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Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
- Incerto, Book 1
- Narrado por: Joe Ochman
- Duración: 8 h y 57 m
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Grandes primeros Títulos
Resumen del Editor
Fooled by Randomness is a stand-alone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.
Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb - veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times best-selling author of The Black Swan - has penned a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.
This book is about luck - or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill - the world of trading - Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Presented in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.
The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.
However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed - the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time - he embodies the “survival of the least fit”. Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.
Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness, we can be a little better prepared.
Includes bonus pdf of tables and figures.
Praise for Fooled by Randomness:
Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time
A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year
PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio.
Reseñas de la Crítica
“[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.” (Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink)
“We need a book like this ...fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded.” (Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance)
“Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins...and Stephen Jay Gould.” (Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World’s Best Companies Simulate to Innovate)
“Powerful...loaded with crackling little insights [and] extreme brilliance.” (National Review)
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Warren Buffett remains one of the most sought-after and watched figures in business today. He has become a billionaire and investment sage by buying chunks of companies and holding onto them, managing them as businesses, and eventually reaping huge profits for himself and investors in Berkshire Hathaway. The first two editions of The Warren Buffett Way gave investors their first in-depth look at the innovative investment and business strategies behind the spectacular success of living legend Warren E. Buffett.
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Suggest getting the print copy.
- De Kevin Martin en 10-25-15
De: Robert Hagstrom
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The Misbehavior of Markets
- A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence
- De: Benoit Mandelbrot, Richard L. Hudson
- Narrado por: Jason Olazabal
- Duración: 10 h y 6 m
- Versión completa
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In his first book for a general audience, Mandelbrot, with co-author Richard L. Hudson, shows how the dominant way of thinking about the behavior of markets-a set of mathematical assumptions a century old and still learned by every MBA and financier in the world-simply does not work. As he did for the physical world in his classic The Fractal Geometry of Nature, Mandelbrot here uses fractal geometry to propose a new, more accurate way of describing market behavior.
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Where are the PDF?
- De RD en 03-30-19
De: Benoit Mandelbrot, y otros
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The Great Mental Models
- General Thinking Concepts
- De: Shane Parrish
- Narrado por: Shane Parrish
- Duración: 3 h y 23 m
- Versión completa
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The Great Mental Models: General Thinking Concepts is the first book in The Great Mental Models series designed to upgrade your thinking with the best, most useful and powerful tools so you always have the right one on hand. This volume details nine of the most versatile all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making, your productivity, and how clearly you see the world.
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A dissapointing debut
- De Peter en 04-14-19
De: Shane Parrish
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The Ape That Understood the Universe
- How the Mind and Culture Evolve
- De: Steve Stewart-Williams
- Narrado por: Tom Lawrence
- Duración: 15 h y 53 m
- Versión completa
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The Ape That Understood the Universe is the story of the strangest animal in the world: the human animal. It opens with a question: How would an alien scientist view our species? What would it make of our sex differences, our sexual behavior, our child-rearing patterns, our moral codes, our religions, our languages, and science? The book tackles these issues by drawing on ideas from two major schools of thought: evolutionary psychology and cultural evolutionary theory.
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The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity
- De: Carlo M. Cipolla, Nassim Nicholas Taleb - foreword
- Narrado por: Paul Boehmer
- Duración: 54 m
- Versión completa
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Throughout history, a powerful force has hindered the growth of human welfare and happiness. It is more powerful than the Mafia or the military. It has global catastrophic effects and can be found anywhere from the world's most powerful boardrooms to your local bar. It is human stupidity. Carlo M. Cipolla, noted professor of economic history at the UC Berkeley, created this vitally important book in order to detect and neutralize its threat.
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What do you have to loose?
- De Andres en 04-06-21
De: Carlo M. Cipolla, y otros
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Dark Pools
- The Rise of the Machine Traders and the Rigging of the U.S. Stock Market
- De: Scott Patterson
- Narrado por: Byron Wagner
- Duración: 11 h y 36 m
- Versión completa
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In the beginning was Josh Levine, an idealistic programming genius who dreamed of wresting control of the market from the big exchanges that, again and again, gave the giant institutions an advantage over the little guy. Levine created a computerized trading hub named "Island" where small traders swapped stocks, and over time his invention morphed into a global electronic stock market that sent trillions in capital through a vast jungle of fiber-optic cables.
