warming,” citing sea-level warnings that did not occur. Sweetland claims climate finance and clean-energy investment incentives benefit IPCC-linked officials. She highlights Climategate emails as evidence of strategic data presentation (“hide the decline”), message management, and peer-review gatekeeping (“PAL review”), plus an alleged journal blacklist. She says her climate studies education omitted Climategate, emphasized policy “solutions,” and discouraged debate.


    00:00 IPCC Exposed Intro

    01:01 Ice Age Media Panic

    02:06 Fear as Control Tool

    03:36 Global Warming Rebrand

    05:23 Sea Level Scare Claims

    07:28 Villach Birth of IPCC

    09:31 Global Governance Agenda

    10:31 Trillions and Incentives

    12:20 Climategate Data Tricks

    18:57 Peer Review Gatekeeping

    21:44 Blacklists and Ideology

    23:31 Personal Wake Up Call

    25:16 Who Controls Science

    26:34 What We Can Do Next

    27:23 Host Reacts and Questions

    27:36 Climategate Not Taught

    30:10 Policy Impacts UK Europe

    33:15 Witch Hunts Parallel

    37:22 Climate Degree Brainwashing

    40:42 Only Graduate Story

    43:15 Today’s Model Driven Teaching

    45:19 Books and IPCC Origins

    46:17 Closing Thanks and Wrap


    https://x.com/anika_climate

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    47 mins
  • Liam DeBoer | Tom Nelson Pod #409
    Jul 3 2026

    Liam DeBoer describes his Substack blending philosophy, psychology, culture, politics, and history, and argues in “Your Ruling Class Is Not Secular” that modern materialist elites still express religious impulses by mapping “soul,” apocalypse, and salvation narratives onto gender ideology, climate change, and revolutionary politics. He discusses Orwell’s 1984 as a psychological study of totalitarianism reshaping perception, and links current activism to young women, noting polling showing young women moving left and widening dating/marriage mismatches. He predicts widening Western factional conflict, references the “fourth turning,” and explains Nietzsche’s ressentiment and victimhood. He outlines “daycare governance” in a feminized institutional culture and summarizes “political ponerology” archetypes behind authoritarianism. He details Canada’s “Vancouver model” money laundering tied to triads, casinos, and politics, and discusses censorship, platform throttling, and Zuckerberg’s motives.


    00:00 Meet Liam DeBoer

    00:33 Ruling Class Religion

    03:34 Climate as Cult

    04:40 Orwell and Totalitarianism

    07:53 Politics and Dating Divide

    11:21 Fracture and Future Conflict

    14:46 Fourth Turning Cycles

    17:00 Nietzsche Ressentiment

    23:32 Victimhood and Agency

    26:24 South Korea 4B Fallout

    28:01 Daycare Governance Model

    35:06 Equality Clips Greatness

    37:55 Political Ponerology Types

    42:46 Canada Money Laundering

    52:06 Censorship and Free Speech

    55:30 Zuckerberg Rebrand

    57:22 Closing and Links


    https://liamoutloud.substack.com/

    https://x.com/liam_out_loud

    https://www.youtube.com/@liam-out-loud

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    58 mins
  • Ken Jensen: “The Enemies of Reason” | Tom Nelson Pod #408
    Jun 30 2026

    Ken Jensen describes his background in environmental toxicology and medical devices, then argues morality can be grounded without religion. He traces a “true, good, beautiful” triad from Plato through Vitruvius and maps it to objective reality, reciprocity/voluntary exchange, and beauty/grace, contrasting it with a destructive “DOI” (destruction, opposition, inversion) force. He critiques management tactics like permanent crisis, “red dot” diversions, and misuse of Romans 13, citing Katrina clergy response teams. He promotes a “dartboard” model over left-right politics, says ethics and morality are inseparable (Nuremberg vs Nazi view), warns about EU-style centralization, CBDCs, and praises ridicule as a defense. He discusses sound money and presents his books The Enemies of Reason and The Memo.


    00:00 Meet Ken Jensen

    01:02 Morality Without God

    02:23 Early Doubts and Clues

    05:13 Climate Debate and First Principles

    06:15 Entropy Uppers and Downers

    09:02 Religion as Binding Core

    10:46 Words Shape Thought

    13:38 Plato Truth Good Beauty

    17:47 Rome Constantine and Control

    20:26 Katrina Clergy Response Teams

    23:12 Triad Mapped to Trinity

    29:02 Dorothy Model and Inversion

    30:43 Universities and Private Property

    34:57 Aesthetics vs Brutalism

    35:35 Destruction Opposition Inversion

    36:04 Parasitic Tactics Explained

    36:59 Inverting the Trinity

    37:27 Defining What We Defend

    38:12 Two Books Overview

    38:57 Dartboard Not Left Right

    41:04 Morality vs Legal Positivism

    43:13 Takeaways Recalibration

    46:37 Studying Evil and Pride

    49:34 Red Dot Diversions

    51:17 Wizard of Oz Q and A

    51:48 CBDCs and EU Centralization

    56:57 Permanent Crisis and Elites

    58:33 Ressentiment and Ridicule

    01:01:20 Sound Money Fixes Society

    01:04:17 Wrap Up and Contacts


    https://www.linkedin.com/in/kpjensen/

    https://www.contactauthorkpj.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 hr and 5 mins
  • Hügo Krüger: “Great idea: If it’s really too hot in your house, get some AC” | Tom Nelson Pod #407
    Jun 28 2026

    In a Paris heatwave (33–40°C), Hügo Krüger says France suffers more indoors because only about 25% of homes have AC, unlike near-universal AC in the US/Japan. He describes ideological and regulatory resistance to AC from ecologists and left-wing politicians, despite AC being a reversible heat pump and France’s electricity being largely nuclear. Apartment rules, aesthetic objections, and energy ratings discourage installation; subsidies favor air-to-water heat pumps that can’t cool. Demand for fans and AC is surging, and politicians propose easing restrictions. He expects fewer deaths than 2003 due to heat alerts, but argues AC would reduce vulnerability.


