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Risk Savvy
- How to Make Good Decisions
- Narrado por: Al Kessel
- Duración: 10 h
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Grandes primeros Títulos
![How to Stay Smart in a Smart World Audiolibro Por Gerd Gigerenzer arte de portada](https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/41JPM04tmbL._SL240_.jpg)
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![The Data Detective Audiolibro Por Tim Harford arte de portada](https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/41fhMUiw7OL._SL240_.jpg)
![Factfulness Audiolibro Por Hans Rosling, Anna Rosling Rönnlund, Ola Rosling arte de portada](https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/512BM5zsdiL._SL240_.jpg)
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Resumen del Editor
An eye-opening look at the ways we misjudge risk every day and a guide to making better decisions with our money, health, and personal lives
In the age of Big Data we often believe that our predictions about the future are better than ever before. But as risk expert Gerd Gigerenzer shows, the surprising truth is that in the real world, we often get better results by using simple rules and considering less information.
In Risk Savvy, Gigerenzer reveals that most of us, including doctors, lawyers, financial advisers, and elected officials, misunderstand statistics much more often than we think, leaving us not only misinformed, but vulnerable to exploitation. Yet there is hope. Anyone can learn to make better decisions for their health, finances, family, and business without needing to consult an expert or a super computer, and Gigerenzer shows us how.
Risk Savvy is an insightful and easy-to-understand remedy to our collective information overload and an essential guide to making smart, confident decisions in the face of uncertainty.
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Historia
This book will help you think more analytically. Doing so will enable you to better understand the world around you, to make smarter decisions, and to ultimately live a more fulfilling life. It draws on the maxims of Richard Zeckhauser, a legendary Harvard professor, who has helped hundreds of students and colleagues progress toward these goals.
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Underrated
- De kimbra en 05-19-24
De: Dan Levy, y otros
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How to Stay Smart in a Smart World
- Why Human Intelligence Still Beats Algorithms
- De: Gerd Gigerenzer
- Narrado por: Joel Richards
- Duración: 10 h y 9 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
Doomsday prophets of technology predict that robots will take over the world, leaving humans behind in the dust. Tech industry boosters think replacing people with software might make the world a better place—while tech industry critics warn darkly about surveillance capitalism. Despite their differing views of the future, they all agree: machines will soon do everything better than humans. How to Stay Smart in a Smart World shows why that's not true, and tells us how we can stay in charge in a world populated by algorithms.
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I Paid for This Nonsense
- De Kindle Customer en 12-11-23
De: Gerd Gigerenzer
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Gut Feelings
- The Intelligence of the Unconscious
- De: Gerd Gigerenzer
- Narrado por: Dick Hill
- Duración: 7 h y 29 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
Gerd Gigerenzer is one of the researchers of behavioral intuition responsible for the science behind Malcolm Gladwell's bestseller Blink. Gladwell showed us how snap decisions often yield better results than careful analysis. Now, Gigerenzer explains why our intuition is such a powerful decision-making tool.
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My Gut Says You Should Read This Book
- De Joshua Kim en 06-10-12
De: Gerd Gigerenzer
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Risk Management, Fifth Edition
- Concepts and Guidance
- De: Carl L. Pritchard PMP PMI-RMP EVP
- Narrado por: Adam Lofbomm
- Duración: 9 h y 51 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
Emphasizing greater clarity on risk practice, this new edition maintains a focus on the ability to apply "planned clairvoyance" to peer into the future. The book begins by analyzing the various systems that can be used to apply risk management. It provides a fundamental introduction to the basics associated with particular techniques, clarifying the essential concepts of risk and how they apply in projects. The second part of the book presents the specific techniques necessary to successfully implement the systems described in Part I.
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Just few toughts
- De Aigars en 05-29-19
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Shattered Sword
- The Untold Story of the Battle of Midway
- De: Jonathan Parshall, Anthony Tully
- Narrado por: Tom Perkins
- Duración: 24 h y 44 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
Many consider the Battle of Midway to have turned the tide of the Pacific War. It is without question one of the most famous battles in history. Now, for the first time since Gordon W. Prange's best-selling Miracle at Midway, Jonathan Parshall and Anthony Tully offer a new interpretation of this great naval engagement. Shattered Sword makes extensive use of Japanese primary sources. It also corrects the many errors of Mitsuo Fuchida's Midway: The Battle That Doomed Japan It thus forces a major, potentially controversial reevaluation of the great battle.
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Shattered Myths - These authors got it right?