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Definitive history on Electronic Trading
- De Gary en 08-17-12
De: Scott Patterson
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A Man for All Markets
- From Las Vegas to Wall Street, How I Beat the Dealer and the Market
- De: Edward O. Thorp, Nassim Nicholas Taleb - foreword
- Narrado por: Edward O. Thorp
- Duración: 16 h y 30 m
- Versión completa
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The incredible true story of the card-counting mathematics professor who taught the world how to beat the dealer and, as the first of the great quantitative investors, ushered in a revolution on Wall Street.
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A life of a genius
- De Oleksiy Volovik en 05-08-17
De: Edward O. Thorp, y otros
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Stumbling on Happiness
- De: Daniel Gilbert
- Narrado por: Daniel Gilbert
- Duración: 7 h y 26 m
- Versión completa
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A smart and funny book by a prominent Harvard psychologist, which uses groundbreaking research and (often hilarious) anecdotes to show us why we’re so lousy at predicting what will make us happy–and what we can do about it. Most of us spend our lives steering ourselves toward the best of all possible futures, only to find that tomorrow rarely turns out as we had expected. Why? As Harvard psychologist Daniel Gilbert explains, when people try to imagine what the future will hold, they make some basic and consistent mistakes.
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Great Book!
- De TL en 06-09-06
De: Daniel Gilbert
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Mastering the Market Cycle
- Getting the Odds on Your Side
- De: Howard Marks
- Narrado por: LJ Ganser, Howard Marks
- Duración: 9 h y 39 m
- Versión completa
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The legendary investor shows how to identify and master the cycles that govern the markets. We all know markets rise and fall, but when should you pull out, and when should you stay in? The answer is never black or white, but is best reached through a keen understanding of the reasons behind the rhythm of cycles. Confidence about where we are in a cycle comes when you learn the patterns of ups and downs that influence not just economics, markets and companies, but also human psychology and the investing behaviors that result.
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Cycles : nothing new!
- De Amazon Customer en 11-01-18
De: Howard Marks
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Thinking in Bets
- Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
- De: Annie Duke
- Narrado por: Annie Duke
- Duración: 6 h y 50 m
- Versión completa
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In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a handing off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted, and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time.
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Wasn't For Me
- De ❤️One.Crazy&Cool.Family❤️ en 09-04-18
De: Annie Duke
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Thinking, Fast and Slow
- De: Daniel Kahneman
- Narrado por: Patrick Egan
- Duración: 20 h y 2 m
- Versión completa
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The guru to the gurus at last shares his knowledge with the rest of us. Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman's seminal studies in behavioral psychology, behavioral economics, and happiness studies have influenced numerous other authors, including Steven Pinker and Malcolm Gladwell. In Thinking, Fast and Slow, Kahneman at last offers his own, first book for the general public. It is a lucid and enlightening summary of his life's work. It will change the way you think about thinking. Two systems drive the way we think and make choices, Kahneman explains....
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Difficult Listen, but Probably a Great Read
- De Mike Kircher en 01-12-12
De: Daniel Kahneman
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Against the Gods
- The Remarkable Story of Risk
- De: Peter L. Bernstein
- Narrado por: Mike Fraser
- Duración: 14 h y 27 m
- Versión completa
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In this unique exploration of the role of risk in our society, Peter Bernstein argues that the notion of bringing risk under control is one of the central ideas that distinguishes modern times from the distant past. Against the Gods chronicles the remarkable intellectual adventure that liberated humanity from oracles and soothsayers by means of the powerful tools of risk management that are available to us today.
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Glad it finally got here
- De bda31175 en 10-16-21
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The Almanack of Naval Ravikant
- A Guide to Wealth and Happiness
- De: Eric Jorgenson, Tim Ferriss
- Narrado por: Vikas Adam
- Duración: 4 h y 53 m
- Versión completa
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Naval Ravikant is an entrepreneur, philosopher, and investor who has captivated the world with his principles for building wealth and creating long-term happiness. The Almanack of Naval Ravikant is a collection of Naval’s wisdom and experience from the last 10 years, shared as a curation of his most insightful interviews and poignant reflections. This isn’t a how-to book, or a step-by-step gimmick. Instead, through Naval’s own words, you will learn how to walk your own unique path toward a happier, wealthier life.