    00:00 Paris Heatwave Check In

    01:00 Why France Lacks AC

    01:33 Myths About Air Conditioning

    03:00 Hospitals Trains And Culture

    03:42 Politics And Nuclear Power Angle

    07:20 Heat Deaths And Public Response

    14:47 Regulations Blocking Reversible AC

    16:44 How Rare Is This Heat

    17:54 2003 Heatwave Lessons

    20:31 Hardliners And Building Lobby

    22:14 Insulation Fans And Daily Life

    24:11 Bigger Pattern And Nuclear Future

    29:04 Wrap Up And GoFundMe Plug


    https://x.com/hkrugertjie

    “fundraiser to buy an AC for the French Heat Wave!”: https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-me-not-melt-in-paris-2026-heatwave?lang=en_US&ts=1782483248

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    30 mins
  • Erich Schaffer: “Water Vapor Feedback, Part Two” | Tom Nelson Pod #406
    Jun 26 2026

    Erich Schaffer critiques the “super greenhouse effect” and argues that tropical outgoing longwave radiation stays flat mainly because tropospheric temperature is sluggish relative to surface temperature, not because water vapor amplifies greenhouse trapping. He says regional and seasonal proxies for water vapor feedback are invalid (citing admissions by Ramanathan/Inamdar and Dessler et al.) and claims interannual proxy results are distorted by aspect-ratio choices and improper OLS regression, advocating TLS or rotated-benchmark methods. Reanalyzing published plots (Spencer, Lindzen-Choi, Chung, Andy May), he concludes water vapor plus lapse rate implies strong negative feedback and low ECS (~1 K). He also alleges data “fudging” and broader scientific incompetence.


    00:00 Super Greenhouse Effect

    02:20 OLR Calculations Explained

    03:28 Troposphere Sluggishness

    05:32 Ramanathan Admission

    10:23 Feedback Breakdown Math

    12:37 Two Proxies Debunked

    14:05 Revisiting Interannual Proxy

    16:02 Bad Regression Plotting

    17:16 Aspect Ratio Distortion

    23:45 OLS vs TLS Regression

    30:53 Negative Feedback Emerges

    33:22 Spencer Regression Mystery

    37:45 Lindzen Choi Critique

    41:03 Fixing Lindzen Plot

    51:17 Recent Andy May Example

    53:21 Rotate Plot Method

    55:19 Benchmark Slope Trick

    57:38 Questionable Outliers

    01:01:26 Proxies Fall Apart

    01:02:22 Lapse Rate Physics

    01:05:45 Tropical Hotspot Feedback

    01:11:10 AR6 Codependency Critique

    01:14:24 MODTRAN Water Vapor Test

    01:19:44 Emission Altitudes Explained

    01:25:22 Net Feedback and ECS

    01:27:17 Blunders and Sociology

    01:40:54 Q&A and Takeaway

    01:44:44 Bonus Coal Math Error

    01:47:42 Wrap Up


    Erich Schaffer: “Water Vapor Feedback, Part One”: https://youtu.be/2O4mOf9gk-s

    https://x.com/erich_schaffer

    https://greenhousedefect.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 hr and 48 mins
  • Anika Sweetland Part 1: “The science lesson you never received” | Tom Nelson Pod #405
    Jun 23 2026

    Tom interviews Anika Sweetland, who argues Earth’s climate changes in predictable natural cycles and that today is relatively cool in a 65‑million‑year context. Using graphs and books by Gregory Wrightstone, she describes ice-age rhythms linked to Milankovitch cycles and 1,500‑year Dansgaard–Oeschger cycles, including the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age, and claims solar activity and cosmic rays better correlate with temperature than CO2. She says the IPCC smooths data and governments use fear for control, while net-zero policies are wasteful and geoengineering in the UK is concerning. Sweetland recounts university climate studies as CO2-focused indoctrination, discusses backlash and support online, and previews a part two on the IPCC.


    00:00 Meet Anika Sweetland

    04:40 Ice Ages and Long Cooling

    07:18 Milankovitch Cycles Explained

    09:14 Dansgaard Oeschger Cycles

    11:04 Medieval Warmth and Little Ice Age

    14:01 Sun Cosmic Rays and Clouds

    18:21 CO2 Claims and Propaganda

    21:07 Her Climate Degree Experience

    23:22 Education Debate and Models

    27:47 Conference Disruption and Activism

    30:34 Social Media Pushback

    34:54 Part Two and Wrap Up

    35:22 Energy Policy and Geoengineering

    39:18 Final Thanks and Goodbye


    https://x.com/anika_climate

    The 16th International Conference on Climate Change: https://climateconference.heartland.org/

    Anika on being bombarded with global warming propaganda: https://x.com/anika_climate/status/2037550091544785239

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    40 mins