Episodes

  • Willie Soon and Jonathan Cohler on natural atmospheric CO2 rise #417
    Jul 31 2026

    Willie Soon and Jonathan Cohler argue the rise in atmospheric CO2 is mostly natural, challenging claims it is 100% manmade from hydrocarbon burning. They cite analyses using bomb-produced carbon-14 showing a single-exponential decay and a short CO2 atmospheric residence time (~3.8 years), contrasting with IPCC claims of thousands of years and criticizing undefined terms like “adjustment time.” They say their work falsifies the Suess effect and that delta-13C of atmospheric change stays near -13‰ from 1978–2022 and in proxies over 500 years, inconsistent with a dominant fossil-fuel signature (~-28‰). They discuss ocean/land cycling, solar/energy imbalance hypotheses, and skepticism of ice-core CO2 constancy claims.


    00:00 Big CO2 Claim Questioned

    01:30 Decades of Doubt

    02:16 Researchers Who Challenged It

    04:13 Natural Rise Hypothesis

    05:14 Suess Effect Origins

    07:35 Bomb Pulse Carbon-14

    12:39 Short Residence Time

    14:22 Word Games vs Definitions

    16:44 3.8 Years Explained

    21:21 Bridge Equation Breakthrough

    25:34 Peer Pushback and Talks

    29:43 Physical Tether Theorem

    34:01 Koutsoyiannis Delta13C Test

    42:46 Why Delta13C Still Drops

    44:23 Lineage and Credit

    45:43 Cycle Time vs IPCC

    49:14 Debunking Net Sink

    51:06 Biosphere Expansion Idea

    51:48 Satellite Imbalance Fraud

    56:17 Outgassing Explains CO2 Rise

    01:01:40 Proxy Limits and Ice Cores

    01:09:26 Future CO2 and Benefits

    01:13:18 C14 Tracers and Dating

    01:15:02 Suez Effect Model Critique

    01:21:15 Wrapping Up and Links


    Jonathan Cohler – “The IPCC Circle of Lies: Five Papers Falsify the Entire Framework”

    https://x.com/cohler/status/2081407310493081791


    Willie Soon – “From Demon to Dinner: The Scientific Case for CO₂ and Fossil Fuels”

    https://x.com/cohler/status/2081408758308077952


    Slides:

    Jonathan Cohler: https://x.com/cohler/status/2081410426147938599

    Willie Soon: https://x.com/cohler/status/2081410908392133048


    CERES-Science: https://www.ceres-science.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 hr and 22 mins
  • Steve Milloy #416
    Jul 28 2026

    Steve Milloy reviews Trump’s fossil-fuel agenda, EPA rollback of the 2009 endangerment finding, and concerns that litigation delays and Justice Department staffing could let a future Democratic administration reverse course. The speaker attacks the National Academy of Sciences as climate activists, cites a climate chapter in a judges’ science manual, notes Elena Kagan said she didn’t read it, and urges cutting NAS funding. They praise Matt Wielicki’s appointment to lead the U.S. Global Change Research Program. They argue wildfire-smoke PM2.5 health scares lacked NYC hospital spikes, criticize linear no-threshold regulation (radiation, PFAS), and discuss Yucca Mountain standards. They describe shareholder activism against corporate ESG (Netflix, Exxon), criticize carbon capture subsidies, and praise young “climate realist” advocates.


    00:00 Trump EPA Rollbacks

    01:37 NAS Versus Trump

    04:16 Defunding NAS Push

    06:30 Kagan Foreword Controversy

    08:24 Climate Realist Appointment

    09:43 Democrats And Green Money

    11:59 Big Tech Climate Censorship

    13:21 X Algorithms And Reach

    16:10 Viral Tweet No Warming

    18:20 Wildfire Smoke Reality Check

    22:30 EPA PM2.5 Experiments

    26:12 LNT Model And Hormesis

    30:18 Yucca Mountain Absurdity

    32:37 PFAS And Low Dose Effects

    33:37 Forever Chemicals Are Inert

    34:41 Dose Makes the Poison

    36:34 Parts Per Trillion Panic

    37:31 Why Fear Spreads

    38:06 Conservative Shareholder Activism

    41:07 Exxon and ESG Battles

    42:23 Carbon Capture Reality Check

    43:53 Subsidies and Nanny Government

    45:31 Next Gen Climate Realists

    47:43 Awards and Staying the Course

    50:31 NASA Names and Media Retreat

    56:01 Debate Challenge and Wrap Up


    Steve on X: https://x.com/JunkScience

    Web: https://junkscience.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    59 mins
  • Marc Glendening #415
    Jul 24 2026

    Mark Glendening argues free speech in Britain and the West is under increasing internal attack, citing “non-crime hate incidents,” broad Public Order Act powers, online and even private-message prosecutions, and proposals to criminalize non-affirmation of transgender identity under “conversion therapy” laws. He says enforcement is often aimed at the right and anti-transgender feminists, though he notes prosecutions of some left-wing Palestine Action supporters. Glendening traces today’s speech controls to cultural strategies developed after Marxism waned, highlighting Gramsci, the Frankfurt School (especially Marcuse), and French postmodernists. He urges electoral pressure campaigns, praises Elon Musk and X, and warns that debanking, digital ID, and Soros-backed regulation threaten liberties.