- De Ol'BlueEyes en 05-13-19
De: Jonathan Parshall, y otros
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Power and Prediction
- The Disruptive Economics of Artificial Intelligence
- De: Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, Avi Goldfarb
- Narrado por: Tom Beyer
- Duración: 10 h y 7 m
- Versión completa
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In their bestselling first book, Prediction Machines, eminent economists Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb explained the simple yet game-changing economics of AI. Now, in Power and Prediction, they go deeper, examining the most basic unit of analysis: the decision. The authors explain that the two key decision-making ingredients are prediction and judgment, and we perform both together in our minds, often without realizing it.
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Inspire system thinking with informative examples
- De Lucy A. Pithecus en 11-16-22
De: Ajay Agrawal, y otros
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Maxims for Thinking Analytically
- The Wisdom of Legendary Harvard Professor Richard Zeckhauser
- De: Dan Levy, Larry Summers - foreword
- Narrado por: Barry Abrams
- Duración: 4 h y 25 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
This book will help you think more analytically. Doing so will enable you to better understand the world around you, to make smarter decisions, and to ultimately live a more fulfilling life. It draws on the maxims of Richard Zeckhauser, a legendary Harvard professor, who has helped hundreds of students and colleagues progress toward these goals.
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Underrated
- De kimbra en 05-19-24
De: Dan Levy, y otros
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre Risk Savvy
Calificaciones medias de los clientesReseñas - Selecciona las pestañas a continuación para cambiar el origen de las reseñas.
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- Jon Pederson
- 04-18-22
A good guide on how to think
Well read.
Some good examples of biases, and some tricks in reporting, that show how little we sometimes understand, and how many parties like it that way.
The best parts of the book teach you how to think about risk.
My least favorite part was related to lifestyle risk, where the author strayed into telling us what to think, about eating and exercising. It's probably good advice, but it's not consistent with the rest of the book.
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- Shah
- 09-30-23
Good book
Some really great points about risk assessment and awareness. A very rational and critical look at these topics. I would recommend it to those who are interested
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- Gang Fang
- 06-17-20
A long-overdue read
I first heard of Prof Gigerenzer after reading Daniel Kahneman’s Thinking Fast and Slow, which, BTW, changes my way of seeing the world. I was a faithful servant to the “system two thinking” but unfortunately and inevitably, I soon came to the realization that I am fooling myself when I tried to come up with all factors and their weights and values in order to make a decision. In Mr. Gigerenzer’s word:
“In an uncertain world (the real world), simple heuristics trump complex computations for decision making.”
This is a long-overdue read for me because I have been contemplating on the topics of decision-making, behavioral psychology, complexity and design for years now. How to exactly understand the relationship between the forever increasing complexity of the world and the need for simple solutions? Is this a contradiction? Risk savvy gives a satisfactory answer: draw the line between whisk and uncertainty, and then use statistical thinking and rule of thumb correspondingly. Heuristics, which, at the first glance, appears to be oversimplified and less accurate than mathematical models, deliver a good enough result in a much speedy and cost-efficient way. These heuristics, or intuitions, are what experts work so hard to attain and help them win models in sports, mates and contracts. Of course, Kahneman’s warning is still valid here: many of these heuristics are inherited either genetically or culturally and often exploited; hence we need to be able to tell which are useful when.
Some other aspects of the book which I find interesting are the descriptions on the healthcare system and the financial industry. I am surprised by the three factors that those agents are very often act against our best interest: risk illiteracy, defensive medicine and conflict of interests.
Finally even through a fair amount of content in the book I already know, I still find it an interesting and beneficial read because it looks at matters from the perspective of risk and feels very grounded as it provides tips and understanding needed to deal with everyday matters.
I would recommend this book.
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- Liked it
- 03-17-22
An important book in the efforts of risk literacy.
I was both surprised and delighted by this book. It is rare to see any anti-paternalism in today's risk literature.
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- Ziggy
- 11-26-22
Fantastic Examples
Content on statistics is great. Amazing examples though, very clear, easy to remember and impactful.
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- Bradley Shaw
- 10-02-20
Every one needs to understand
This is a crucial book. If we misunderstand stats if has massive impact. Doctors should spend way more time looking at stats than they do. Listen or read to this book then tell me I am wrong.
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- DEAN
- 08-24-20
Incredibly appropriate in today’s world
Basically, humans are terrible at assessing risk. The findings are shocking, and my goodness could we save money, lives, and time if only we could execute on half of what this book discusses. Outstanding and should be required reading for High School students.
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- Amazon Customer
- 06-19-20
A book everyone should read
The material in this book is absolutely critical to the economic and personal survival of us all.
Every school should have a mandatory course based around the information in this book.
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- Matt
- 02-24-23
Good and bad
Provides some good and useful information on how to interpret research and associations...but then goes and blows it all by advocating poor methods as well ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ I'd suggest reading "Thinking in Bets" instead
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