Episodes

  • Eric Huxter: “Metrology vs Meteorology” #430
    Sep 22 2026

    Eric Huxter, a former geography teacher, presents research on UK Met Office maximum temperature records, arguing that the shift from liquid-in-glass thermometers to platinum resistance thermometers (1990–2017) plus station siting and ventilation issues (Aitken effect) produces transient “spikes” that inflate maxima and accelerate apparent warming. Using WeatherObs, Met Office extremes, and purchased 1‑minute Rothamsted data, he finds many maxima occur before the hourly value, with mean rise-to-peak spikes ~1.29°C and many low-probability jumps; some on-the-hour maxima don’t match hourly data. He notes records are concentrated in few stations, often airports or poorer CIMO classes, and critiques record events (Coningsby 2022, Lingwood 2025).


    00:00 Meet Eric Huxter

    02:13 Forecasts Versus Reality

    05:55 UK Stations And Siting

    08:22 CIMO Ratings And Bias

    17:12 PRT Shift And Aitken Effect

    22:10 Rothamsted Baseline Method

    27:17 Spikes In Daily Maxima

    38:00 On The Hour Mystery

    39:56 Step Change Since 1990

    43:13 Microclimate Case Studies

    48:24 Record Events Under Scrutiny

    58:42 Met Office Narrative Critique

    01:06:27 Wrap Up And Where To Follow


    https://x.com/EricHuxter

    https://frayedendsblog.wordpress.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 hr and 12 mins
  • Ed Berry: “Nature Controls the CO2 Level” #429
    Sep 18 2026

    Ed Berry presents a step-by-step, nontechnical overview of his theoretical climate physics work, arguing that “consensus” and authority claims are not science and that climate policy relies on three assumptions, focusing on A1: humans caused all the CO2 rise. He says A1 depends on a false sub-assumption that human CO2 stays longer than natural CO2, proposing a “climate equivalence principle” that identical molecules behave the same. Using IPCC carbon-cycle data and a linear systems model, he derives an atmospheric e-time of ~3.5 years and estimates human CO2 contributes only a few percent, supported by delta-14C and temperature-leading-CO2 studies. He also discusses climate lawsuits (including Held v. Montana), political influence, and criticism of DOE/CO2 Coalition positions.


    00:00 Meet Ed Berry

    00:53 From Clouds to Climate

    01:49 Why Consensus Fails

    03:11 Scientific Method Basics

    05:16 Three Climate Assumptions

    06:55 Debunking CO2 Lifetime Claim

    08:35 Climate Equivalence Principle

    09:21 IPCC Carbon Cycle Data

    12:48 Flows and Human Share

    14:11 Building a Carbon Model

    16:26 E-Time and Linearity

    19:40 Deriving Balance Levels

    21:30 Finding IPCC E-Times

    25:02 Human vs Natural CO2 Split

    27:21 What 420 ppm Implies

    27:58 Systems Model Math

    29:29 Partitioning Human CO2

    31:37 IPCC Cycle Contradiction

    34:24 Courtney Endorsement

    35:45 Delta 14C Evidence

    39:33 Interpreting Bomb Curve

    42:09 Temperature Leads CO2

    44:21 Proofs Summary

    48:29 Montana Lawsuit Setup

    50:51 WEF Influence Claims

    52:11 DOE Report Problem

    53:19 Koonin And CO2C Critique

    56:48 Group Positions Wrap

    57:48 Q&A And Closing


    https://edberry.com/

    =========

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    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    59 mins
  • Will Wilkinson on his Will Happer biography: “Standing Up for Science” #428
    Sep 11 2026

    Will Wilkinson discusses a biography he was hired to write about Princeton physicist William Happer, combining four chapters of life story with a climate-focused second half arguing science has been politicized. He describes Happer’s decades-long career, including inventing the sodium laser guide star for missile defense and work adapted for medical lung imaging, plus Happer’s “trust and verify” approach and skepticism of models over measurements. They cover Happer’s CO2 Coalition role, controversy at Princeton, colleagues’ contributions (e.g., Lindzen, Koonin, Ridd), and comparisons to Lysenkoism and past scientific dissent. The author stresses curiosity, civil communication, and avoiding fear-driven climate hysteria.


    00:00 Meet Will Wilkinson

    00:27 Writing Happer Biography

    01:45 Happer Science Legacy

    02:42 Climate Views Adaptation

    03:29 Laser Guide Star Explained

    05:12 Trust and Verify Mindset

    06:04 Princeton Controversy

    07:14 Famous Colleagues Stories

    09:18 Childhood and Formation

    10:58 Standing Up for Science

    13:28 Lysenkoism and Dogma

    16:38 Outsiders and Discovery

    21:15 Curiosity and Measuring

    23:25 CO2 Politics and Money

    24:45 Book Release and Coalition

    25:43 Rogan Episode and Outreach

    27:07 Documentary and Prior Bio

    28:33 Reluctant Scientist Profile

    30:10 Working Life at Princeton

    31:05 Red Team Blue Team Fallout

    32:01 Middle Ground Climate Debate

    34:46 Colleagues and Reef Controversy

    37:29 Skepticism After COVID

    41:38 Single Source of Truth Quotes

    44:24 Kindness Over Division

    48:41 Hope Against Climate Hysteria

    50:23 Meaningful Memoirs and AI

    54:04 Wrap Up and Thanks


    Will Wilkinson’s web site: https://www.meaningfulmemoirs.com/

    =========

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    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    55 mins
  • Jonathan Cohler: “ Fossil fuel combustion drove essentially none of the atmospheric CO2 growth” #427
    Sep 8 2026