    00:00 Meet Mark Glendening

    01:07 Britain’s Free Speech Legacy

    02:04 Non Crime Hate Incidents

    04:23 Policing Private Speech

    06:52 Who Gets Targeted

    09:29 Conversion Therapy Crackdown

    16:09 Why the New Left Censors

    21:21 Three Intellectual Roots

    28:37 The Sixties Cultural Turn

    36:12 Words Liberal vs Progressive

    43:31 Digital ID and Debanking

    44:46 Fighting Back Politically

    48:04 Elon Musk and X

    50:07 US Elections and Internet Speech

    52:20 Final Thoughts on Liberty


    https://iea.org.uk/tag/marc-glendening/

    https://iea.org.uk/publications/transgender-ideology-a-new-threat-to-liberal-values/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    55 mins
  • Ron Clutz Part 1: “Highlights from 3400 Climate Blog Posts” #414
    Jul 21 2026

    Ron Clutz summarizes themes from his “Science Matters” blog, framing climate change as three linked claims: humans warm the Earth, the warming is dangerous, and government can stop it. He argues climate sensitivity estimates are declining and models overpredict warming, citing comparisons of model outputs to observations, weak long-term temperature correlation with fossil fuel use, and claims that storms, wildfires, sea level rise, Arctic ice, and drought trends are not worsening as asserted. He criticizes “reductionism” to CO2 and radiative forcing, emphasizing water vapor, convection, and hydrology, plus solar/cloud and ocean-cycle influences (ENSO/PDO/AMO). He also questions adjusted temperature records and UN policy effectiveness.


    00:00 Meet Ron Clutz

    01:13 Climate Change Three Claims

    05:18 Is Warming Dangerous

    10:17 Can Government Stop It

    12:23 Reductionism In Climate Science

    17:32 Greenhouse Physics And Water Vapor

    23:10 CO2 Sources And Temperature Lag

    25:26 Complexity And Data Adjustments

    33:29 Extreme Events And Attribution

    35:53 Model Failures And Scenarios

    42:10 Testing Greenhouse Theory

    51:02 Sunshine Clouds And Solar Cycles

    55:19 Oceans Drive Climate Cycles

    01:02:24 Hydrology And Closing Thoughts

    01:04:17 Wrap Up And Next Session


    https://rclutz.com/

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 hr and 5 mins
  • David Smith: “Wokicide: A Quality-Control System to Reclaim Education” #413
    Jul 17 2026

    David Smith explains his book “Wokicide,” arguing that “woke” (critical social justice theory rooted in critical theory and postmodernism) persists in universities and schools because education lacks quality control, not because of politics. He proposes applying ISO 9001 and HACCP-style quality assurance to K–12 and universities: validated curriculum specifications, independent expert panels, hazard analysis, audits (scheduled and targeted), corrective action, and continuous improvement. A central Workplace Improvement Notice (WIN) system would let staff and even parents file tracked complaints with guaranteed responses, replacing DEI/unconscious-bias training with “deprogramming” modules and prioritizing evidence and accountability. Smith says QA would stop unvalidated ideological drift and is affordable by redirecting existing DEI-related spending.


    00:00 Intro and Two-Part Talk

    00:58 Why Woke Persists

    01:30 Education Lacks QA

    02:10 Validation Over Ideology

    04:53 Defining Woke Origins

    06:35 From Civil Rights to Overreach

    07:43 Flawed Woke Reasoning

    10:02 How Woke Spreads

    11:16 Equity Outcomes and Activism

    13:33 Deconstruction Playbook

    17:50 Woke Hall of Fame

    21:39 Perfect Storm in Education

    25:42 QA Solution Framework

    27:41 ISO 9001 and HACCP

    29:42 Authority and Adoption

    30:55 Four Phases Implementation

    33:35 Validation and Hazard Analysis

    34:47 Audits Monitoring Corrective Action

    37:09 Aggressive Feedback Loops

    39:05 WIN Notice Explained

    41:41 Curriculum Content Validation

    43:12 Audits in K-12 Schools

    44:53 K-12 QA Wrap Up

    45:47 Universities as the Source

    47:29 University Validation Hurdles

    50:30 University Auditing Red Flags

    51:58 Objections and Pushback

    57:12 Failure Modes and Fixes

    59:39 Cost and Staffing Reality

    01:02:08 Closing Q&A and Next Steps


    Amazon Kindle version: Wokicide: Pest Control for Education: https://a.co/d/0d0YeApM

    ========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 hr and 9 mins
  • Gianluca Alimonti: “Three “climate matrix” papers” #412
    Jul 14 2026

    Gianluca Alimonti discusses three “climate matrix” papers: a 2022 review of extreme weather time series and response indicators that found no clear worsening trends (later retracted, which he argues lacked specific scientific grounds and reflected political pressure); a 2023 analysis of EM-DAT natural-disaster records concluding the post-1970 rise is largely improved reporting, with trends stable since about 2000 and disaster deaths decreasing; and a recent framework proposing 43 IPCC-aligned impact-driver and response indicators to assess “climate crisis,” finding most show no worsening, many improve, and few worsen. He criticizes media/official claims of rapidly rising disasters and emphasizes adaptation and prevention.