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Narrator sucks
- De Dagarcia718 en 03-25-21
De: Eric Jorgenson, y otros
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The Crash of 2008 and What It Means
- The New Paradigm for Financial Markets
- De: George Soros
- Narrado por: Grover Gardner
- Duración: 6 h y 39 m
- Versión completa
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In the midst of one of the most serious financial upheavals since the Great Depression, George Soros, the legendary financier and philanthropist, has written a significant update to his New York Times best seller, The New Paradigm for Financial Markets. The revised and updated edition, The Crash of 2008 and What It Means, contains four new chapters, in which he looks at the depth and breadth of the credit crash and proposes an updated set of policies to confront the global financial crisis.
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A Different Take on the Crash
- De Roy en 04-12-09
De: George Soros
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
Calificaciones medias de los clientesReseñas - Selecciona las pestañas a continuación para cambiar el origen de las reseñas.
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- John Simon
- 07-14-19
Randomness is a Boon for Bounty
This book should be taught to every high school Sophomore before they enter the rigor of the college testing and application process, as it will allow them to filter out the noise of authority figures and focus on themselves by delving into Taleb’s truly unique worldview.
I look forward to listening to/reading the rest of the series. Truly an exceptional book.
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- WiseGuy
- 04-21-20
Good
I said that it was good what do you want from me!!! And now I...
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- Anne Swart
- 04-23-22
Randomly Chosen Book
I love that my choosing this book was so random.
A lot to digest and doubtless that in months to come I shall have a random conversation that shall result in an aha! moment where the authors thoughts shall be blindingly obvious.
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- T. Kalinowski
- 09-03-22
Must read it again
One of the best books I’ve read. Very practical applicable to every day life for all people also like the edginess of it
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- Rus Paul
- 12-13-20
Fantastic job by Ochman
Joe Ochman captures NTT's style superbly.
The book is quite good also. A more philosophical extension to Thinking Fast And Slow by DK & AT. Would recommend.
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- Ekele Onuh Oscar
- 06-19-19
Not for MBAs and Economist
as I read through, I was humbled by the limit of what I knew, grateful for the privilege and luck I had due to the simple random fact I was born in the family that I come from.
this book makes you skeptic, you will learn to not take your efforts too seriously, your knowledge too important and your circumstance to severe if it were.
if you are an economist, this book would make you feel bad. if you have an MBA, this book would make you feel useless.
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- Spencer
- 06-16-20
The Incerto is a must read
The Incerto is the by far the best book I've read. Antifragile is the best book in the collection, but the other 3 (Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan and Skin in the Game) are all amazing as well and vital listening.
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- Kolby O'Malley
- 06-15-20
Amazing book and will forever change my investment
would highly recommend this book for every investor as it has changed the entire way I view investments and I will never see the world of investing the same again.
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- Wolfram Arnold
- 01-02-22
Deep thoughts but left in generalities
Nassim Taleb avdances thought-provoking theses in this book. However his insights remain at a general level and what's lacking for is how to apply these insights to practical situations. Like how, for example would you use Monte Carlo simulations to proof a portfolio against Black Swan events? A big plus of the book, however I found the book's humanity. While the author is good at dishing out, he also shows his own fallibility. He doesn't take himself too seriously and has a sense of humor which made listening enjoyable.
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- Federico Rubiolo
- 07-30-22
Some Great Highlights
For me, the style of the author was a little off putting at times. It seemed, at times, very high and mighty, and like he was quite significantly discounting large groups of people in petty ways. Of course, each individual's definition of petty varies.
That said, there are some brilliant insights and great ideas in this book that strongly resonated with me. All the discussions of probability based biases that we all experience were very insightful, and immediately examples in my own life of these biases (both from myself and others) would come to mind. Overall, I certainly enjoyed this book, even if at times it felt preachy.
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