    Jonathan Cohler presents a newly submitted paper using mass conservation, isotopic signatures (delta 13C), and multiple datasets to apply the Keeling relation and infer a consistent intercept near -13.2‰ across sites and time spans. He argues this makes fossil fuels (signature ~-28‰) at most 26% of net atmospheric CO2 change and, using preindustrial constraints, essentially ~0–1.3%, contradicting claims by IPCC, NASA, NOAA, EPA, and the CO2 Coalition. He says CO2 residence time is ~3.8 years and attributes rising CO2 to natural temperature-driven ocean/soil outgassing. He criticizes the CO2 Coalition for conflating accounting identities with causation, describes harassment, and says he resigned.


    00:00 New Paper Claim

    01:29 Three Inputs Setup

    03:25 Isotope Signatures 101

    06:05 Keeling Relation Explained

    10:17 Datasets And Intercepts

    13:38 Solving For Fossil Fraction

    22:22 Why Fossil Dominance Fails

    25:16 Rejecting The Conclusion

    28:04 Carbon Cycle Turnover

    31:45 What Drives CO2 Rise

    33:56 Ancient CO2 And Whataboutism

    36:53 CO2 Coalition Errors Teaser

    37:38 Accounting vs Causation

    39:23 Feynman on Conservation

    40:37 What Proves Causality

    41:37 Atmospheric Balance Equation

    42:53 Coalition Paper Misreads

    46:25 Molecules Not Labeled

    48:08 Residuals Aren't Attribution

    49:56 Isotopes Discriminate Sources

    51:27 Airborne Fraction Fallacy

    53:41 Retention and Cycle Time

    56:02 Harassment and Resignation

    01:03:18 CO2 Forcing and Policy Costs

    01:08:51 X Feedback and Contact

    01:13:38 Wrap Up and Links


    https://x.com/cohler

    https://papers.jcohler.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 hr and 14 mins
  • James Tooley: “ You don't need government for education” #426
    Sep 4 2026

    James Tooley describes two decades researching “low-cost private schools” serving poor families in India, Africa, rural China, and war-torn countries, arguing parents choose them because government/public schools often abandon children. He cites widespread enrollment (e.g., majorities in parts of Lagos and Kampala), higher standardized test performance, no gender bias, affordability around 10% of family spending, and sustainability as small businesses. He now finds a similar U.S. phenomenon in hybrid/micro schools, visiting examples in Pine Ridge (Onward Learning), rural Mississippi, refugee-serving Clarkston, and rural Oregon, and surveying 5,390 parents: about 4% use low-tuition private schools. He discusses limited, careful roles for philanthropy, and worries about dependence on government ESAs.


    00:00 Meet James Tooley

    01:03 Hyderabad Discovery

    03:25 Government School Reality

    05:37 Makoko Lagos Expedition

    07:49 Kibera Ghana China Proof

    11:49 Beautiful Tree Thesis

    13:04 War Torn Africa Schools

    15:48 Five Key Features

    21:06 Federations And Pushback

    22:02 Low Cost Schools In America

    25:53 Pine Ridge Onward Learning

    29:46 Mississippi Trailer School

    33:19 Refugees And Oregon Example

    36:08 National Survey Findings

    41:45 Philanthropy And Donations

    43:26 Quality Assurance Debate

    46:33 School Choice ESA Concerns

    49:57 Where To Follow James

    50:46 Final Reflections


    The Beautiful Tree: https://a.co/d/032zFHgW

    Really Good Schools: Global Lessons for High-Caliber, Low-Cost Education: https://a.co/d/01VMoY3r

    https://x.com/james_tooley

    https://uk.linkedin.com/in/james-tooley-320a8410

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    52 mins
  • Tom Harris: “Pushing back against climate hysteria in Canada” #425
    Sep 1 2026

    Tom Harris argues Canada’s claim of warming twice the global average is unreliable because northern data coverage is sparse and “homogenized” station adjustments may exaggerate trends. He questions the meaning of average temperature and says Canada’s record shows a step change around 1998, consistent with El Niño and possibly the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, not steady greenhouse-gas forcing. He cites extreme-weather records peaking in the 1930s and references Heartland’s Climate Change Reconsidered and Roger Pielke’s datasets as showing little detected change in many extremes. Harris then describes organizing local activists, using Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals, rehearsing questions, and bypassing media censorship to challenge municipal climate policies.