    00:00 Meet Gianluca Alimonti

    00:02 Climate Matrix Trilogy Overview

    01:31 Paper One Extreme Events

    03:11 Hurricanes Rain Tornado Data

    05:31 Retraction Controversy

    09:50 Paper Two Disaster Claims

    12:36 EM-DAT Reporting Bias

    17:27 Stable Trends Since 2000

    21:42 Paper Three Defining Crisis

    23:12 Media Term And Search Trends

    27:05 Building A Crisis Framework

    28:20 Drivers Floods Cyclones Fires

    31:53 Response Indicators Scorecard

    35:59 Adaptation Beats Mitigation

    37:49 Conclusions Media Distortion

    39:38 Q&A Retraction And Outreach

    41:40 Where To Find Work

    44:05 Closing Thanks And Farewell


    Home page: https://www0.mi.infn.it/~alimonti/homepage/indexEn.htm

    Pielke Jr on “The Alimonti Addendum”: https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-alimonti-addendum

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    44 mins
  • Nicola Scafetta: “The Frontier of Climate Science” | Tom Nelson Pod #411
    Jul 10 2026

    Nicola Scafetta discusses his book, "The Frontier of Climate Science," a review based on about 650 peer‑reviewed papers arguing that IPCC global climate models have serious limitations because they fail to capture multi‑scale natural variability (oceanic, solar, astronomical, and tidal cycles). He says model claims that nearly all warming since 1850 is anthropogenic are not experimentally validated, climate sensitivity remains highly uncertain, and many models run too hot, with possible surface-record warm bias from urban heat islands. He cites past warm periods and correlations between climate and solar/cosmic-ray proxies, proposes empirical/semi‑empirical cycle-based modeling, and concludes warming risk is moderate, SSP2 could meet Paris targets, net zero is unnecessary, and adaptation should be prioritized.


    00:00 Introducing Scafetta’s New Book

    06:03 Earth’s Deep-Time Climate Swings

    11:06 IPCC Attribution to Humans

    14:44 Why Model Proof Falls Short

    17:27 Paris Targets and Net Zero Logic

    24:33 Are IPCC Scenarios Realistic

    29:04 Model Uncertainty and Sensitivity

    34:57 Satellites vs Surface Warming

    38:42 Missing Past Warm Periods

    43:21 Millennial Solar Climate Cycles

    46:00 Forests Beneath Glaciers

    46:59 Solar Records vs Climate

    49:18 TSI Reconstructions Debate

    52:09 Cosmic Rays and Clouds

    56:07 Empirical Models Challenge IPCC

    59:18 Policy Implications and Adaptation

    01:01:12 Planetary Cycles Climate Theory

    01:05:37 Matching Climate Spectral Cycles

    01:12:51 Future Hiatus and Sensitivity

    01:19:43 Next Glaciation Long View

    01:24:01 Book Wrap Up and Thanks


    The Frontier of Climate Science: Solar variability, natural cycles and model uncertainty: https://a.co/d/0flzOYJ3

    =========

    Brochure for Nicola’s “The Frontier of Climate Science” book, along with slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 hr and 27 mins
  • Anika Sweetland: “IPCC EXPOSED!!! Response to a global problem? Or formation of 1 world gov’t?” #410
    Jul 7 2026

    Anika Sweetland argues the IPCC was created through politics, funding, and elite influence, tracing its origins to the 1985 Villach Conference and alleging it advances centralized global governance. She says media-driven fear shifted from 1970s “ice age” stories to 1988 “global warming,” citing sea-level warnings that did not occur. Sweetland claims climate finance and clean-energy investment incentives benefit IPCC-linked officials. She highlights Climategate emails as evidence of strategic data presentation (“hide the decline”), message management, and peer-review gatekeeping (“PAL review”), plus an alleged journal blacklist. She says her climate studies education omitted Climategate, emphasized policy “solutions,” and discouraged debate.


    00:00 IPCC Exposed Intro

    01:01 Ice Age Media Panic

    02:06 Fear as Control Tool

    03:36 Global Warming Rebrand

    05:23 Sea Level Scare Claims

    07:28 Villach Birth of IPCC

    09:31 Global Governance Agenda

    10:31 Trillions and Incentives

    12:20 Climategate Data Tricks

    18:57 Peer Review Gatekeeping

    21:44 Blacklists and Ideology

    23:31 Personal Wake Up Call

    25:16 Who Controls Science

    26:34 What We Can Do Next

    27:23 Host Reacts and Questions

    27:36 Climategate Not Taught

    30:10 Policy Impacts UK Europe

    33:15 Witch Hunts Parallel

    37:22 Climate Degree Brainwashing

    40:42 Only Graduate Story

    43:15 Today’s Model Driven Teaching

    45:19 Books and IPCC Origins

    46:17 Closing Thanks and Wrap


    https://x.com/anika_climate

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    47 mins