Bubble Trouble: Laying Out Inconvenient Truths About How Business and Financial Markets Really Work  By  cover art

Bubble Trouble: Laying Out Inconvenient Truths About How Business and Financial Markets Really Work

By: Magnificent Noise x Richard Kramer x Will Page
  • Summary

  • Bubble Trouble features conversations between economist and author Will Page and independent analyst Richard Kramer that lay out some inconvenient truths about how financial markets really work. Like the “boy who cried wolf,” financial markets have a peculiar tendency to repeat past mistakes and get themselves into “bubble trouble.” They party hard, drink too much of the Kool Aid, and wake up with a pounding hangover...only to do the same thing the next day. With tech dominating daily headlines and teenage traders driving stocks to unprecedented valuations, you might be asking “What’s really going on?” “What am I missing?” Imagine having a set of tour guides to tell you the “story behind the story” of the world’s largest tech companies, and how they bend - or break - the rules of economics.

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    Copyright Magnificent Noise
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Episodes
  • An X -Rated Account of Twitter with Kurt Wagner
    May 6 2024

    Who doesn’t like to talk about Twitter and Tweets? Word of mouth (or tweet) is the secret sauce of its success. But has it ever been successful? And if it hasn’t, how do you gauge the impact of Elon Musk’s shock therapy over the past two years? Journalist Kurt Wagner joins to share his deep dive profile of the tortured history of Twitter.


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)


    This episode of Bubble Trouble features a conversation with Bloomberg journalist Kurt Wagner, author of 'Battle for the Bird,' a book about Twitter's tumultuous history and evolution, particularly under Elon Musk's ownership. The hosts, independent analyst Richard Kramer and economist Will Page, delve into Twitter’s origins, its struggle to monetize effectively compared to giants like Meta, and the significant influence of Jack Dorsey’s leadership style on the platform's direction. They discuss the platform's missed opportunities, such as Vine and Periscope, and how it became a place where 'good ideas go to die.' The discussion also covers Musk's takeover, his attempts to transform Twitter into 'X', and the challenges of balancing free speech with the need for content moderation and advertiser appeal. Wagner shares insights on the potential future of 'X', the impact of Musk's leadership on the platform's advertising and user engagement, and the skepticism surrounding the 'everything app' concept Musk envisions.


    00:00 Introduction

    01:02 Part One

    01:02 Deep Dive with Kurt Wagner: The Story of Twitter

    02:36 The Origins and Evolution of Twitter

    06:20 Twitter's User Base and Business Model Explored

    09:10 The Challenges of Twitter's Business Model

    14:10 Board Dynamics and Google's Influence on Twitter

    18:03 Extravagant Spending and Corporate Culture at Twitter

    21:13 Reflections on Twitter's Stock Performance

    23:47 The Almost Disney-Twitter Deal: A Glimpse into Corporate Negotiations

    24:29 Twitter's Quest for a Savior and Its Struggle for Independence

    25:53 Missed Opportunities: The Story of Vine and Periscope

    27:27 Part Two

    27:27 Transition to Part Two: The Elon Musk Era at Twitter

    27:49 The Challenges of Rebranding Twitter to X and Musk's Controversial Leadership

    28:32 The Impact of Elon Musk's Actions on Twitter's Ad Revenue and Brand Safety

    36:52 The Struggle with Bots and Spam: Has It Gotten Worse?

    40:06 Free Speech Under Musk: A Double-Edged Sword

    44:26 The Everything App Ambition: A Skeptical View

    46:33 Closing Thoughts and Acknowledgements

    47:01 Credits



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    47 mins
  • Thames Water Gets Whacked with guest Feargal Sharkey
    Apr 29 2024

    Today, we welcome back Feargal Sharkey, who visited Bubble Trouble last summer and dropped a (water) bomb on our privatized utilities. He’s fought the noble fight to expose Thames Water as profiteering polluters. Nine months later we have a massive credit bubble bursting, dumping toxic sewage in both debt laden shell companies and the real shit floating in our rivers and seas, while private equity owners took out £78bn of dividends since privatization kicked in. A warning: this conversation should make everyone angry, whether you draw a drink, go for a wild swim, or just watch your rising water bill - asking how this utility privatization bubble caused so much trouble.


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)


    This episode of Bubble Trouble features hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page, with return guest Fergal Sharkey, discussing the failing state of privatized water companies in England. Highlighted are the issues of excessive dividends extracted by private equity owners, the massive debt incurred by water companies, regulatory failures, and the environmental costs of pollution. Sharkie shares his firsthand experiences with water pollution and regulatory battles. The episode delves into the implications of privatization on public resources, the potential for nationalization, and the urgent need for systemic reform in water management amidst mounting public outrage and the looming crisis of water scarcity in London. The conversation encapsulates the complexities of privatization, the financial engineering driving the water industry's woes, and the palpable need for political and regulatory intervention.


    00:00 Introduction

    00:55 Introducing Repeat Guest Fergal Sharkey: A Deep Dive into Water Industry Woes

    00:59 Part One

    01:28 Fergal Sharkey's Journey: From Fly Fishing to Fighting Water Privatization

    03:27 The Alarming State of England's Privatized Water Industry

    06:47 Investigative Journalism and the Mainstream Media's Role

    07:44 Exploring the Nationalization Debate and Its Complexities

    11:06 Regulatory Failures and the Environmental Catastrophe

    14:27 The Financial Quagmire: Debt, Dividends, and the Dire State of Infrastructure

    22:00 Addressing the Bondholders: A Call for Accountability

    27:12 Part Two

    27:12 Looking Ahead: Solutions and the Future of Water Privatization

    31:49 The Inefficiency of Global Success

    32:11 System-Level Solutions for Water Management

    33:14 The Looming Water Crisis in London

    34:01 Government's Role in Managing the Water Industry

    34:42 The Financial Challenge of Securing London's Water Supply

    35:27 Reforming the Water Industry: A Shift in Earnings and Management

    35:59 Empathy for the Regulator and the Need for Investment

    41:10 Nationalizing the Water Companies: A Strategic Move

    47:04 Political Pressure and Regulatory Challenges

    49:42 Privatization's Failures and Future Directions

    55:20 Concluding Thoughts and the Public's Role

    57:34 Credits



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    58 mins
  • Private Equity Plays Pass the Parcel
    Apr 22 2024
    This week we turn our attention back to private markets where Richard’s prior smoke signals may be bearing fruit. That is, we’re getting reports that private equity is playing pass the parcel: selling assets to themselves that they can’t exit and doing so at their own valuations. Marking your own homework? Delaying a bubble that’s sure to burst? Or is it simply remortgaging from one bank to another. [Repeat from October, 2023.]

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    38 mins

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