• KCB FY 2023 Performance
    Apr 9 2024

    In this episode recorded on 26.03.2024, we host Lawrence Kimathi, Group Director Finance - KCB, as we break down the bank’s 2023 financial performance.

    We also cover NBK’s sale, subsidiary performance, dividends, the G2G oil deal, and the bank’s 2024 outlook.

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    Show Notes

    00:00:00 Introduction

    00:03:00 Local vs Multinational Banks

    00:04:00 FY23 Results Overview

    00:07:54 Customer Deposits, Gross Loans, and NPLs

    00:18:35 NBK

    00:23:10 Interest Income vs Interest Expense

    00:26:18 Cost to Income Ratio and Subsidiary Performance

    00:33:56 Capex and Dividends

    00:36:27 The G2G Oil Deal

    00:38:59 Outlook for 2024



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit mwangocapital.substack.com
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    43 mins
  • I&M Group FY 23 Results
    Apr 5 2024

    In this episode recorded on 25.03.2024, we host Kihara Maina - Regional CEO and Billy Ng'etich - Acting CFO from I&M Group as we break down I&M Group’s 2023 financial performance.

    We also cover interest income trends in a rising interest rate environment, monetizing digital transactions, risk-based pricing model, unlocking shareholder value, and subsidiary performance.

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    Show Notes

    00:00:00 Introduction

    00:01:04 Overview of FY 23 Results

    00:01:47 Interest Income vs Interest Expense

    00:03:00 Non-Funded Income, NPLs, and Interest Income Trends

    00:09:02 Bottom Line, ROE, and Investments

    00:16:31 Lending Rate and Risk-Based Pricing Model

    00:20:27 Strategy, Positioning, and Products

    00:23:46 Dividend Payout Ratio and SLLR

    00:28:46 Acquisition by East Africa Growth Holding

    00:29:26 Unlocking Shareholder Value and Subsidiary Performance

    00:32:51 Monetizing Digital Transactions and G2G Transactions

    00:37:29 2024 Outlook



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit mwangocapital.substack.com
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    41 mins
  • Absa Kenya FY 23 Results
    Apr 3 2024

    In this episode recorded on 19.03.2024, we host Yusuf Omari - Finance Director, Absa Bank Kenya, to deep-dive into the bank's FY 2023 results.

    We also cover FX depreciation, exposure to government securities, risk-based pricing model, the cost of risk, and mark-to-market losses.

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    Show Notes

    00:00:00 Introduction

    00:01:23 Overview of the FY 2023 Results

    00:03:24 FX Depreciation and Exposure to Government Securities

    00:07:13 NPLs and Preference for Short-Term Lending

    00:10:56 Customer Deposits, Loan Uptake, and the IFB

    00:18:55 Cost of Risk and the Cost-to-Income Ratio

    00:25:19 CAPEX and Dividends

    00:27:44 Non-Funded Income, Insurance, and Asset Management

    00:32:08 Loan-To-Deposit Ratio and Mark-To-Market Losses

    00:34:19 Interest Expense, FX Outlook, and Risk-Based Pricing

    00:40:48 Longterm Plans, M&A, and Key Takeaways



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit mwangocapital.substack.com
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    45 mins
  • Implications of Kenya's FATF Greylisting
    Mar 21 2024

    In this episode recorded on 29.02.2024, we host Nankunda Katangaza - Co-founder and Director, Hook Tangaza, John Kamau - Associate Director Financial Crime Advisory, PwC EA, and Titus Kariuki Senior Manager Financial Crime Advisory, PwC EA to unpack the repercussions of Kenya's greylisting by The Financial Action Task Force (FATF).

    We also cover the issues Kenya needs to address to get off the grey list, measures to protect against financial crime, cryptocurrency as an attractive channel for illicit funds, and enhancing compliance.

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    Show Notes

    00:00:00 Introduction

    00:04:41 FATF, AML, and CFT

    00:07:33 Implications of Being on the Grey List

    00:25:13 Issues to Address to Get Off the Grey List

    00:36:50 Challenges in Reporting Suspicious Transactions

    00:42:52 Enhancing Compliance

    00:59:07 LSK’s Contribution Towards Getting Kenya Off the Grey List

    01:04:04 Cryptocurrency as an Attractive Channel for Illicit Funds

    01:07:18 Protecting Against Financial Crime

    01:13:54 Closing Remarks



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit mwangocapital.substack.com
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    1 hr and 19 mins
  • Stanbic Holdings FY 2023 Results
    Mar 13 2024

    In this episode recorded on 06.03.2024, we host Dennis Musau - Chief Finance & Value Officer, Stanbic Bank to delve into the bank's FY 2023 earnings results.