    00:00 Meet Tom Harris

    00:19 Canada Warming Claims

    00:41 Is Warming Bad

    03:21 So Called Averages

    05:13 Overlapping Ranges

    08:06 Why Start 1948

    11:08 Heat Records Evidence

    11:54 Sparse Arctic Stations

    14:39 Homogenized Adjustments

    17:00 Step Change Not CO2

    18:57 Hickey Speaks Out

    21:59 Natural Cycles Theory

    22:59 PR Versus Evidence

    24:22 Extreme Weather Database

    25:56 Heartland Reports

    28:32 Warmer Means Milder

    31:07 Pielke Teaser

    31:19 Global Extremes Database

    31:51 P Factor Explained

    32:30 Translator Not Climatologist

    33:33 Drilling Into Continents

    34:48 Wildfire History Context

    37:23 Heatwave Data Concerns

    38:31 Local Activism Playbook

    40:06 Alinsky Rules In Action

    42:49 Debate Questions And Ridicule

    47:16 Training Volunteers Nationwide

    51:59 Beating Media Censorship

    53:55 Groups Funding And Contact

    56:17 Practice Sessions And Wins

    57:43 Wrap Up Resources


     icsc-canada.com

     sensiblechange.ca

    https://x.com/TomHarrisICSC

    https://drtomharris.substack.com/

    =========

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    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    58 mins
  • Dai Ato: “ Spurious Correlation Between Atmospheric CO2 Increase and Human Emissions” #424
    Aug 28 2026

    Dai Ato presents findings from three papers arguing atmospheric CO2 rise is largely natural, claiming multivariate analyses reject human emissions as a significant predictor of annual CO2 increases while sea surface temperature (SST) is significant. He says detrended annual-change comparisons show emissions vs CO2 change has near-zero correlation, while SST retains moderate correlation, consistent with CO2 solubility in water. He also claims ice-core CO2 reconstructions are incorrect and that temperature leads specific humidity, rejecting CO2–water vapor positive feedback; absorbed shortwave and total solar irradiance correlate with SST while CO2 is negligible or negative. In Q&A, he expects the Keeling Curve to keep rising, COVID emission drops to have little effect, and rejects a stable 280 ppm preindustrial CO2.


    00:00 Intro And Agenda

    00:39 Three Paper Overview

    04:01 CO2 Rise Not Human

    07:05 Detrending Spurious Links

    10:33 Water Vapor Feedback Tested

    13:19 Solar And Albedo Drivers

    17:12 Past Evidence SST Leads

    21:50 Global Temperature Averaging

    23:58 Key Takeaways And DOE

    26:04 Why I Wrote These Papers

    33:06 Ice Core Reconstruction Issues

    34:17 Closing Thoughts And Q&A


    https://x.com/info45037254

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    40 mins
  • Ron Clutz Part 2: “Highlights from 3400 Climate Blog Posts” #423
    Aug 25 2026

    Ron Clutz continues a three-part framework on climate change: humans cause warming, warming is dangerous, and government can stop it. He argues observed warming can be explained by post–Little Ice Age recovery plus multidecadal oscillations and solar-orbital effects, and says “alarmists” deny these. He describes a taxpayer-funded “climate scare machine” and cites a Climate Change Business Journal estimate of a $3.4T/year global climate industry. Using Joseph D’Aleo’s materials, he disputes claims about heatwaves, storms, droughts, wildfires, ice loss, ocean acidification, health, and food, then focuses on Arctic sea ice cycles and sea-level model projections versus tide gauges. He stresses climate is local (Köppen zones) and says climate policies are wasteful, ineffective, and harmful, citing project failures, costs, and energy poverty.


    00:00 Framework Recap

    01:07 Natural Warming Factors

    03:56 Climate Scare Machine

    07:59 Eleven Empty Claims

    13:56 Polar Bears and Sea Ice

    20:00 Sea Level Scare Tactics

    28:27 Climates Are Local

    35:13 Warming Impacts Summary

    35:59 Can Governments Stop It

    37:56 Energy Transition Reality

    40:19 Why Hydrocarbons Rule

    42:06 Energy Mix Big Picture

    43:47 Trillions Visualized

    45:22 Waste One Missing Funds

    45:59 Waste Two Project Failures

    48:35 Waste Three Blade Graveyards

    49:13 Waste Four Operational Collapse

    50:18 Hydrogen And Biofuels

    51:32 Fear Sells Climate Policy

    53:06 Policy Weapons And Results

    55:51 Energy Poverty And Jobs

    59:09 Rare Metals And Land Use

    01:01:40 Better Priorities Consensus

    01:02:29 Absurd Costly Pointless

    01:03:59 Cartoons And Media Satire

    01:09:33 Arctic Update And Data

    01:13:28 Wrap Up Links And Wildfires


    https://rclutz.com/

    =========

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    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 hr and 19 mins