    We also cover the loan book, NPLs, participation in the G2G program, the impact of Kenya’s graylisting by FATF, dollar access in the market, SBG Securities’ performance, dividends, and share buybacks.

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    Show Notes

    00:00:00 Introductoin

    00:06:46 2023 Performance Overview

    00:10:04 Loan Book and Non-Performing Loans

    00:22:44 Interest Income, Investment In Gov’t Securities, and Non-Funded Income

    00:30:02 The G2G Program

    00:32:18 Statutory Loan Loss Reserve, Dividends, and Share Buy Backs

    00:37:55 South Sudan Subsidiary’s Performance, M&A, and SBG Securities

    00:42:11 Exposure in the Tea Sector

    00:43:58 FATF Graylisting, Dollar Access, and Eurobond Repayment

    00:53:21 Impact of Depreciating Currency on Tier-One Banks

    00:57:14 Outlook, Strategy, and Closing Thoughts



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit mwangocapital.substack.com
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    1 hr and 7 mins
  • Kenya's Eurobond Issuance and Buyback
    Feb 27 2024

    In this episode recorded on 14.02.2024 and hosted by Ramah Nyang - Business Journalist, Bloomberg, we are joined by Julians Amboko - Business Journalist, Nation Media Group and Churchill Ogutu - Economist, IC Group to discuss Kenya's recent Eurobond issuance and buyback.

    We also cover borrowing from the domestic market vs the international market, issuing Eurobonds at a fixed vs floating rate, and expectations from the Finance Act and Finance Bill 2024.

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    Show Notes

    00:00:00 Introduction

    00:05:13 Cross-Default

    00:08:20 2031 Eurobond Issuance and the 2024 Eurobond Buyback

    00:11:03 Alternatives for Settling the 2024 Eurobond

    00:16:52 Domestic vs International Markets

    00:21:38 Pricing of the 2031 Eurobond

    00:28:11 Expectations from the Finance Act And Finance Bill 2024

    00:30:30 Fixed vs Floating Rates and the FX Market

    00:40:33 Ammortizing Feature

    00:42:27 Longer-Term Eurobonds from Frontier Markets



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit mwangocapital.substack.com
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    47 mins
  • Impact of Finance Act 2023 on Excise Duty
    Feb 16 2024

    In this episode recorded on 08.02.2024, we are joined by Toddy Thairu - Director and Lead Consultant, Astute Consulting and Zach Munyi - Head of Public Policy, East African Breweries PLC for a discussion about the implications of the 2023 Finance Act amendments on excise duty.

    We also cover how Kenya compares to the rest of the East African region, excise duty changes in the Finance Act 2023, and the impact of stamp and excise duty on EABL’s financial performance.

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    Show Notes

    00:00:00 Introduction

    00:01:00 Excise Duty and its Traditional Intention

    00:03:50 Kenya vs East Africa

    00:04:46 How has Excise Duty impacted EABL?

    00:06:49 Excise Duty Changes in the Finance Act 2023

    00:30:52 Impact of Stamp and Excise Duty on EABL’s Performance

    00:32:54 Medium-Term Revenue Strategy

    00:42:10 Minimizing the Impact of Excise Duty

    00:45:37 Closing Remarks



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit mwangocapital.substack.com
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    53 mins
  • The IMF Report on Kenya
    Feb 10 2024

    In this episode recorded on 22.01.2024, we are joined by Churchill Ogutu - Economist, IC Group and Julians Amboko - Business Journalist, Nation Media Group for a discussion on the latest IMF report on Kenya.

    We also cover the Medium-Term Revenue Strategy (MTRS), broadening the tax base, currency depreciation, and Eurobonds.

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    Show Notes

    00:00:00 Introduction 

    00:02:26 Why Does Kenya Need the IMF?

    00:05:09 Takeaways From IMF’s Sixth Review Report

    00:12:15 Medium-Term Revenue Strategy and the Finance Act 2024

    00:17:24 Augmentation of Existing IMF Programs

    00:23:47 Extended Credit Facility (ECF) Extended Fund Facility (EFF), And Resilience And Sustainability Facility (RSF

    00:26:03 Broadening The Tax Base and Fiscal Consolidation

    00:36:52 Treasury Single Account, Appropriation Bill, and Appropriation Act

    00:41:16 Currency Depreciation and Special Drawing Rights 

    00:53:32 Consumption Tax, Refinancing, and Eurobonds

    01:02:38 Closing Thoughts



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit mwangocapital.substack.com
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    1 hr and 8 mins